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Worse investment? $5 Billion for a Wall or $100 Billion for Light Speed Rail in California

What is a worse investment of taxpayer money?

  • $5 Billion for a wall at southern' border is a bigger waste of money

    Votes: 29 39.2%
  • $100 Billion for a light speed rail in California is a bigger waste of money

    Votes: 33 44.6%
  • Both are equally GOOD ideas

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Both are equally BAD ideas

    Votes: 12 16.2%

  • Total voters
    74
They both offer economic output. 100 billion for something that wont be finished (and is not wanted by the majority in the state of CA) or 5 billion for something that could be finished in 4 years and curtails the drug, sex and child trafficking. Dems don't care much about the latter especially when they can spend 20x that amount on something the USA doesn't want - we like to drive freely vs being sardines.
That’s disingenuous. You know you can’t finish a wall for 5 billion. But illegals make the economy bank. Transportation makes bank. The wall will hurt the economy. The train will help it. Math isn’t in the wall’s side, it will always be a drain.
 
If the discussion is strictly about economic benefits and ROI, yes. However, the purpose of homeless shelters or air ventilators for firemen have nothing to do with economics so it's really an odd straw man you've created here.

Maybe you should look what I responded to.

I responded to someone who said that the train was better than the wall (which has nothing to do with economics) because it helped the economy. So, in pretty much on point.
 
Maybe you should look what I responded to.

I responded to someone who said that the train was better than the wall (which has nothing to do with economics) because it helped the economy. So, in pretty much on point.

Sure it does. The train improves infrastructure which provides jobs and economic benefits to the areas the train reaches.
 
#1 - The LA/SF rail line will not be operational for years.
#2 - The final, FINAL price tag will be well north of $100B
#3 - The proposed stations to catch the light rail are not advantageous to target markets (i.e. frequent business travelers
#4 - Once operational, it will syphen off travelers who already utilize other means of transportation (air travel, car). The infrastructure to support those employ more than what a high speed rail effort would. Therefore, no net-new riders and existing infrastructure workers would take a hit. If it were much cheaper and projected to turn a profit then you could argue this is worthwhile.
#5 - This train is already projected to not turn a profit.
#6 - The lifespan of the line is 100 years. If it opens on time in 2033, 25 years would have passed since inception. It will be deep in the red already and operate at a loss. Then, voters will need to approve funding plans to support rebuilding the damn thing for future generations by the time they take their first ride.
#7 - Autonomous cars may be well into production by 2033 and will operate at a far cheaper cost per mile than the train and offer privacy for riders. California should divert funds to invest in autonomous infrastructure which can be profitable.

https://reason.org/wp-content/uploads/files/california_high_speed_rail_report.pdf
 
Do the benefits outway the costs?

I would say yes, especially given how miserable of an experience flying is these days. It certainly is a better benefit to cost ratio than a worthless wall on the border.

But I'm sure there are many people who would disagree with me.
 
So our choices are:

20784707973_63fa6c1396_b.jpg


berlin-wall-fall-1989-4-1800x800.jpg


Both seem like bad options to me.
You (as usual) forgot to add in drug smugglers, child sex traffickers, gang bangers, etc. But that would not fit your narrative.
 
That’s disingenuous. You know you can’t finish a wall for 5 billion. But illegals make the economy bank. Transportation makes bank. The wall will hurt the economy. The train will help it. Math isn’t in the wall’s side, it will always be a drain.
Actually a wall (or what is left to be built) can be done with 5 billion (you just refuse to believe or see that). THe rail on the other hand will never make the 100 bilion back it is going to cost. Why are you so against LEGAL immigration? I am all for LEGAL immigration so those coming in can be properly vetted, like you and I when we (legal citizens) try to fly from A to B.
 
You (as usual) forgot to add in drug smugglers, child sex traffickers, gang bangers, etc. But that would not fit your narrative.

Please do tell me exactly what my narrative is bc I do get mixed signals from the resident republicans and democrats.
 
Can’t we just get Mexico to pay for both of these projects? There, problem solved.
 
One increases economic output, the other decreases it. Pretty simple which investment will pay off better.
Their high speed rail project will easily lose 5B per year forever. There is no passenger rail system in the world that is profitable. None!
 
There is no passenger rail system in the world that is profitable. None!

Huh?
https://www.railjournal.com/in_depth/passenger-growth-and-international-success-boosts-db-profits

GERMAN Rail (DB) achieved a 5.2% increase in revenue in 2017 to €42.7bn which translated into a 37.1% jump in pre-tax profit to €968m, a 2.8% rise in adjusted Ebitda to €4.93bn, and a 10.6% increase in adjusted Ebit to €2.15bn.

DB’s CEO Dr Richard Lutz, who presented the financial results for 2017 in Berlin on March 22, attributes DB’s “favourable performance in 2017” to passenger growth and better performance outside Germany at passenger operator DB Arriva and freight and logistics subsidiary DB Schenker.
 
Their high speed rail project will easily lose 5B per year forever. There is no passenger rail system in the world that is profitable. None!

I agree, but I’d like to make an exception for the monorail at Disney. Also, Thomas the Train makes serious bank. Dude’s got t-shirt and pajamas line, toy line, dishware. He everywhere bro.
 
