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Hurricane Milton reaches Category 5 strength on approach to Florida

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Milton, a top-tier Category 5 hurricane over the Gulf of Mexico, is intensifying at breakneck speed as it churns toward the west coast of Florida. The storm is expected to make landfall Wednesday or early Thursday as a “large and powerful hurricane,” according to the National Hurricane Center. It is predicted to produce a potentially devastating ocean surge over 10 feet in some areas, including perhaps in flood-prone Tampa Bay.


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Since Sunday night, the storm’s rate of strengthening has reached extreme levels — its intensity leaping from a Category 1 to 5. The storm’s peak winds Monday midday were up to 160 mph, a 70 mph increase in 12 hours.
The Hurricane Center described the storm’s rate of intensification as “remarkable.” The explosive development has occurred over record-warm waters in the Gulf, with the extreme warmth linked to human-caused climate change.

Milton rapidly intensifies into a category 5 hurricane. (CIRA/NOAA/NOAA)
Milton is the strongest hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico since Michael in 2018 and is poised to become even stronger until a very gradual weakening trend commences Tuesday. It is the strongest Gulf of Mexico hurricane this late in the calendar year since at least 1966. Milton is one of only seven hurricanes on record to increase from Category 1 to 5 in 24 hours and did so at the second-fastest rate.



Only 48 to 60 hours remain before Milton is set to arrive in Florida. Landfall now looks to be Wednesday afternoon or evening, and the storm — despite some weakening — is anticipated to remain a major hurricane with winds around 120 mph when it strikes the state’s west coast.
Moreover, Milton’s wind field will expand, meaning the storm will more efficiently be able to pile water against the coastline. The National Hurricane Center is warning of a surge of 5 to 10 feet along much of the Gulf Coast of Florida’s peninsula, with locally up to 8 to 12 feet — including in Tampa Bay.

 
Milton, a top-tier Category 5 hurricane over the Gulf of Mexico, is intensifying at breakneck speed as it churns toward the west coast of Florida. The storm is expected to make landfall Wednesday or early Thursday as a “large and powerful hurricane,” according to the National Hurricane Center. It is predicted to produce a potentially devastating ocean surge over 10 feet in some areas, including perhaps in flood-prone Tampa Bay.


Want to know how your actions can help make a difference for our planet? Sign up for the Climate Coach newsletter, in your inbox every Tuesday and Thursday.

Since Sunday night, the storm’s rate of strengthening has reached extreme levels — its intensity leaping from a Category 1 to 5. The storm’s peak winds Monday midday were up to 160 mph, a 70 mph increase in 12 hours.
The Hurricane Center described the storm’s rate of intensification as “remarkable.” The explosive development has occurred over record-warm waters in the Gulf, with the extreme warmth linked to human-caused climate change.

Milton rapidly intensifies into a category 5 hurricane. (CIRA/NOAA/NOAA)
Milton is the strongest hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico since Michael in 2018 and is poised to become even stronger until a very gradual weakening trend commences Tuesday. It is the strongest Gulf of Mexico hurricane this late in the calendar year since at least 1966. Milton is one of only seven hurricanes on record to increase from Category 1 to 5 in 24 hours and did so at the second-fastest rate.



Only 48 to 60 hours remain before Milton is set to arrive in Florida. Landfall now looks to be Wednesday afternoon or evening, and the storm — despite some weakening — is anticipated to remain a major hurricane with winds around 120 mph when it strikes the state’s west coast.
Moreover, Milton’s wind field will expand, meaning the storm will more efficiently be able to pile water against the coastline. The National Hurricane Center is warning of a surge of 5 to 10 feet along much of the Gulf Coast of Florida’s peninsula, with locally up to 8 to 12 feet — including in Tampa Bay.

I was just checking the hurricane page. Had to check another to make sure it wasn't a typo!

Hurricane Milton​

Last Updated: 10/7/2024 2:00:00 PM (Eastern Daylight Time)

  • Location: 21.7 N 91.3 W
  • Movement: E at 8 mph
  • Wind: 175mph
  • Pressure: 911 mb
 
  • Wow
Reactions: VodkaSam and Torg
Interesting that they're predicting a drop from CAT 5 to CAT 3 before it hits Florida.

I'm used to hurricanes picking up speed as they cross hot open water. So what's different this time?

I hope this isn't a Katrina-level misjudgement. Then again, I imagine Floridians are doing all they can to be ready and safe.

What would they do differently if they thought it would still be CAT 5 at landfall?
 
