I don't know how much I trust polls in general, but depending how the poll questions are phrased, that can influence answers, like "who are you most likely to vote for?" vs "Among these options who is most likely to win?" I say this because I think a lot of republicans believe Trump has the best chance of winning. They aren't looking at this through the lens of who they want to win, or who they support.
In a losing effort Trump still had more votes than any republican ever, still had more than 70 million votes, and would have won EVERY election prior to 2020... Remarkably Joey managed to also get the most votes period, and I'm curious to see if they are our binary choice in 2024 how many people just sit it out in a silent protest of their two terrible options.