This might be a little tougher than Putin thought...
- Thread starter Nole Lou
- Start date
That drone just needs to ping that location for a cluster munition to finish the job.
Perhaps a partial explanation for those high numbers of artillery losses for Russia throughout the conflict. Stupidity and lack of training and concern for the crews is probably another piece of the high loss rate.
Shoigu is meeting Kim Jong Un in order to bend the knee and beg for help. The Russians got some artillery rounds last year, but there were immediately stories about a high dud rate.
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-arsenal-kim-weapons-95a4249a8c3746682f6649e13c718fb3
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-arsenal-kim-weapons-95a4249a8c3746682f6649e13c718fb3
Good shot.
"Hell of War The moment a Ukrainian mortar shell fell on a group of Russian soldiers in the Solidar-Siversk sector."
"Hell of War The moment a Ukrainian mortar shell fell on a group of Russian soldiers in the Solidar-Siversk sector."
I sung my song to Mr. Jimmy, Yeah
and he said one word to me, and that was "dead"
I hope they are part of an entertainment tour.
Russia is moving 46 Iskander missile launchers to the border areas. I don’t know where they’ve been, or if the Russians have been holding them in reserve, but this seems like a precursor to overwhelming Ukrainian defenses in a large scale attack against civilian targets. This is exactly the kind of thing Putin is known for when he is desperate.
www.newsweek.com
Russia deploys 46 Iskander missile launchers on Ukraine's border: Kyiv
Russia has repeatedly struck Ukraine using Iskander missiles according to Kyiv's military intelligence agency.
www.newsweek.com
Woke up at 12:30 can’t go back to sleep so I’ll give you the numbers today. @Tenacious E sorry if I’m stepping on your toes.
Putin -"F my country, I have to save my own skin."
I just realized that I’m awake before our resident vampire. Guess I’m working a 10 hour day on 3 hours of sleep!Putin -"F my country, I have to save my own skin."
+2 dead Russians
This is a new order which will make a total of 80 Marders so far from Germany.
It’s a nice touch that they’d be clustering those juicy targets so close to HIMARS range with that field of sunflowers in the foreground.
“Recruited”Putin -"F my country, I have to save my own skin."
Just take 'em out using NATO forces now.Russia is moving 46 Iskander missile launchers to the border areas. I don’t know where they’ve been, or if the Russians have been holding them in reserve, but this seems like a precursor to overwhelming Ukrainian defenses in a large scale attack against civilian targets. This is exactly the kind of thing Putin is known for when he is desperate.
Russia deploys 46 Iskander missile launchers on Ukraine's border: Kyiv
Russia has repeatedly struck Ukraine using Iskander missiles according to Kyiv's military intelligence agency.
Eff it. Say Ukraine did it.
Putin -"F my country, I have to save my own skin."
Putin cannot replace the equipment and ammunition that's being destroyed.
Arm Ukraine to the hilt; Russia will fold this winter when they cannot resupply.
Add Ukraine to NATO the minute they take back Crimea and dare Putin to shoot one more missile at them.
"Novodonetske cut off? MilitaryLab reports that #Ukraine made their way to the supply route from #Kermenchyk to Novodonets'ke after clearing mines. Since field paths in the direction #Novomaiorske are also interrupted, there is a risk of encirclement."
Once Ukraine breaks thru the main Russian lines and can indiscriminately target Russian re-supply lines, this becomes a WWII "island hopping" exercise.
Ukraine will be able to take one town after another, and isolated islands of Russians w/o supply will fall, easily.
Ukraine will be able to take one town after another, and isolated islands of Russians w/o supply will fall, easily.
I wonder how Ukraine can do this with Russia having nore naval and air power. Are the Russians that afraid of the drone ships? It just seems to me that duty on these would be a death sentence. (Air attack and naval missiles.)
Maybe this is more of a raid.
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"Bridging equipment-we don't need any stinking bridging equipment." 
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For those who need higher blood pressure. This is the lady who sang at the site where Russia bombed the building that had "children" painted on the roof and killed hundreds.
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This wind farm really may cause cancer (Just kidding.)
(Just kidding.)
- Sep 13, 2002
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Another excellent weekend update from Phillps O'Brien:
Mykola and I are extremely flattered with the interest and feedback. We have now more than 9000 downloads, and its only been 4 days (I think that would put it in the top 1% of all podcasts released). Right now its only available through this substack though the plan is to get it on Apple Podcasts and maybe Spotify going forward. We were not quite expecting the high level of interest, and had what might best be termed a soft, low key opening. We plan now to have one approximately every two weeks. We also plan to start adding some guests, particularly from Ukraine. The Counteroffensive In the podcast there were three points in particular that I want to expand upon, because I think they are really important in understanding how the counteroffensive has gotten here and where it might be going. They are Russian defensive choices, the importance of maintaining Ukrainian strength, and the fact that people might be assuming weather will play a greater role in slowing/ending the counteroffensive than may indeed be the case. The Russian defense question, as Mykola laid out, is interesting because even though the Russians have built many lines of defenses across Zaporizhzhia Oblast¹, they seem to be putting almost all their forces in the front line—indeed they are transferring forces from other parts of the fighting to hold the front line in Zaporizhzhia as much as possible. This seems to have become a particularly acute problem for them as the Ukrainians, slowly but methodically, are pushing out what might best be called Robotyne-Verbove bulge (see below).
