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New polls show Kamala Harris leading or tied in most swing states with Donald Trump, who heads to North Carolina today. See more updates

cigaretteman

HB King
May 29, 2001
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Former President Donald J. Trump and Senator JD Vance of Ohio are stopping today in two crucial battleground states: Mr. Trump in North Carolina, a state he won by a single percentage point in 2020, and Mr. Vance in Michigan, which Mr. Trump carried in 2016 but lost four years later. The Republicans are hoping to take back some of the momentum Vice President Kamala Harris has swiftly gained since becoming the Democrats’ nominee.

New polling from the Cook Political Report reflected the energy around Ms. Harris, showing her leading Mr. Trump slightly or tied among likely voters in six of the seven battlegrounds polled — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Ms. Harris and her running mate, Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota, also picked up the endorsement of the Teamsters union’s Black caucus, though its parent union has remained silent.

Here’s what else to know:
  • On the trail: Mr. Trump is set to appear at a campaign event in Asheville, N.C., while Mr. Vance attended a small rally in Byron Center, Mich., just south of Grand Rapids. Mr. Walz continues his swing of solo campaign appearances with fund-raisers in Denver and Boston. Ms. Harris is scheduled to deliver an economy-focused speech on Friday in Raleigh, N.C., and she and Mr. Walz will campaign in Pittsburgh and western Pennsylvania on Sunday, the day before the Democratic National Convention kicks off.
  • Poll shows a shift: The new Cook poll was a marked change from the same surveys in May that showed Mr. Trump leading by a solid margin or tied across seven swing states. In the latest polling, he maintained a slim margin in just one: Nevada. The reversal in North Carolina is particularly stark — Mr. Trump held one of his largest leads there in May, and the candidates are now neck-and-neck.
  • Fall races set: A pair of prominent primaries were held on Tuesday. Representative Ilhan Omar, a progressive lightning rod, won the primary for her Minnesota seat. In Wisconsin, Eric Hovde, a wealthy businessman endorsed by Donald Trump, won the G.O.P. contest to challenge Senator Tammy Baldwin, the Democratic incumbent.
  • Union cries foul on Trump and Musk: The United Automobile Workers union filed charges with federal labor regulators accusing Mr. Trump and Mr. Musk, in their livestream this week, of voicing support for the practice of firing workers when they go on strike.
  • Doubling up: With Democrats gathering in Chicago for their nominating convention next week, the Harris campaign is planning for Ms. Harris and Mr. Walz to also hold a rally in Milwaukee — the same city where Republicans held their convention last month.
  • Arizona abortion measure: A proposal to establish a right to abortion in Arizona’s Constitution will be on the ballot in November — and it could influence turnout in the battleground state. Democrats have leveraged unhappiness about the Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe v. Wade into gains in elections up and down the ballot over the last two years, but Republicans are betting that they can also use ballot questions to drive turnout in their favor in Arizona.
  • Reaching out: Mr. Trump plans to meet with Miriam Adelson, the widow of the casino magnate Sheldon Adelson, after his aide sent her angry texts in his name. The messages accused her of having “RINOs” — meaning, Republicans in name only — running a super PAC, and that her late husband never would have tolerated it.

 
Trump has become unhinged since Harris replaced Biden
as the Democrat candidate for President. The polls are now
showing Harris with momentum as she is younger, and more
vibrant than Biden. Trump has met his match and he is going
to lose by a big margin in November. He is too negative and
divisive when compared to the positive stance of Harris.
 
i wholeheartedly agree with lute. people are tired of the negativity that trump and his supporters bring. they used to score some points with apolitical people before they just became the perpetually aggrieved party.
Trump blew it with the Elon interview. He could have shown a more human side by talking about things outside of politics like his kids or his hobbies or various other interests he has. Of course that human side doesn't exist. So he trotted out the same ramblings of his rallies. Dude is tired and rolling out tired lines. He's a hack.
 
Most importantly, it's a real bitch to get to the data set there but there are some interesting numbers




If you believe that, if Kamala and Trump are the 2 party candidates a third party will win.


I can't see the candidate pool but it's like 2600.
 
