Iowa Playoff Hopes Not Totally Gone

[Greenway4Prez]

Who is the second ACC team playoff worthy?

Miami or Clemson

 

[Franisdaman]

Iowa State is only making the playoffs if they win the Big 12 championship game. I don't think they're in otherwise.

#1 - We need to win out.
#2 - We need Ohio State to win out.
#3 - We need Oregon to play against Ohio State in B1G Championship
#4 - We need to Penn State to lose to Ohio State at home as well as either at Wisconsin or at Minnesota (two teams we would have beaten).

#5 - We need Iowa State to be undefeated heading into the Big 12 championship against a top 20 ranked BYU or Kansas State and they lose in Big 12 championship. The playoff committee will likely drop Iowa State out of the top 12 and below the Big 12 champion, but they'll still be ranked like in top 15. I don't think playoffs will let two teams from Iowa in the playoffs so it's best that Kansas State or BYU wins the Big 12 leaving a 1-loss Iowa State on the outside looking in.

#6 - We need Nebraska to be ranked when we play them to end the year.

If all above holds true, I see our playoff ranking being the following (keep in mind Ohio State and Iowa State keep winning):
(7-2) #18 after Nov. 2 win against Wisconsin
(8-2) #17 after Nov. 8 win @ UCLA
(9-2) #15 after Nov. 23 win @ Maryland
(10-2) #12 after Nov. 29 win against a ranked Nebraska

Playoffs (4 SEC, 3 or 4 B1G, 2 ACC, 1 or 2 Big 12, 1 Mountain West)
Texas
Ohio State
Oregon
Alabama
Georgia
ACC Champ
Miami/Clemson
LSU/Tennessee
Big 12 Champ (Iowa State, BYU, Kansas State)
Boise State
Iowa/Penn State
Iowa/Penn State/Big 12

Iowa would have an extremely strong case in this scenario to be the 3rd B1G team over Penn State.

• Our only losses would be against likely #2 or #3 Ohio State and it was @ Ohio State (where Penn State would have lost at home) and then a 1-point loss to top #15 ranked Iowa State.
• We'd be on a 7 game winning streak to finish the year.
• Penn State would be losers of 2 of their last 6 games including against a team we beat.
• Ohio State beating Penn State convincingly in Happy Valley on Nov. 2 wouldn't hurt, but I don't think it's necessary for us to get the nod over Penn State in this scenario.

Ole Miss & Iowa (both with 2 losses) still have an OUTSIDE shot at the CFP, according to Scott & the Athletic folks.

Iowa has to get to 10-2 first, of course, AND THEN they need a lot of help from other teams.

And one of those teams Iowa needs help from? Scott says Clown U has to keep winning to give Iowa a shot.

Iowa's 2 losses would then be to 2 Top 10 teams.

I am not holding my breath; we will look back and shake our heads at blowing that game vs Clown U.

Watch the discussion here:

 

[swihawk]

I know a great way to make the playoffs.
Stop losing at home to Iowa State.

True. But its unusual to lose to the clones.

 

[Grumpy Old Hawk]

Iowa State is only making the playoffs if they win the Big 12 championship game. I don't think they're in otherwise.

#1 - We need to win out.
#2 - We need Ohio State to win out.
#3 - We need Oregon to play against Ohio State in B1G Championship
#4 - We need to Penn State to lose to Ohio State at home as well as either at Wisconsin or at Minnesota (two teams we would have beaten).

#5 - We need Iowa State to be undefeated heading into the Big 12 championship against a top 20 ranked BYU or Kansas State and they lose in Big 12 championship. The playoff committee will likely drop Iowa State out of the top 12 and below the Big 12 champion, but they'll still be ranked like in top 15. I don't think playoffs will let two teams from Iowa in the playoffs so it's best that Kansas State or BYU wins the Big 12 leaving a 1-loss Iowa State on the outside looking in.

#6 - We need Nebraska to be ranked when we play them to end the year.

If all above holds true, I see our playoff ranking being the following (keep in mind Ohio State and Iowa State keep winning):
(7-2) #18 after Nov. 2 win against Wisconsin
(8-2) #17 after Nov. 8 win @ UCLA
(9-2) #15 after Nov. 23 win @ Maryland
(10-2) #12 after Nov. 29 win against a ranked Nebraska

Playoffs (4 SEC, 3 or 4 B1G, 2 ACC, 1 or 2 Big 12, 1 Mountain West)
Texas
Ohio State
Oregon
Alabama
Georgia
ACC Champ
Miami/Clemson
LSU/Tennessee
Big 12 Champ (Iowa State, BYU, Kansas State)
Boise State
Iowa/Penn State
Iowa/Penn State/Big 12

Iowa would have an extremely strong case in this scenario to be the 3rd B1G team over Penn State.

• Our only losses would be against likely #2 or #3 Ohio State and it was @ Ohio State (where Penn State would have lost at home) and then a 1-point loss to top #15 ranked Iowa State.
• We'd be on a 7 game winning streak to finish the year.
• Penn State would be losers of 2 of their last 6 games including against a team we beat.
• Ohio State beating Penn State convincingly in Happy Valley on Nov. 2 wouldn't hurt, but I don't think it's necessary for us to get the nod over Penn State in this scenario.

