The issue is you don’t know you are in a recession until several months later. Consumer confidence has fallen off a cliff in just 2-3 weeks. Business investment has been strong as a counterweight, but the canaries in the coal mine of consumer sentiment flipping and rising unemployment are there. If I miss a run I’m ok with it. I’m watching Bitcoin, will it break 100k and go on its expected run, or will it break below 95k and head towards 70k. I think that is what in using for my investor confidence barometer.