Trump blew it with the Elon interview. He could have shown a more human side by talking about things outside of politics like his kids or his hobbies or various other interests he has. Of course that human side doesn't exist. So he trotted out the same ramblings of his rallies. Dude is tired and rolling out tired lines. He's a hack.

LOL...someone just read torbee's post.
 
i wholeheartedly agree with lute. people are tired of the negativity that trump and his supporters bring. they used to score some points with apolitical people before they just became the perpetually aggrieved party.
Even if they like some GOP policies better, I know many folks who are just exhausted by the constant drama and insanity of Trump and just want it to go away.

I think that is an underrated component of this election season.

Does anyone really want four more years of chaos, weirdness and embarassment?
 
I love how the Trumpets are whining about Kamala not having held a formal news conference. Hell she really doesn't have to at this point. Trump's "news conferences" are softball and he is striking out and looking awful doing them.

He held a press conference several days back and it wasn't softball questions.
 
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Even if they like some GOP policies better, I know many folks who are just exhausted by the constant drama and insanity of Trump and just want it to go away.

I think that is an underrated component of this election season.

Does anyone really want four more years of chaos, weirdness and embarassment?
It’s seems clear at this point that the main thing propping up trumps numbers was voters checking out on Biden.

Trump needs an unmotivated electorate to win.
 
It's been widely reported that American's trust in the media is at an all time low. This election is sure to take it even lower.

The media has long trumpeted their important role within a democracy. But it would appear as though they are at worst, complicit in electing Harris, or at best, abdicating their responsibilities.

Harris is going to get away with this and will likely win the election.
 
Even if they like some GOP policies better, I know many folks who are just exhausted by the constant drama and insanity of Trump and just want it to go away.

I think that is an underrated component of this election season.

Does anyone really want four more years of chaos, weirdness and embarassment?
Pride1.jpg



(Trump zero new conflicts, Biden 3)


screen-shot-aidan-maese-czeropski-73821111-e1702754261584.jpg




Kamalajustspeaking.gif


Kamalaattemptingtocompleteasentence.gif
 
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Former President Donald J. Trump and Senator JD Vance of Ohio are stopping today in two crucial battleground states: Mr. Trump in North Carolina, a state he won by a single percentage point in 2020, and Mr. Vance in Michigan, which Mr. Trump carried in 2016 but lost four years later. The Republicans are hoping to take back some of the momentum Vice President Kamala Harris has swiftly gained since becoming the Democrats’ nominee.

New polling from the Cook Political Report reflected the energy around Ms. Harris, showing her leading Mr. Trump slightly or tied among likely voters in six of the seven battlegrounds polled — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Ms. Harris and her running mate, Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota, also picked up the endorsement of the Teamsters union’s Black caucus, though its parent union has remained silent.

Here’s what else to know:
  • On the trail: Mr. Trump is set to appear at a campaign event in Asheville, N.C., while Mr. Vance attended a small rally in Byron Center, Mich., just south of Grand Rapids. Mr. Walz continues his swing of solo campaign appearances with fund-raisers in Denver and Boston. Ms. Harris is scheduled to deliver an economy-focused speech on Friday in Raleigh, N.C., and she and Mr. Walz will campaign in Pittsburgh and western Pennsylvania on Sunday, the day before the Democratic National Convention kicks off.
  • Poll shows a shift: The new Cook poll was a marked change from the same surveys in May that showed Mr. Trump leading by a solid margin or tied across seven swing states. In the latest polling, he maintained a slim margin in just one: Nevada. The reversal in North Carolina is particularly stark — Mr. Trump held one of his largest leads there in May, and the candidates are now neck-and-neck.
  • Fall races set: A pair of prominent primaries were held on Tuesday. Representative Ilhan Omar, a progressive lightning rod, won the primary for her Minnesota seat. In Wisconsin, Eric Hovde, a wealthy businessman endorsed by Donald Trump, won the G.O.P. contest to challenge Senator Tammy Baldwin, the Democratic incumbent.
  • Union cries foul on Trump and Musk: The United Automobile Workers union filed charges with federal labor regulators accusing Mr. Trump and Mr. Musk, in their livestream this week, of voicing support for the practice of firing workers when they go on strike.
  • Doubling up: With Democrats gathering in Chicago for their nominating convention next week, the Harris campaign is planning for Ms. Harris and Mr. Walz to also hold a rally in Milwaukee — the same city where Republicans held their convention last month.
  • Arizona abortion measure: A proposal to establish a right to abortion in Arizona’s Constitution will be on the ballot in November — and it could influence turnout in the battleground state. Democrats have leveraged unhappiness about the Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe v. Wade into gains in elections up and down the ballot over the last two years, but Republicans are betting that they can also use ballot questions to drive turnout in their favor in Arizona.
  • Reaching out: Mr. Trump plans to meet with Miriam Adelson, the widow of the casino magnate Sheldon Adelson, after his aide sent her angry texts in his name. The messages accused her of having “RINOs” — meaning, Republicans in name only — running a super PAC, and that her late husband never would have tolerated it.