Why would we want to see them lose 45-6 in the playoff?

 

[Zooropa_NCR]

Folks, Iowa is not a CFP caliber team. They are better this year with an offense that is finally showing signs of life. They just do not have the quality of players to compete at the "semi-pro" level. We are on par with WI and Nebby and I sincerely hope they beat both of them and go to the best bowl game that is available. Unless college FB somehow establishes an equitable "pay cap," we will continue to be a step below CFP consideration.

This! The country does respect the program but it feels more of a nice gesture than anything serious.

Iowa is a lunch pail, smash mouth football team
Kirk is a respected coach
They don’t do anything flashy

It would be more complimentary if Iowa actually beat the best teams on their schedule. No top tier team considers Iowa “bullies” anymore.

Until Iowa can field an offense that can score against the best teams, we’ll always be a pat on the back program.

Let go of the playoffs talk and hope Iowa can win out and KJ gets more attention

 

[Zooropa_NCR]

Why would we want to see them lose 45-6 in the playoff?

So when Iowa goes 4-8 in 2025 Kirk can say “We made the playoffs last year you know! “

 

[BonzoFury]

This team is not going to the playoffs. Let it go. That died with the ISU choke and was buried in Columbus.

 

[jonesy5960]

So when Iowa goes 4-8 in 2025 Kirk can say “We made the playoffs last year you know! “

Both of these things are more likely than people realize.

 

[Champ_Kind_whammy]

Hope was totally gone the day idiot Bowlsby chased off Stoops in favor of toilet-bowl-eligible Kirk

 

[Bow.to.the.Narrative]

Hope was totally gone the day idiot Bowlsby chased off Stoops in favor of toilet-bowl-eligible Kirk

Would love to see the alternate reality where Stoops got the job.

 

[Champ_Kind_whammy]

Would love to see the alternate reality where Stoops got the job.

It's a better reality where there is no 9/11, nor the two global economic meltdowns. I also marry a nympho-heiress-supermodel.

Also, Stoops doesn't lose to FCS schools; place his child in public housing; doesn't have a Rhabdo scandal; nor a never-ending stream of players in trouble with the law; doesn't lose lawsuits dealing with bigotry; doesn't have to dissolve a player council after they suggest he should leave, etc etc.

The reality we got instead:

Stoops left while he was on top.
KF is going to stay until his heart gives out while on the sideline
Proving which of the 2 men is classy and which is a pretender

 

[rrdd2021]

Oh dear God, this is NOT a Playoff team

 

[Bow.to.the.Narrative]

Oh dear God, this is NOT a Playoff team

Uhhh.....some of us had this figured out after the 2nd game.

 

[Champ_Kind_whammy]

Uhhh.....some of us had this figured out after the 2nd game in his first season

 

[Iron Doc]

Well, this discussion can be closed down.

There was a whole lot of creative ( profoundly unrealistic) thinking going on in it.

 

[QChawks]

 

[doughuddl2]

Iowa State is only making the playoffs if they win the Big 12 championship game. I don't think they're in otherwise.

#1 - We need to win out.
#2 - We need Ohio State to win out.
#3 - We need Oregon to play against Ohio State in B1G Championship
#4 - We need to Penn State to lose to Ohio State at home as well as either at Wisconsin or at Minnesota (two teams we would have beaten).

#5 - We need Iowa State to be undefeated heading into the Big 12 championship against a top 20 ranked BYU or Kansas State and they lose in Big 12 championship. The playoff committee will likely drop Iowa State out of the top 12 and below the Big 12 champion, but they'll still be ranked like in top 15. I don't think playoffs will let two teams from Iowa in the playoffs so it's best that Kansas State or BYU wins the Big 12 leaving a 1-loss Iowa State on the outside looking in.

#6 - We need Nebraska to be ranked when we play them to end the year.

If all above holds true, I see our playoff ranking being the following (keep in mind Ohio State and Iowa State keep winning):
(7-2) #18 after Nov. 2 win against Wisconsin
(8-2) #17 after Nov. 8 win @ UCLA
(9-2) #15 after Nov. 23 win @ Maryland
(10-2) #12 after Nov. 29 win against a ranked Nebraska

Playoffs (4 SEC, 3 or 4 B1G, 2 ACC, 1 or 2 Big 12, 1 Mountain West)
Texas
Ohio State
Oregon
Alabama
Georgia
ACC Champ
Miami/Clemson
LSU/Tennessee
Big 12 Champ (Iowa State, BYU, Kansas State)
Boise State
Iowa/Penn State
Iowa/Penn State/Big 12

Iowa would have an extremely strong case in this scenario to be the 3rd B1G team over Penn State.

• Our only losses would be against likely #2 or #3 Ohio State and it was @ Ohio State (where Penn State would have lost at home) and then a 1-point loss to top #15 ranked Iowa State.
• We'd be on a 7 game winning streak to finish the year.
• Penn State would be losers of 2 of their last 6 games including against a team we beat.
• Ohio State beating Penn State convincingly in Happy Valley on Nov. 2 wouldn't hurt, but I don't think it's necessary for us to get the nod over Penn State in this scenario.

Please edit this threads title by removing "Not".

 

[Hawk-A-Doodle-Doo]

/thread