Hawks are perfectly capable of finishing 6-2 in their last 8 [the losses @ PU & @ IU]. But I'll low-ball it and go with 5-3 [the other loss coming @ either NW or WIS]. Not a real favorable finish; 5 of last 8 on the road.
If their last 8 goes to script, and they go 5-3 (or 6-2), they are locks for an NCAA bid - no matter what happens in the BTT.
4-4 probably gets them in without sweating the bubble too much, but anything less - if also go 0-1 at the BTT - and it'll be anyone's guess if they get invited or not.
Iowa can not lose the @ MIN game next Sunday. It won't be an abominable loss like EIU was, metrics-wise, but Minnesota is bar none the worst team in the conference this season. Maryland just trounced them by 35 in the Barn up there tonight.
Of Iowa's 7-5 B1G record, they are 7-1 vs teams that are & above .500 [the 1 loss being the horrible FT-anomaly game @ MSU] and 0-4 vs teams that are currently sub-.500 [thankfully only one of those was at home, vs WIS]. That's both really good and really bad, at the same time.