So you're thinking 7 or 8, not really 5 then. That's reasonable. 5 would mean pretty major regression, on an easier schedule, which just doesn't seem likely at all.More likely, 5. I don't see 10 wins on their schedule. If I'm being 100% honest and not just dicking around I think they get 7 or 8 wins. Arizona and the Titans are games they could get.
If I had to bet I'd say 9 but to me 10 is very reasonable
Wins vs -
Titans (first yr head coach, shitty qb, wr1 injured, only won 6 games ly)
Colts or Jags (they should win 1 of these)
Panthers
Commanders
Cardinals
Patriots (arguably the 4 worst teams in NFL in 4 straight weeks)
Vikings x 2
Lions at home
Seahawks at home
And just like always in the NFL they'll likely win 1-2 they shouldn't and lose 1-2 they shouldn't.