WHO: Michigan Wolverines (9-6, 3-1 Big Ten)
WHEN: 6:01 PM CT (Thursday, January 12, 2023)
WHERE: Jersey Mike's Arena (Piscataway, NJ) Carver-Hawkeye Arena (Iowa City, IA)
TV: ESPN2 (Brian Custer and Jon Crispin)
RADIO: Hawkeye Radio Network (Gary Dolphin and Bobby Hansen) | Sirius/XM 84
MOBILE: ESPN app
ONLINE: WatchESPN
FOLLOW: @IowaAwesome | @IowaHoops | @IowaonBTN
LINE: Iowa -6.0
KENPOM: Iowa -5 (65% chance of winning)
G Tony Perkins (10.8 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.3 spg, 0.3 bpg, 38.8 FG%, 29.7 3FG%)
G Ahron Ulis (5.3 ppg, 1.9 rpg, 2.7 apg, 0.6 spg, 0.2 bpg, 33.7 FG%, 26.3 3FG%)
F Connor McCaffery (7.8 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.3 spg, 0.0 bpg, 44.2 FG%, 37.0 3FG%)
F Kris Murray (20.9 ppg, 9.6 rpg, 1.6 apg, 0.7 spg, 1.1 bpg, 52.2 FG%, 38.7 3FG%)
F Filip Rebraca (14.5 ppg, 8.8 rpg, 2.1 apg, 0.7 spg, 1.5 bpg, 59.1 FG%, 40 3FG%)
Michigan
G Dug McDaniel (6.1 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.2 spg, 0.0 bpg, 36.8 FG%, 32.0 3FG%)
G Kobe Bufkin (12.4 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 2.7 apg, 1.5 spg, 0.8 bpg, 45.8 FG%, 31.4 3FG%)
F Jett Howard (14.3 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 2.5 apg, 0.6 spg, 0.9 bpg, 44.4 FG%, 36.7 3FG%)
F Terrance Williams (7.3 ppg, 6.7 rpg, 0.8 apg, 0.5 spg, 0.2 bpg, 37.1 FG%, 29.5 3FG%)
C Hunter Dickinson (18.7 ppg, 8.2 rpg, 1.0 apg, 0.6 spg, 1.7 bpg, 56.7% FG, 37.5 3FG%)
Quadrant 1: Home 1-30, Neutral 1-50, Away 1-75
Quadrant 2: Home 31-75, Neutral 51-100, Away 76-135
Quadrant 3: Home 76-160, Neutral 101-200, Away 135-240
Quadrant 4: Home 161-353, Neutral 201-353, Away 241-353
So far this season Iowa is 3-3 in Quad 1 games, 2-2 in Quad 2 games, 1-0 in Quad 3 games, and 4-1 in Quad 4 games. (You don't need me to remind you what that Quad 4 loss was.) Iowa can't afford many Quad 3 or Quad 4 losses and still sustain an NCAA Tournament push. Granted, this win could become a Quad 2 game if Michigan improves their lot over the remainder of the season, but that's probably not something Iowa wants to bank on.
While the Hawkeyes enter this game on a two-game winning streak, Michigan is fresh off a narrow 59-53 loss to Michigan State on Saturday. Prior to that defeat, Michigan had gone undefeated in Big Ten play, smashing Minnesota in early December and earning easy home wins over Maryland and Penn State. Michigan has been much better at home this season, going 6-2 in Ann Arbor and just 3-4 in road and neutral court games. In fact, their only road win so far this season was over a very bad Minnesota team.
Michigan and Iowa have fairly similar stat profiles, especially on offense, where both teams have efficient offenses (Iowa ranks 15th, Michigan ranks 44th) that have equivalent effective field goal rates (50.8% for Michigan, 50.9% for Iowa), get to the free throw line at similar rates, and avoid turning the ball over (Michigan turns the ball over on just 13% of offensive possessions, 2nd best nationally, while Iowa gives it away on only 14%, 6th best). One notable difference? Offensive rebounding. Iowa has been grabbing around 32% of their misses (74th nationally), while Michigan gets just 23% of their misses (320th).
