I know if I were playing Nebraska, I wouldn't be comfortable relying on a hail mary, overtime, or a last minute drive to score a touchdown or a long field goal in order to win.
I look at this year's Nebraska team as the football version of the 2012/2013 version of Iowa basketball. That team missed the tournament, but had they gone better than 1-7 in games decided by less than 5 points, they would have been a tournament team. If they had won even half of those games, they probably would have been in the top 25.
Nebraska is not a great team, but they do have quite a bit of talent on their team. They could easily beat Michigan State, which I think would probably actually help Iowa in the end. It would boost our SOS because we likely won't be playing Michigan State. I just don't see MSU beating OSU on the road.