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So, a week out from New Hampshire...

Mar 14, 2003
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How does the NH primary go?

I think Sanders wins, but by single digits

The Republican side, I am not sure how it will go.
-Can Trump keep his lead?
-Who makes a surge? Cruz? Rubio? or a guy like Kasich or Christie who has devoted more time in NH?
 
First of all, history shows that if you win Iowa, then you will
lose New Hampshire. So Sanders and Trump are in luck,
and Clinton and Cruz will lose in NH.

Secondly, you have already seen Huckabee withdraw from
the race, and Christie, Bush, Fiorina, Paul, Kasich should
start planning their exit strategy.
 
My guess is that Bernie wins, but it's close enough that he only wins maybe 7 or 8 of 13 delegates.

On the GOP side I wouldn't be surprised to see Trump win, since independents can vote either party. But again, it'll be close enough that they split candidates, possibly as many as 5 ways.

I don't think anyone on either ticket takes a noticeable lead until Super Tuesday.
 
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