What would we have learned? Please explain.
That Russia is a parasitic expansionist totalitarian shit hole? They feel the need to expand their misery to their neighbors by murder, rape, and pillage like their stupid ass ancestors did for 400 years?
No amount of “understanding” that history and behavior will ever justify what Russia has done for the last thirty years.
I hope Putin dies a miserable & painful death. Do you?
I made the comment back on the Olympics as he was talking. I said, He Would Kill Us All.
However 30 years ago and even through the 90s Russia was in disarray. Yeltsin was anything but a threat to the west or Ukraine through the 90s. It was then the west should have poured money into Russia and Ukraine.
The Soviets were never after world domination. They were a paranoid bunch of codgers that were paranoid of each other, their citizenry, and especially Ronald Reagan. Reagan totally misread them. They didn't collapse because we forced them to spend on the military, they collapses because they didn't keep up their oil infrastructure and the western bankers pulled their credits.
There are two big events that caused unrest that we don't think much about. Russian and Ukraine are meat-centric cultures. Of all people Carter with the grain embargo (which clobbered Iowa) caused significant unrest as they liquidated their herds. When young Russians/Ukrainians were able to access Beatles records, the young people became less satisfied with traditional ways.
Russians and Ukrainians alike can withstand a lot of hardships...what Americans would consider undoable. Russians/Ukrainian culture looks forward over decades. They also place huge importance on food and military security. Ukraine was a handful for the Soviets after WW2 with military action against the right wingers (that supported Hitler) into the 1950s and it didn't stop until Stephan Bandera was killed in I think Germany.
Americans and most westerners think about right now. It's why we operate our food supply on a just enough and just in time basis. Ukraine will cut off exports when supplies get lower even though it would help their farmers to get better prices as keeping people fed is very important to them in preventing unrest.
What should the US have done? Poured in support in the 90s for Yeltsin and others.
Stronger incentives to force Ukraine to adopt the discouragement of corruption at a level Americans can't believe. Same thing in Russia during the 90s. In Ukraine you pay judges. He who has deeper pockets wins usually. Bombings, fires, tax auditors and prison sentences keep people in line.
More recently, Biden should have never....EVER been allowed as a sitting VP (and John Kerry who escapes this) dabble in Burisma and the Donbas development. Regardless of what the media tells you, the Bidens were in it deep. Putin would only take that as a threat.
Looking from Moscow to the west the terrain is largely prairie. Much of the east 2/3 of Ukraine looks like Iowa/IL with in a lot of cases better soils. There is NO natural barrier once out of the mountains to the west to use as a military barrier. Hitler took advantage of that only was delayed because Italy invaded the Balkans and got into trouble. The Russian absolutely don't trust NATO weapons being that close to Moscow and they want the Black Sea open to them to block vulnerability. The US has never had a major incursion war on our soil since the War of 1812. Russia has been devastated over the years.
Another item, the US 101st Airborne should never have trained Svoboda, Right Sector, and Azov (and others) militarily, though Azov kicked Russian but at Mariupol 10 years ago which is why Putin destroyed Mariupol this time around. The Ukrainian military was unbelievably bad. Similar (and a lot of Russia military groups) to what we used to watch on Rocky and Bullwinkle with Boris and Natasha fighting Moose and Squirrel.
How might I approach things currently?
-First, secure better relationships with China.
-Work to undermine Putin politically. It can be done
-Move in US military assets and put up boundaries we will not cross. Station them at Kyiv west with minor forces at Poltava/Kremenchuk. Absolutely put the line at the Dneipro in the southwest of the fighting area, Poltava in the NE, Donbas in the SE.
-Pour money into the economy. 15 years ago the Hr was 4-1 to 5-1 to USD. At the time Russia invaded it was about 40-1. Now I think it's 25-1.
-Extreme pressure to fight/reduce corruption.
-Don't put in a President with an American wife name Kathy/Katcha.
-Putin will not make it to 80. Not that long.
-Stop Ukraine from hitting Russia
-Give up Donbas but try incentives
-Let Russia have Crimea
-Bolster Odesa.
Not defending Russia, but Russia does have an Islamic problem. Let them focus on that.
Fighting Islamics did hurt the Soviet economy in Afghanistan but not as much as previously mentioned items.
This can go on a very long time and Russia has more resolve than the west. Unless Russia collapses they aren't giving up. Longer it goes on that could happen, but also increases the chance of exchanging Des Moines for Rostov.