I've many times thought the same thing. How do school like NW State (sorry had to do it), W. Michigan and West Tennessee Tech have multiple guards who can shoot, defend and leap out of the gym and we are chasing them from behind?
Assuming we are a 2-4 seed, we won't see any teams in Round 1 like the upper echelon of the Big 10. Round 2 to get to Sweet 16 its possible, but as stated the Tournament is all about guard play, matchups and how you play that day. A dull shooting night and you meet up with a hot shooting, yet overmatched team and it could be lights out! Team will give Garza his 30 and 12, we just need to have at least one of Weezy/CJ/JBo etc hitting their shots. If not, it will look like the Indiana game.