First - a quick recap of the action last night (only mentioning strong positive or negative outcomes):
Onto the current slate!
Iowa @ Wisconsin - Obviously the most important game of the night. I may run some simulations today to see if we can survive without this W, but until I see tangible numbers, it's a must win.
Houston @ Cincinnati - Houston is on the bubble with an RPI near what we're shooting for. Any loss helps bring that further from the bubble, and a win here would give them a strong case barring losses the rest of the way.
Florida International @ Middle Tennessee - Middle Tennessee is one of the rare mid-majors that is garnering some hope for an at-large should they lose in their conference tournament. A bad loss late in the season should dash those hopes.
UT Arlington @ Louisiana Monroe - UT Arlington is in the same spot as Middle Tennessee, a loss removes any hope of an at-large bid.
Cal @ Utah - Cal is near the cut line, so adding any losses will help other bubble teams.
- LSU beats Tennessee -- Mea culpa on this one as I mistyped that LSU was on the bubble, I meant Tennessee was on the bubble, so this fully eliminates Tennessee from contention. It is SEC Tourney Champs or bust for the Vols.
- Vermont beat Maine handily. Someone pointed out that beyond NCAA hopes, we should be rooting for conference champions to open spots in the NIT; so I am changing my allegiances and backing Vermont the rest of the way.
- Illinois beats MSU in one of the worst results for us, vaulting them squarely onto the cut line.
- Wake Forest got their signature win over Louisville in another of the worst results for the Hawks.
- Marquette beat Xavier and moves right to the cut line. We will now root against both as Xavier has moved down to the cut line.
Onto the current slate!
Iowa @ Wisconsin - Obviously the most important game of the night. I may run some simulations today to see if we can survive without this W, but until I see tangible numbers, it's a must win.
Houston @ Cincinnati - Houston is on the bubble with an RPI near what we're shooting for. Any loss helps bring that further from the bubble, and a win here would give them a strong case barring losses the rest of the way.
Florida International @ Middle Tennessee - Middle Tennessee is one of the rare mid-majors that is garnering some hope for an at-large should they lose in their conference tournament. A bad loss late in the season should dash those hopes.
UT Arlington @ Louisiana Monroe - UT Arlington is in the same spot as Middle Tennessee, a loss removes any hope of an at-large bid.
Cal @ Utah - Cal is near the cut line, so adding any losses will help other bubble teams.
