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This might be a little tougher than Putin thought...

The thing I still don’t get is Russia’s lack of air superiority. They should have been able to control the skies from day 1. It’s like Ukraine sinking the submarine and warships without a functioning navy. So I will also say their lack of ability to control the sea. And I suppose to round it out land too.
I think I have commented on this before. The way Russian pilots are trained makes them very reliant on ground radar or AWAC support to even function. They can’t get ground radar close enough to be effective in Ukrainian airspace and their AWACS appear to be useless high value targets. If they try to operate in Ukrainian airspace or even close to Ukrainian airspace the Ukrainian airforce appears to be fully capable of defeating them.
 
(I can only go 20 minutes into recent X-don't know if it is their problem or mine.)




The sudden offensive in Kursk is emerging as a big story. If they can grab another huge chunk of Russia, the Trump/Putin “peace” plan looks more and more ridiculous. I really get the sense with some of these surrenders and chatter things are suddenly really getting dicey for Russia like we have not seen since Wagner began marching to Moscow. Add to this the Russian economy hangs by a thread and the refinery attacks are impacting…2025 could be a great year for Ukraine and NATO.
 
The sudden offensive in Kursk is emerging as a big story. If they can grab another huge chunk of Russia, the Trump/Putin “peace” plan looks more and more ridiculous. I really get the sense with some of these surrenders and chatter things are suddenly really getting dicey for Russia like we have not seen since Wagner began marching to Moscow. Add to this the Russian economy hangs by a thread and the refinery attacks are impacting…2025 could be a great year for Ukraine and NATO.
I think the biggest development is the consistent hitting of oil production assets. Russia is more than willing to give the blood if its men and the blood will never run dry, but if the oil runs dry…
 
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