I heard on the radio this morning that the 'Double-Haters', those that didn't want Trump or Biden, are breaking toward Harris by a 54-24 margin.

That could be the election right there.
 
It's been widely reported that American's trust in the media is at an all time low. This election is sure to take it even lower.

The media has long trumpeted their important role within a democracy. But it would appear as though they are at worst, complicit in electing Harris, or at best, abdicating their responsibilities.

Harris is going to get away with this and will likely win the election.

you are truly delusional if you think they are helping kamala. their trust is at an all time low as it should be because certain segments of the mainstream media has been doing the both sides stuff nonstop for 6 years by engaging in trump’s efforts to have false equivalences on every issue. other segments are just plain propaganda machines who had to pay billions in settlements because they were caught lying.
 
I heard on the radio this morning that the 'Double-Haters', those that didn't want Trump or Biden, are breaking toward Harris by a 54-24 margin.

That could be the election right there.
Could be.

Also possible that Kamala hasn't even begun to be vetted yet and - as the electorate becomes more acquainted with how she has said she intends to govern - they will shit themselves, then vote for Trump.
 
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Could be.

Also possible that Kamala hasn't even begun to be vetted yet and - as the electorate becomes more acquainted with how she has said she intends to govern - they will shit themselves, then vote for Trump.
Some of you people think Kamala is a secret no one knows about. But the fact is, she's been winning major elections for the past 20 years. We all know who she is. There's no secret. Hell, most of us dems don't even like her. But she's not trump.
 
It's been widely reported that American's trust in the media is at an all time low. This election is sure to take it even lower.

The media has long trumpeted their important role within a democracy. But it would appear as though they are at worst, complicit in electing Harris, or at best, abdicating their responsibilities.

Harris is going to get away with this and will likely win the election.
Really? Crazy talk is crazy.
 
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Could be.

Also possible that Kamala hasn't even begun to be vetted yet and - as the electorate becomes more acquainted with how she has said she intends to govern - they will shit themselves, then vote for Trump.
This isn't much of a hope if you're Team Trump. If they had a good line of attack against her they'd be using it by now. Her policies aren't very likely to shift this election.
 
This isn't much of a hope if you're Team Trump. If they had a good line of attack against her they'd be using it by now. Her policies aren't very likely to shift this election.
Read an article today stating that she plans to give a policy-based speech this Friday in which she is going to explain how what she learned as VP shifted some of her more progressive views to the center - specifically around fracking and border issues.

GOP will try to accuse her of lying and pandering (and frankly, it is a little pandering) but it likely will help reassure more right-center/moderate voters concerned about her liberal Senatorial voting record.
 
Some of you people think Kamala is a secret no one knows about. But the fact is, she's been winning major elections for the past 20 years. We all know who she is. There's no secret. Hell, most of us dems don't even like her. But she's not trump.
She won a Senate seat in California. But when put on stage with a broad spectrum of opposition, she was overwhelmingly unpopular. She's going to have to speak & live in the public eye here very soon, it remains to be seen how people will ultimately react to her candidacy.
 