Actually a wall (or what is left to be built) can be done with 5 billion (you just refuse to believe or see that). THe rail on the other hand will never make the 100 bilion back it is going to cost. Why are you so against LEGAL immigration? I am all for LEGAL immigration so those coming in can be properly vetted, like you and I when we (legal citizens) try to fly from A to B.
Your facts are wrong on the cost. And you’re inventing a position that I’m against legal immigration. You’re about to strike out.
 
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Their high speed rail project will easily lose 5B per year forever. There is no passenger rail system in the world that is profitable. None!
They all are when you factor in the cost to replace them. You think too small.
 
Actually a wall (or what is left to be built) can be done with 5 billion (you just refuse to believe or see that). THe rail on the other hand will never make the 100 bilion back it is going to cost. Why are you so against LEGAL immigration? I am all for LEGAL immigration so those coming in can be properly vetted, like you and I when we (legal citizens) try to fly from A to B.

You do know that it's legal for someone to walk up to our borders and request asylum, right?

Amtrak makes money when you factor in the cost to replace it with roads and cars.

Amtrak is quite profitable on it's rail lines shorter than 400 miles, which account for 80% of Amtrak's passengers........it's routes over 750 miles are the ones that bleed money.

As Adie Tomer, one of the report's co-authors, explained to me by phone, the best way to think of Amtrak is that it's essentially two different train systems rolled into one. One system is quite successful, the other isn't.

First, there are Amtrak's shorter passenger routes that run less than 400 miles and tend to connect major cities. Think of the Acela Express in the Northeast, or the Pacific Surfliner between San Diego and Los Angeles. These 26 routes carry four-fifths of Amtrak's passengers, or 25.8 million riders per year. And they're growing rapidly. Taken as a whole, these shorter routes are profitable to operate — mainly because the two big routes in the Northeast Corridor earn enough to cover losses elsewhere.

Then there are Amtrak's 15 long-haul routes over 750 miles. Many of these were originally put in place to placate members of Congress all over the country, and they span dozens of states. This includes the California Zephyr route, which runs from Chicago to California and gets just 376,000 riders a year. All told, these routes lost $597.3 million in 2012.
 
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/30/us/california-high-speed-rail.html

A $100 Billion Train: The Future of California or a Boondoggle?
In the face of sharp opposition and questions about how to pay for it, construction of California’s high-speed rail line is roaring ahead.

FRESNO, Calif. — It is vigorously opposed by Republicans, including President Trump. It has been plagued by escalating costs and delays. Californians are mostly against it. And a central question — how is it going to be paid for — remains unresolved.

But here in the Central Valley, far from the debates in Washington and Sacramento, the $100 billion Los Angeles-to-San Francisco bullet train has moved off the drawing board and onto 21 construction sites spread across five Central California counties.

Work began two weeks ago on one of the more ambitious pieces of the project — an overpass that will carry trains over a major highway in Fresno — and ground will be broken on three more viaducts in the next few months. Nearly 2,000 workers are on the job, starting as early as 5 a.m. to avoid the 110-degree afternoon heat. “Simply put, dirt is flying in the Central Valley,” the High-Speed Rail Authority declared in a recent business plan.

Yet for all the cranes, crews in orange vests, beeping trucks and fresh concrete, it remains far from certain that this project will ever be completed. In addition to the lack of funding, it faces opposition from both Mr. Trump and Kevin McCarthy, the Bakersfield Republican who is the House majority leader.
It was called the BROWNDOGGLE when I lived in Cali. It will likely never be completed ... but if it is, the only people who will ride will be people forced by the government to do so. It's already a total failure.
More proof that communist central planning fails every time.
 
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You do know that it's legal for someone to walk up to our borders and request asylum, right?



Amtrak is quite profitable on it's rail lines shorter than 400 miles, which account for 80% of Amtrak's passengers........it's routes over 750 miles are the ones that bleed money.

As Adie Tomer, one of the report's co-authors, explained to me by phone, the best way to think of Amtrak is that it's essentially two different train systems rolled into one. One system is quite successful, the other isn't.

First, there are Amtrak's shorter passenger routes that run less than 400 miles and tend to connect major cities. Think of the Acela Express in the Northeast, or the Pacific Surfliner between San Diego and Los Angeles. These 26 routes carry four-fifths of Amtrak's passengers, or 25.8 million riders per year. And they're growing rapidly. Taken as a whole, these shorter routes are profitable to operate — mainly because the two big routes in the Northeast Corridor earn enough to cover losses elsewhere.

Then there are Amtrak's 15 long-haul routes over 750 miles. Many of these were originally put in place to placate members of Congress all over the country, and they span dozens of states. This includes the California Zephyr route, which runs from Chicago to California and gets just 376,000 riders a year. All told, these routes lost $597.3 million in 2012.
Wall all day, CA has pissed the high-speed rail monies down their legs. USA is not EU, we don't and won't use rail for much travel, we are too independent.
 
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I'll answer after a realistic cost estimate for the wall is done. $5B was just a number pulled out of thin air.
This is the number a guy like elon musk would pull out to get funding and then either never deliver or require more funding once he had you on the hook.
 
So, Walmarts are better investments than homeless shelters or air ventilators for firemen?
Like most Americans you can’t see the bigger picture. Better modes of transportation increase economic outcomes. It’s better than flying.

Now if you want to make the point that the cost has spiraled from the original $45b estimate you’d have a point. Although most US infrastructure projects are over budget.

The wall was symbolic.
 
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