MSNBC: Americans believe crime is way, way up. The stats don't match that.

[Morrison71]

Opinion | Fox News went all-in on saying crime is up. You'll never guess what happened next.

The GOP is hoping that telling Americans there's a bad vibe is enough to win the midterms.

www.msnbc.com

In the final weeks of the midterms, ads for Democratic candidates are focused on abortion rights as the issue they want to drive home to voters. Republicans, on the other hand, insist there's a nationwide "crime crisis," as the Republican National Committee has dubbed it. It's an easy well to dip into — and it looks like the constant barrage of warnings that neighborhoods are no longer safe is having an effect.

A Gallup Poll released Friday morning found that 56% of Americans think crime has increased in their local area over the last year, the most in 50 years. But as I've said before, there's often a disconnect between the perception of increased crime in an area and whether that purported increase can accurately be measured. That goes double for a climate like today's, where the GOP is determined to frame cities as liberal-created hellscapes.
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Gallup noted that "Americans have consistently been more likely to say crime is worsening in the U.S. than in their local area," and that held true in its latest findings: 78% of respondents think that crime is up nationwide compared to 2021, versus the 56% who believe crime is up where they live. In other words, people are more likely to think that rising crime is a problem somewhere else than it is in their own community.

Small wonder when the GOP is spending so heavily on hammering home that message. "Since July 1, the National Republican Congressional Committee has run at least $4 million in general-election ads with police or crime themes, with the House GOP's main super PAC running $12.1 million over that period," Politico reported this week, using data from nonpartisan research firm AdImpact.
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And, surprise surprise, it's Republicans who are most convinced in Gallup's polling that crime is coming for us all. "Currently, 73% of Republicans say crime in their area has risen, while 51% of independents and 42% of Democrats say the same," the polling firm found. That's a 6-point increase compared to last year, which in turn was a massive leap from the 38% of Republicans who said crime was up when asked in 2020. More impressively, a full 95% of Republicans in this most recent poll believe that crime is up nationally, "the highest ever for any party group," as Gallup put it.
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But that belief doesn't square with what we know so far this year about crime across the nation — which admittedly is not a lot. Crime statistics are not collected uniformly nationwide, leaving us with large gaps in our understanding. In the absence of accurate and current data, we're left with anecdotes or perceptions, as Gallup has measured.

One useful source is the Justice Department's Bureau of Justice Statistics, which last month released its 2021 data on criminal victimizationnationwide. When it comes to "violent victimization" — aka people who are the victims of violent crimes like rape, robbery and aggravated assault, but not murder — it found that the estimated rate had declined from 2012 through last year and that the rate "did not change" between 2020 and 2021. As for property crimes, the rate also had not significantly increased from the previous year.

 

[ihhawk]

I guess you don’t watch tv

 

[Whatsgoingonwitgyouguys0190]

I guess you don’t watch tv

I think you watch too much.

 

[Morrison71]

It's not just Fox news. Local stations love reporting cop press releases/stories uncritically.

And Cops are interested in making it look like crime is out of control so that funds don't get diverted.

 

[DogBoyRy]

Opinion | Fox News went all-in on saying crime is up. You'll never guess what happened next.

The GOP is hoping that telling Americans there's a bad vibe is enough to win the midterms.

www.msnbc.com

When you legalize weed and don’t bother to arrest many crimes in liberal cities due to stats can be a little misleading.
If anyone feels safer now they are looney.

 

[TheCainer]

Opinion | Fox News went all-in on saying crime is up. You'll never guess what happened next.

The GOP is hoping that telling Americans there's a bad vibe is enough to win the midterms.

www.msnbc.com

Let face it. There just isn't a whole lot of truth that comes out of the GOP anymore. Of course, when their leader is a pathological liar, it's not hard to figure out why.

 

[DogBoyRy]

Let face it. There just isn't a whole lot of truth that comes out of the GOP anymore. Of course, when their leader is a pathological liar, it's not hard to figure out why.

Lying is important? You watched the vegetable in charge this month?

 

[Whatsgoingonwitgyouguys0190]

When you legalize weed and don’t bother to arrest many crimes in liberal cities due to stats can be a little misleading.
If anyone feels safer now they are looney.

Weeds been legal in a lot of places for a long time. If you’re scared for your safety all the time you’re an idiot.

 

[KFsdisciple]

Wait now MSDNC is the beacon of truth? Hardly.

 

[Whatsgoingonwitgyouguys0190]

Wait now MSDNC is the beacon of truth? Hardly.

Oh man this guy is so clever. He’s got all of the amazing thoughts. He keeps this up he’s going to get his grade 10.

 

[DogBoyRy]

I

Weeds been legal in a lot of places for a long time. If you’re scared for your safety all the time you’re an idiot.

Is that what i wrote dipshit?

 

[Whatsgoingonwitgyouguys0190]

I

Is that what i wrote dipshit?

Yes, yes, you are a scared little baby man. You’ve got nothing to live for but your Q holes. Sad sad little baby man.

 

[bhawk24bob]

Politicians have an interest in keeping crime stats low. There's BS on this topic on both sides but ultimately at the polls, people think this is an issue. So it's an issue.