Now the Russians packing the front line indicates a few things—possibly. One of the most interesting, as Mykola indicated in the podcast, is that they might not trust their army to have either the morale or the training to execute strategic withdrawals. In others words, they are pressing people forward, and keeping them there, out of a fear of being more flexible because they don’t trust their own army. If this is compounded by the fact, as Ukrainian sources said two weeks ago, that the Russian second and third defensive lines are not nearly so well constructed (the Ukrainian estimate was that the Russians had put 60% of their effort into building the front line, leaving much less for the rear lines), then you can see the overriding importance of Russia trying to hold the front. If so, the problem the Russians would face is that if they ever do have gaps appear because of high losses and pushing their forces forward, the Ukrainians may finally be able to exploit these openings. We seem to be a ways from that—but the fact that they are packing the front line is worthy of note. In the podcast we also expressed our mutual frustration with the ridiculous criticisms made by analysts and anonymous sources about the Ukrainian reluctance to suffer heavy casualties, perhaps best exemplified by the Ukrainian decision to discontinue direct, mass vehicle assaults on Russian lines. Im sure you remember the ridiculous claims that Ukraine needed to fight more like NATO (more about that at the end). These criticisms seemed based on the fallacy that this war was being bought by NATO forces according to NATO rules—when it isnt anything like that. NATO would never attempt an offensive like this without air supremacy—and to be honest, NATO has never fought a war anything like this. Ukraine needs to be careful with its soldiers lives for a number of reasons. First, the average Ukrainian soldier has shown him/herself to be superior in initiative and learning to their Russian counterpart. Throughout the war the skill of the Ukrainian soldier has been an important part of Ukrainian success (exemplified by the fact that over the last year Ukraine has liberated far more territory than Russia has seized, while Ukraine has suffered significantly fewer casualties). Second, as a democracy, Ukrainians care about their own casualties far more, it seems than the Russian population. A democracy has great advantages in war, being supported strongly by its society, and as such its important that Ukrainian society not believe its soldiers are being wasted. Third—Ukraine’s one significant numerical disadvantage in war fighting terms is that its population is considerably smaller than Russia’s. It cant afford to sacrifice its motivated, democratically supported soldiers unless the goal is worth it. Right now, in the counteroffensive its not. As such, preserving Ukrainian soldier strength is vital. This builds up to the third point made on the podcast, the counteroffensive will continue well into the Autumn. There has been some talk that the Ukrainians will have to cease operations in the Autumn when the weather turns. This seems based on, once again, assuming this war is what people expected it to be—not what it is. As fast, long distance AFV penetrations are no rare, and much of the advances we see are made up of steady, incremental, relatively short range movements, weather wont make the kinds of significant difference people expected. Ukraine (if it preserves its soldiers and equipment—which it is doing) can keep this up for a while. Btw, after these points were made on the podcast, it was fascinating to see Kyrylo Budanov say exactly the same thing.² This offensive will not stop for bad weather. So add it all together—the Russians packing the front line, the Ukrainians trying to conserve their soldiers and equipment, and the possibility of fighting well into the Autumn—and hopefully Ukrainian strategy makes sense. Share ATACMS? The signs are looking good for the eventual transfer of ATACMS to Ukraine (or should we say disgracefully late transfer). ABC News published a story that claimed to rely on anonymous administration officials, which said the decision had been made to transfer them in a coming defense package.³ "They are coming," said one official who had access to security assistance plans. The official noted that, as always, such plans are subject to change until officially announced. A second official said the missiles are "on the table" and likely to be included in an upcoming security assistance package, adding that a final decision has not been made. It could be months before Ukraine receives the missiles, according to the official. If this happens this will be most welcome, but its so weird that once again the US is providing systems too late to have made a major difference (or any difference at all) for the counteroffensive—which is more than three months underway. Had Ukraine had these in the late Spring, the could have helped devastate Russian logistics, particularly in and coming out of Crimea, leaving all those Russian forces packed into the first defensive line in worse shape. Basically the gamble at the end of 2022 and early 2023 was that massed armored assaults could still work. Now the understanding seems to be that they are of limited value unless an enemy has been so weakened that they can only weakly resist. Which is actually now something that is informing US defense plans. |
I'm not ever condoning the backhanding of a woman or saying that it is ok or anything I'd ever do... I'm just saying, in some extremely rare cases... I understand.
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