Interesting that they're predicting a drop from CAT 5 to CAT 3 before it hits Florida.

I'm used to hurricanes picking up speed as they cross hot open water. So what's different this time?

I hope this isn't a Katrina-level misjudgement. Then again, I imagine Floridians are doing all they can to be ready and safe.

What would they do differently if they thought it would still be CAT 5 at landfall?
Generally speaking, a storm can't maintain that level for long because the eye gets so small it chokes off the hot air exhaust and the eye wall weakens. What you'll often see is the development of a new outer eye wall that will then start to take over but - usually - the storm weakens as that happens. Gilbert was a storm that kind of defied that probability - when it hit the Yucatan back in '88 there was a Cat 4 inner eye wall and a Cat 3 outer eyewall...a tropical two-fer. 😕
 
Donald Trump has seized on the disaster to push misinformation about the Biden-Harris administration on the campaign trail, including the lies that federal authorities are denying help to Republicans in the stricken areas and that federal funds are being diverted from recovery efforts to house immigrants. Federal and local officials have taken to the airwaves to refute Trump’s “dangerous narrative.” This is Tennessee Republican Governor Bill Lee.


Gov. Bill Lee: “There’s no confiscation of supplies or of products coming in by FEMA or TEMA. There’s nothing but commitment to serving the people in this state. And those who spread that kind of misinformation, it’s deeply unfortunate that that’s happening.”

Meanwhile, The Intercept reports prisoners in North Carolina were left in their cells without running water or power for nearly a week, cut off from communication with the outside world and forced to keep their waste in plastic bags in their cells.

 
  • Wow
Reactions: Torg
Gov. Bill Lee: “There’s no confiscation of supplies or of products coming in by FEMA or TEMA. There’s nothing but commitment to serving the people in this state. And those who spread that kind of misinformation, it’s deeply unfortunate that that’s happening.”

He needs to name the ringleaders spreading the information and challenge them to come and see what's being done.
 
Interesting that they're predicting a drop from CAT 5 to CAT 3 before it hits Florida.

I'm used to hurricanes picking up speed as they cross hot open water. So what's different this time?

I hope this isn't a Katrina-level misjudgement. Then again, I imagine Floridians are doing all they can to be ready and safe.

What would they do differently if they thought it would still be CAT 5 at landfall?
Wind shear will weaken the storm as it approaches the gulf coast of Florida.
 
Tropical depression to Cat 5 storm in two days. Used to happen all the time before we had the ability to actually go out and monitor the storms from the inside. Nothing to see here...not at all anomalous. Right @The Tradition and @goldmom ???

We really don't know what happened before we had weather satellites, which has been my point all along.

Anyway, seems like Milton is going to blow his wad early and wear itself out before getting to Florida.
 
  • Haha
Reactions: BelemNole
As of this morning, there are 3 hurricanes "out there."

8a87327b-1090-4e79-878a-e854785497cd_1920x1080.jpg
 
We really don't know what happened before we had weather satellites, which has been my point all along.
So we don't know what was happening in those storms we had planes flying through going all the way back to the mid-1940's? All that data that's been directly collected over the past 80 years covering hundreds of storms doesn't mean anything? Gotcha.

Your "point" is meaningless.
 
Tropical depression to Cat 5 storm in two days. Used to happen all the time before we had the ability to actually go out and monitor the storms from the inside. Nothing to see here...not at all anomalous. Right @The Tradition and @goldmom ???

Do you presume it happened during the time temps were higher? Because that’s most of the time things have been crawling this rock.

2300-timeline-topper.jpg
 
Interesting that they're predicting a drop from CAT 5 to CAT 3 before it hits Florida.

I'm used to hurricanes picking up speed as they cross hot open water. So what's different this time?

I hope this isn't a Katrina-level misjudgement. Then again, I imagine Floridians are doing all they can to be ready and safe.

What would they do differently if they thought it would still be CAT 5 at landfall?
I think it's going to hit some wind shear as it gets further east that will tear it up a little.
 
Do you presume it happened during the time temps were higher? Because that’s most of the time things have been crawling this rock.

2300-timeline-topper.jpg
Damn...you guys excel at the self-own today. Let's posit on the warmer pre-human Earth there were massive hurricanes that developed in days to veritable Cat 6 status? There were massive carnivorous dinosaurs roaming the landscape then, as well, You want to bring them back, too, or just the superstorms that will devastate the country costing hundreds of billions of dollars...each?
 
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