WHEN: 6:01 PM CT (Thursday, January 12, 2023)
WHERE: Jersey Mike's Arena (Piscataway, NJ) Carver-Hawkeye Arena (Iowa City, IA)
TV: ESPN2 (Brian Custer and Jon Crispin)
RADIO: Hawkeye Radio Network (Gary Dolphin and Bobby Hansen) | Sirius/XM 84
MOBILE: ESPN app
ONLINE: WatchESPN
FOLLOW: @IowaAwesome | @IowaHoops | @IowaonBTN
LINE: Iowa -6.0
KENPOM: Iowa -5 (65% chance of winning)
PROJECTED STARTING FIVE
IowaG Tony Perkins (10.8 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.3 spg, 0.3 bpg, 38.8 FG%, 29.7 3FG%)
G Ahron Ulis (5.3 ppg, 1.9 rpg, 2.7 apg, 0.6 spg, 0.2 bpg, 33.7 FG%, 26.3 3FG%)
F Connor McCaffery (7.8 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.3 spg, 0.0 bpg, 44.2 FG%, 37.0 3FG%)
F Kris Murray (20.9 ppg, 9.6 rpg, 1.6 apg, 0.7 spg, 1.1 bpg, 52.2 FG%, 38.7 3FG%)
F Filip Rebraca (14.5 ppg, 8.8 rpg, 2.1 apg, 0.7 spg, 1.5 bpg, 59.1 FG%, 40 3FG%)
Michigan
G Dug McDaniel (6.1 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.2 spg, 0.0 bpg, 36.8 FG%, 32.0 3FG%)
G Kobe Bufkin (12.4 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 2.7 apg, 1.5 spg, 0.8 bpg, 45.8 FG%, 31.4 3FG%)
F Jett Howard (14.3 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 2.5 apg, 0.6 spg, 0.9 bpg, 44.4 FG%, 36.7 3FG%)
F Terrance Williams (7.3 ppg, 6.7 rpg, 0.8 apg, 0.5 spg, 0.2 bpg, 37.1 FG%, 29.5 3FG%)
C Hunter Dickinson (18.7 ppg, 8.2 rpg, 1.0 apg, 0.6 spg, 1.7 bpg, 56.7% FG, 37.5 3FG%)
PREVIEW
Michigan enters Iowa City tonight for a game that Iowa probably can't afford to lose. The Wolverines are 9-6 on the season and 3-1 in Big Ten play, and while those are respectable totals, they rank just 50th in the KenPom rankings -- and 78th in the current NET rankings. That NET ranking is significant because 78 puts Michigan into Quad 3 territory for Iowa. As a refresher:Quadrant 1: Home 1-30, Neutral 1-50, Away 1-75
Quadrant 2: Home 31-75, Neutral 51-100, Away 76-135
Quadrant 3: Home 76-160, Neutral 101-200, Away 135-240
Quadrant 4: Home 161-353, Neutral 201-353, Away 241-353
So far this season Iowa is 3-3 in Quad 1 games, 2-2 in Quad 2 games, 1-0 in Quad 3 games, and 4-1 in Quad 4 games. (You don't need me to remind you what that Quad 4 loss was.) Iowa can't afford many Quad 3 or Quad 4 losses and still sustain an NCAA Tournament push. Granted, this win could become a Quad 2 game if Michigan improves their lot over the remainder of the season, but that's probably not something Iowa wants to bank on.
While the Hawkeyes enter this game on a two-game winning streak, Michigan is fresh off a narrow 59-53 loss to Michigan State on Saturday. Prior to that defeat, Michigan had gone undefeated in Big Ten play, smashing Minnesota in early December and earning easy home wins over Maryland and Penn State. Michigan has been much better at home this season, going 6-2 in Ann Arbor and just 3-4 in road and neutral court games. In fact, their only road win so far this season was over a very bad Minnesota team.
Michigan and Iowa have fairly similar stat profiles, especially on offense, where both teams have efficient offenses (Iowa ranks 15th, Michigan ranks 44th) that have equivalent effective field goal rates (50.8% for Michigan, 50.9% for Iowa), get to the free throw line at similar rates, and avoid turning the ball over (Michigan turns the ball over on just 13% of offensive possessions, 2nd best nationally, while Iowa gives it away on only 14%, 6th best). One notable difference? Offensive rebounding. Iowa has been grabbing around 32% of their misses (74th nationally), while Michigan gets just 23% of their misses (320th).