She won a Senate seat in California. But when put on stage with a broad spectrum of opposition, she was overwhelmingly unpopular. She's going to have to speak & live in the public eye here very soon, it remains to be seen how people will ultimately react to her candidacy.
She's been in the public eye for three weeks now. The public's response has been to like her more and more with each passing day.
 
Read an article today stating that she plans to give a policy-based speech this Friday in which she is going to explain how what she learned as VP shifted some of her more progressive views to the center - specifically around fracking and border issues.

GOP will try to accuse her of lying and pandering (and frankly, it is a little pandering) but it likely will help reassure more right-center/moderate voters concerned about her liberal Senatorial voting record.

She's about to turn 60. A lifetime of progressive policy positions.

You can't unring that bell.
 
She won a Senate seat in California. But when put on stage with a broad spectrum of opposition, she was overwhelmingly unpopular. She's going to have to speak & live in the public eye here very soon, it remains to be seen how people will ultimately react to her candidacy.
Sure. And to your point, in rally after rally, folks have been reacting better than expected so far.
 
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Former President Donald J. Trump and Senator JD Vance of Ohio are stopping today in two crucial battleground states: Mr. Trump in North Carolina, a state he won by a single percentage point in 2020, and Mr. Vance in Michigan, which Mr. Trump carried in 2016 but lost four years later. The Republicans are hoping to take back some of the momentum Vice President Kamala Harris has swiftly gained since becoming the Democrats’ nominee.

New polling from the Cook Political Report reflected the energy around Ms. Harris, showing her leading Mr. Trump slightly or tied among likely voters in six of the seven battlegrounds polled — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Ms. Harris and her running mate, Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota, also picked up the endorsement of the Teamsters union’s Black caucus, though its parent union has remained silent.

Here’s what else to know:
  • On the trail: Mr. Trump is set to appear at a campaign event in Asheville, N.C., while Mr. Vance attended a small rally in Byron Center, Mich., just south of Grand Rapids. Mr. Walz continues his swing of solo campaign appearances with fund-raisers in Denver and Boston. Ms. Harris is scheduled to deliver an economy-focused speech on Friday in Raleigh, N.C., and she and Mr. Walz will campaign in Pittsburgh and western Pennsylvania on Sunday, the day before the Democratic National Convention kicks off.
  • Poll shows a shift: The new Cook poll was a marked change from the same surveys in May that showed Mr. Trump leading by a solid margin or tied across seven swing states. In the latest polling, he maintained a slim margin in just one: Nevada. The reversal in North Carolina is particularly stark — Mr. Trump held one of his largest leads there in May, and the candidates are now neck-and-neck.
  • Fall races set: A pair of prominent primaries were held on Tuesday. Representative Ilhan Omar, a progressive lightning rod, won the primary for her Minnesota seat. In Wisconsin, Eric Hovde, a wealthy businessman endorsed by Donald Trump, won the G.O.P. contest to challenge Senator Tammy Baldwin, the Democratic incumbent.
  • Union cries foul on Trump and Musk: The United Automobile Workers union filed charges with federal labor regulators accusing Mr. Trump and Mr. Musk, in their livestream this week, of voicing support for the practice of firing workers when they go on strike.
  • Doubling up: With Democrats gathering in Chicago for their nominating convention next week, the Harris campaign is planning for Ms. Harris and Mr. Walz to also hold a rally in Milwaukee — the same city where Republicans held their convention last month.
  • Arizona abortion measure: A proposal to establish a right to abortion in Arizona’s Constitution will be on the ballot in November — and it could influence turnout in the battleground state. Democrats have leveraged unhappiness about the Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe v. Wade into gains in elections up and down the ballot over the last two years, but Republicans are betting that they can also use ballot questions to drive turnout in their favor in Arizona.
  • Reaching out: Mr. Trump plans to meet with Miriam Adelson, the widow of the casino magnate Sheldon Adelson, after his aide sent her angry texts in his name. The messages accused her of having “RINOs” — meaning, Republicans in name only — running a super PAC, and that her late husband never would have tolerated it.

455243234_1031315108390986_4260762172358401011_n.jpg
 
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With Harris winning in the three swing states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, all she would need is one more win in either Georgia, Arizona, or Nevada. The election has definitely shifted in her favor.
 
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