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Iowa vs Ohio State Predictions

RapalaRRC

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Gold Member
May 8, 2024
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Flowrestling Rankings 1/21 Dual Score
WEIGHT RANKED IOWA Match Score OHIO STATE RANKED IA O$U
125 29 Joey Cruz 2 7 Brendan McCrone 12 0 3
133 2 Drake Ayala 8 5 Nic Bouzakis 10 3 3
141 20 Ryder Block 3 14 Jesse Mendez 1 3 7
149 4 Kyle Parco 7 5 Dylan D'Emilio 10 6 7
157 NA Miguel Estrada 4 9 Sammy Sasso 19 6 10
165 2 Mikey Caliendo 14 6 Paddy Gallagher 13 10 10
174 5 Patrick Kennedy 8 6 Carson Kharchla 6 13 10
184 5 Gabe Arnold 4 3 Ryder Rogotzke 20 16 10
197 1 Stephen Buchanan 11 2 Seth Shumate 22 19 10
285 11 Ben Kueter 4 6 Nick Feldman 5 19 13


Interesting match-up at 133, I didn't find any past matchup between the two.
 
Flowrestling Rankings 1/21 Dual Score
WEIGHT RANKED IOWA Match Score OHIO STATE RANKED IA O$U
125 29 Joey Cruz 2 7 Brendan McCrone 12 0 3
133 2 Drake Ayala 8 5 Nic Bouzakis 10 3 3
141 20 Ryder Block 3 14 Jesse Mendez 1 3 7
149 4 Kyle Parco 7 5 Dylan D'Emilio 10 6 7
157 NA Miguel Estrada 4 9 Sammy Sasso 19 6 10
165 2 Mikey Caliendo 14 6 Paddy Gallagher 13 10 10
174 5 Patrick Kennedy 8 6 Carson Kharchla 6 13 10
184 5 Gabe Arnold 4 3 Ryder Rogotzke 20 16 10
197 1 Stephen Buchanan 11 2 Seth Shumate 22 19 10
285 11 Ben Kueter 4 6 Nick Feldman 5 19 13


Interesting match-up at 133, I didn't find any past matchup between the two.
Well That looks like A$$, should of previewed it before posting....how do I delete it?
 
McCrone is a pinner. Cruz will need to be very careful in that one.

Looking forward to 285. Feldman is a smaller heavyweight, but powerful. Hopefully, Kueter wrestles well.
 
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Well That looks like A$$, should have previewed it before posting....how do I delete it?
If you push the … button it will give you the option to edit or delete. Looks like you could just go through and delete the crazy numbers and leave the team scores but I think most of us can figure out the last 2 numbers are the team scores.
 
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I get how a computer algorithm calculating an expected value margin comes up with Gabe 4-3 over Rogotzke, but the reality is that the distribution is more like 80% Major for Gabe, 10% Pin for Rogotzke, and only 10% a close match with the way Rogotzke wrestles.
 
At 157, what is Estrada's status re: redshirt? He's had 6 dates, 3 tournaments and 3 duals. Does Soldier Salute count as unattached? Or did he burn his RS already (which would seem to me to be stupid unless Teemer is out for the season, which doesn't appear to be the case)? If he's still at 5 attached and eligible for RS, it seems unlikely that he'll go, which means Teemer will be back or they have to go off the sheet to get someone else. If Estrada already burned the shirt, it's much more likely he'll go for this one.
 
At 157, what is Estrada's status re: redshirt? He's had 6 dates, 3 tournaments and 3 duals. Does Soldier Salute count as unattached? Or did he burn his RS already (which would seem to me to be stupid unless Teemer is out for the season, which doesn't appear to be the case)? If he's still at 5 attached and eligible for RS, it seems unlikely that he'll go, which means Teemer will be back or they have to go off the sheet to get someone else. If Estrada already burned the shirt, it's much more likely he'll go for this one.
I believe his last meet brought him to his limit. I would sincerely doubt we see him against OSU.
 
I believe his last meet brought him to his limit. I would sincerely doubt we see him against OSU.
Right. Someone can correct me if I'm wrong about the nuances of the NCAA's dumb rules, but I think first semester tournaments count as attached but second semester can be unattached, and all duals count. That adds up to 5 with 2 first semester tournaments and 3 duals. The one in question is Soldier Salute, which was during the semester break. If that counts as first semester / attached, then he's already over the limit. If not, then I agree with you.
 
