I know this has been talked about quite a bit over the years, and already earlier this year, and once again it rears it's ugly head (largely because it's a trend that keeps repeating itself). Captain Kirk's done a lot of really good things at Iowa (thanks again to Norm Parker), but as I've stated many times, his record against Iowa State alone should have had him gone years ago, IMO (we could throw in Minnesota and others, but why bother).
Anyway, here are some stats primarily dating back to 2006, in regards to the Big Ten only, and teams winning percentages when double-digit favorites. It does NOT break down Home or Road, so it could be even uglier than it already is, but, no matter. This is from a recent article from Mike Hlas (CR Gazette), who I don't believe is real fond of Iowa anyway, but he didn't pull these stats out of thin air for his own amusement (I also haven't confirmed them, but have little reason to doubt them, largely because it's common knowledge it's a huge issue, but go ahead and prove him wrong I guess).
Cover your eyes if you must...................
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All told, Iowa is 35-13 as a double-digit favorite since the start of the 2006 season for a winning percentage of .729. The next-worst is Northwestern’s 21-4 (. 840) and Minnesota’s 16-3 (. 842). Nebraska has the second-most losses as double-digit favorites since ’06 with seven. But that’s accompanied by 50 wins.
Ohio State is 83-4, Wisconsin 63-2, Michigan 48-1, Penn State 44-1 … you get the idea.
In fairness, Kirk Ferentz’s 1999-2005 Iowa teams were 18-0 when double-digit favorites. Which is pretty much what you’re supposed to be when you’re favored by that much
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So, there you have it. A pretty nice breakdown of what most of us already know, just typed up in a nice little package. This compilation is the primary reason why Kirk lost me as one of his lap dogs many years ago. And you may have noticed we are not trending in the right direction. It's maddening. It really is.
http://www.thegazette.com/subject/sports/hlas-double-digit-dogs-biting-hawkeyes-again-20161002
Anyway, here are some stats primarily dating back to 2006, in regards to the Big Ten only, and teams winning percentages when double-digit favorites. It does NOT break down Home or Road, so it could be even uglier than it already is, but, no matter. This is from a recent article from Mike Hlas (CR Gazette), who I don't believe is real fond of Iowa anyway, but he didn't pull these stats out of thin air for his own amusement (I also haven't confirmed them, but have little reason to doubt them, largely because it's common knowledge it's a huge issue, but go ahead and prove him wrong I guess).
Cover your eyes if you must...................
---------------------------------------------------------
All told, Iowa is 35-13 as a double-digit favorite since the start of the 2006 season for a winning percentage of .729. The next-worst is Northwestern’s 21-4 (. 840) and Minnesota’s 16-3 (. 842). Nebraska has the second-most losses as double-digit favorites since ’06 with seven. But that’s accompanied by 50 wins.
Ohio State is 83-4, Wisconsin 63-2, Michigan 48-1, Penn State 44-1 … you get the idea.
In fairness, Kirk Ferentz’s 1999-2005 Iowa teams were 18-0 when double-digit favorites. Which is pretty much what you’re supposed to be when you’re favored by that much
---------------------------------------------------------
So, there you have it. A pretty nice breakdown of what most of us already know, just typed up in a nice little package. This compilation is the primary reason why Kirk lost me as one of his lap dogs many years ago. And you may have noticed we are not trending in the right direction. It's maddening. It really is.
http://www.thegazette.com/subject/sports/hlas-double-digit-dogs-biting-hawkeyes-again-20161002
