Today's Game Computer Model's Summary:
Iowa with a 56% - 67% chance to lose from 4 percentage model(s).
Iowa losing by 2 - 5 point(s) from 4 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #20 Iowa vs #12 Oklahoma from 7 ranking models.
Shut down Beers and Verhulst and the game is ours.
We move on to the Sweet 16 according to Torvik's ranking trendline.
Overall Season says Iowa +2.
However, the last half and more specifically the end of season ranks say Iowa -2.
Now for the good news on how we become a spread of Iowa -2 for today's game.
This grid is the weekly rankings from Bart Torvik starting from mid-season to the start of March Madness.
We rank higher than Oklahoma in 8 of the last 9 weeks of the season. The one exception is on Feb 12th.
You can see the end of season rankings on Feb 26, Mar 5 and Mar 12 that the rankings gap collectively gets larger between Iowa & Oklahoma. Notice Oklahoma is sliding backwards during the last 3 weeks from #15 to #18 to #19.
The end of season trendline is in our favor to take us from Iowa +2 and reverse it to Iowa -2.
Should also point out that Torvik has us now ranked at #16 overall after our last win on Saturday.
Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 56% chance of losing by 2 - 3 point(s) (74 - 77)
Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 67% chance of losing by ~4 point(s) (71 - 75).
HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 63.5% chance of losing by ~5 point(s) (77.8 - 82.5).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.
Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 63% chance of losing by 4 point(s) (73 - 77).
Team Rankings:
Team Rankings Key:
Iowa with a 56% - 67% chance to lose from 4 percentage model(s).
Iowa losing by 2 - 5 point(s) from 4 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #20 Iowa vs #12 Oklahoma from 7 ranking models.
Shut down Beers and Verhulst and the game is ours.
We move on to the Sweet 16 according to Torvik's ranking trendline.
Overall Season says Iowa +2.
However, the last half and more specifically the end of season ranks say Iowa -2.
Now for the good news on how we become a spread of Iowa -2 for today's game.
This grid is the weekly rankings from Bart Torvik starting from mid-season to the start of March Madness.
We rank higher than Oklahoma in 8 of the last 9 weeks of the season. The one exception is on Feb 12th.
You can see the end of season rankings on Feb 26, Mar 5 and Mar 12 that the rankings gap collectively gets larger between Iowa & Oklahoma. Notice Oklahoma is sliding backwards during the last 3 weeks from #15 to #18 to #19.
The end of season trendline is in our favor to take us from Iowa +2 and reverse it to Iowa -2.
Should also point out that Torvik has us now ranked at #16 overall after our last win on Saturday.
| Mid Season | End of Season | Begin March Madness | ||||||||
| Last Half/Wkly | 15-Jan | 22-Jan | 29-Jan | 5-Feb | 12-Feb | 19-Feb | 26-Feb | 5-Mar | 12-Mar | Avg Rank |
| Iowa | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 8.7 |
| Oklahoma | 14 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 13.4 |
| Rank Difference | 5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 4.8 |
Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 56% chance of losing by 2 - 3 point(s) (74 - 77)
| 
| |
| Iowa (#NR) Iowa City, IA, USA | Oklahoma (#11) Norman, OK, USA | |
| Actual Score | 0 | 0 |
| Most Likely | 74 | 77 |
| Median | 75 | 77 |
| Mean | 75.66 | 77.70 |
| Win Probability | 44% | 56% |
Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 67% chance of losing by ~4 point(s) (71 - 75).
| Mon 3-24 | A | 10 (I) | Oklahoma (3) | +4.4, 75-71 | 33% |
WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.
www.barttorvik.com
HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 63.5% chance of losing by ~5 point(s) (77.8 - 82.5).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.
Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 63% chance of losing by 4 point(s) (73 - 77).
Team Rankings:
| ELO | HHS | BT | KM | AMSTS | SR | SM | Avg Rank | |
| Iowa | 21 | 20 | 16 | 19 | 24 | 24 | 18 | 20.3 |
| Oklahoma | 10 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11.9 |
Team Rankings Key:
| ELO | Warren Nolan's ELO | https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo |
| HHS | Her Hoop Stats | |
| BT | Bart Torvik | https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php |
| KM | Ken Massey | https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings |
| AMSTS | All My Sports Teams Suck | https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ |
| SR | Sports Reference | https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html |
| SM | Sonny Moore | https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm |
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