Right. Someone can correct me if I'm wrong about the nuances of the NCAA's dumb rules, but I think first semester tournaments count as attached but second semester can be unattached, and all duals count. That adds up to 5 with 2 first semester tournaments and 3 duals. The one in question is Soldier Salute, which was during the semester break. If that counts as first semester / attached, then he's already over the limit. If not, then I agree with you.
He was unattached according to the results posting.
 
Flowrestling Rankings 1/21 Dual Score
WEIGHT RANKED IOWA Match Score OHIO STATE RANKED IA O$U
125 29 Joey Cruz 2 7 Brendan McCrone 12 0 3
133 2 Drake Ayala 8 5 Nic Bouzakis 10 3 3
141 20 Ryder Block 3 14 Jesse Mendez 1 3 7
149 4 Kyle Parco 7 5 Dylan D'Emilio 10 6 7
157 NA Miguel Estrada 4 9 Sammy Sasso 19 6 10
165 2 Mikey Caliendo 14 6 Paddy Gallagher 13 10 10
174 5 Patrick Kennedy 8 6 Carson Kharchla 6 13 10
184 5 Gabe Arnold 4 3 Ryder Rogotzke 20 16 10
197 1 Stephen Buchanan 11 2 Seth Shumate 22 19 10
285 11 Ben Kueter 4 6 Nick Feldman 5 19 13


Interesting match-up at 133, I didn't find any past matchup between the two.
I think we win at 57 regardless of who faces Sasso. Sadly this is a much different Sammy following his injures...and Estrada is showing he has real grit. Also, like someone else indicated I think Gabe will do some damage at 84, perhaps a MD. I don't think he'll want to keep it that close.
 
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Flowrestling Rankings 1/21 Dual Score
WEIGHT RANKED IOWA Match Score OHIO STATE RANKED IA O$U
125 29 Joey Cruz 2 7 Brendan McCrone 12 0 3
133 2 Drake Ayala 8 5 Nic Bouzakis 10 3 3
141 20 Ryder Block 3 14 Jesse Mendez 1 3 7
149 4 Kyle Parco 7 5 Dylan D'Emilio 10 6 7
157 NA Miguel Estrada 4 9 Sammy Sasso 19 6 10
165 2 Mikey Caliendo 14 6 Paddy Gallagher 13 10 10
174 5 Patrick Kennedy 8 6 Carson Kharchla 6 13 10
184 5 Gabe Arnold 4 3 Ryder Rogotzke 20 16 10
197 1 Stephen Buchanan 11 2 Seth Shumate 22 19 10
285 11 Ben Kueter 4 6 Nick Feldman 5 19 13


Interesting match-up at 133, I didn't find any past matchup between the two.
Could be close if Ohio state wins , 25,33,57,74,hwt
 
Could be close if Ohio state wins , 25,33,57,74,hwt
141 is pretty much a lock for bonus points for them so if the Hawks lose all those weights they lose the meet. This one is going to be a nail biter, glad were in Carver.
 
I think we win at 57 regardless of who faces Sasso. Sadly this is a much different Sammy following his injures...and Estrada is showing he has real grit. Also, like someone else indicated I think Gabe will do some damage at 84, perhaps a MD. I don't think he'll want to keep it that close.
Sasso actually looked a lot better at 157 this weekend (despite losing to Blaze). He was just way too small for 165. He's obviously still not the national contender he was pre-shooting, but I wouldn't be too confident about a freshman 149 backup wrestling up against him. I don't think Sasso can beat a healthy Teemer at this point, but he can probably take Estrada (doubt you'll see him, though) or KV or whoever else might be there if Teemer isn't ready.
 
141 is pretty much a lock for bonus points for them so if the Hawks lose all those weights they lose the meet. This one is going to be a nail biter, glad were in Carver.
I think 125 and 141 are the only ones where tOSU really has a clear advantage (but, yeah, put 5 on the board for Mendez, he's been a machine...). Sasso vs a backup is probably pretty good for them, but not Teemer. HWT is probably a very small advantage but closer to a toss up, but 133, 149, 165, 174, 184, and 197 should all be in Iowa's favor (plus 157 if Teemer is back). There will be some good bouts, but I don't expect a real close team score.
 
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