Dems on the state and local level have caused this to be an issue, and it's going to hurt Dems at the national level it seems. So....address it and knock it off with States Attorneys that don't want to prosecute anything below arbitrarily-set thresholds and stop with doing away with the centuries-old standard of bail

 

[DogBoyRy]

Yes, yes, you are a scared little baby man. You’ve got nothing to live for but your Q holes. Sad sad little baby man.

Go vote for a vegetable.

 

[Whatsgoingonwitgyouguys0190]

Go vote for a vegetable.

Vegetables are not allowed to run for office, maybe mayor somewhere. Did Q tell you the veggies are running for office? Did you vote carrot or broccoli?
You’ll be okay fuzzy little man peach. If you go to sleep with some silver under your pillow JFK jr might come visit you and provide you with the next drop.

 

[TylerJ76]

When you legalize weed and don’t bother to arrest many crimes in liberal cities due to stats can be a little misleading.
If anyone feels safer now they are looney.

What does legalization of weed have to do with anything?

 

[DogBoyRy]

What does legalization of weed have to do with anything?

Put down the pipe stoner.
Arrests for weed no longer get counted.
Not that hard to keep up.

 

[TylerJ76]

Put down the pipe stoner.
Arrests for weed no longer get counted.
Not that hard to keep up.

I don’t smoke, Jackasss.

I’m so sorry that weed arrests made you feel unsafe.

 

[DogBoyRy]

I don’t smoke, Jackasss.

I’m so sorry that weed arrests made you feel unsafe.

Something seems to have impaired your ability to read and think.

 

[lucas80]

Put down the pipe stoner.

You know who never puts down the pipe? Your mom.

 

[Whatsgoingonwitgyouguys0190]

Something seems to have impaired your ability to read and think.

Not everyone is blessed by Q. Your inceldom truly makes you one of the enlightened. Don’t sleep with a woman or you’ll never meet jfk jr.

 

[SSG T]

It's the same people who think nobody wants to work because a bunch of crap jobs paying crap wages can't get filled.

 

[Jimmy McGill]

GOP can only win by scaring the public. Nixon, Reagan, W-2nd term

 

[Huey Grey]

Republican states are the most crime riddled states in America.

 

[DogBoyRy]

Republican states are the most crime riddled states in America.

Gold.
Huey - still waiting on your election predictions.

 

[ihhawk]

GOP can only win by scaring the public. Nixon, Reagan, W-2nd term

Or when voters go
To the grocery store

 

[Whatsgoingonwitgyouguys0190]

Or when voters go
To the grocery store

Generally they have to go to a polling place or drop box but I understand your confusion.

 

[Huey Grey]

Gold.
Huey - still waiting on your election predictions.

Google it. Rs states have higher violent crime rates.

 

[win1forthe]

Doesn’t matter if it’s true or not, it’s a talking point for all Republicans. If you say it enough, people will believe it.

 

[lucas80]

Doesn’t matter if it’s true or not, it’s a talking point for all Republicans. If you say it enough, people will believe it.

I don't think I have seen Chuck Grassley moving or talking in an ad from his campaign, but he is running the Hell out of ads showing black people out rampaging to instill fear into the electorate. LIBERAL MIKE FRANKEN will import gangs and the homeless to ravage white Iowa. It will work like a charm on the target audience.

 

[Tom Paris]

I guess you don’t watch tv

No…I just don’t want Fox entertainment channel and believe their admitted lies like you do.

 

[Tom Paris]

Lying is important? You watched the vegetable in charge this month?

False equivalency.

 

[Tom Paris]

Go vote for a vegetable.

Vegetable is far far more intelligent than you are. You’re full potato.

 

[Tom Paris]

Gold.
Huey - still waiting on your election predictions.

He’s right. Why do you refuse to learn??

 

[ihhawk]

Myths and Realities: Understanding Recent Trends in Violent Crime

The recent rise in crime is extraordinarily complex. Policymakers and the public should not jump to conclusions or expect easy answers.

www.brennancenter.org

 

[Whatsgoingonwitgyouguys0190]

Myths and Realities: Understanding Recent Trends in Violent Crime

The recent rise in crime is extraordinarily complex. Policymakers and the public should not jump to conclusions or expect easy answers.

www.brennancenter.org

The opening statement of your article with some things I highlighted for you:


Amid a series of interlocking crises, violent crime and some types of property crime rose across the country in 2020 in communities of all types. It is too soon to talk with precision about national crime trends in 2021, as the FBI has yet to publish national data. However, preliminary information suggests that increases in murder rates may have begun to slow.

 

[lucas80]

Lying is important? You watched the vegetable in charge this month?

Chuck Grassley?

 

[KFsdisciple]

Chuck Grassley?

I think he meant Joey corn pop

 

[Kinnick.At.Night]

And Cops are interested in making it look like crime is out of control so that funds don't get diverted.

This is an interesting take. What’s the status on crime in areas where defunding/disbanding has occurred?

 

[DogBoyRy]

He’s right. Why do you refuse to learn??

Learn something almost every day.
This week I learned fat (black mostly) people not fitting in airplane seats has reached a crisis stage our government has time to solve now. Learned this despite having 4 million miles flown (according to Delta and United).
Just yesterday I learned our president might think we have 54 states.