Dec 24 ESPN Bracketology: Iowa is on the bubble & the 4th team out

[WestCoastHawkI]

I think he’s a lot more squared up with most of his shots than you think. He’s got an extremely quick release.

And Fran has long preached that he wants his shooters to shoot when they have open looks, no matter the shot clock.

I mean it's not thinking it's fact. He does not defy the laws of physics nor shooting technique. He is not squared up nor set up. He's shooting 30% for the year. The stats don't lie. He pulled up for a bad shot on a 3v1 last week. Just smooth brained decisions. He's forcing things trying to be the guy.

 

[Mohawkeye]

Not being a jerk, but I understand the Quad system. My point was that road games have a higher likelihood of landing in the Q1 column due to the higher weighting. Just like home games have a higher likelihood of landing in Q2 or below. Just an observation.

No. I’m not being a jerk either. I understood your point. Your observation is fair. Somewhat obvious, but accurate and substantive.

 

[Franisdaman]

I don't see a point spread yet but ESPN gives Michigan a 74.9% chance of winning tomorrow.

I am just glad that the worst case scenario is we end up being 1-1 in conference play.

Iowa vs. Michigan (Dec 7, 2024) Live Score - ESPN

Live coverage of the Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines NCAAM game on ESPN, including live score, highlights and updated stats.

www.espn.com

 

[ObeseMuffins]

Does Mulvey play?

 

[IllQChawk]

Because the coach Fran doesn't value height, and will probably play Brauns over Mulvey, Saturdays game is going to be basically a throw away game. Without help from Traore or Koch, rebounding is going to get ugly against the 2 seven footers that Michigan plays and unless Freeman, Harding, Dix, and Payton go off and keeps it close, tomorrows game could be over by half time, similar to the Purdue/Penn St game.
Still can't figure out why coach Fran redshirted Riley last year if he didn't intend to use him this year. Coaching malpractice.....that's about the jest of it!!

 

[Cydkar]

It's amazing to me that anyone pays any attention to Lunardi.

Is it the 50+ crowd?

I'm over 50 and i sure don't.

 

[AmericaNeedsMe]

I'm over 50 and i sure don't.

The longevity of his clearly flawed schtick amazes me.

 

[jonesy5960]

Because the coach Fran doesn't value height, and will probably play Brauns over Mulvey, Saturdays game is going to be basically a throw away game. Without help from Traore or Koch, rebounding is going to get ugly against the 2 seven footers that Michigan plays and unless Freeman, Harding, Dix, and Payton go off and keeps it close, tomorrows game could be over by half time, similar to the Purdue/Penn St game.
Still can't figure out why coach Fran redshirted Riley last year if he didn't intend to use him this year. Coaching malpractice.....that's about the jest of it!!

We have to be missing something with Mulvey. At first I thought it had something to do with a lack of offense which seems to be Fran's sole focus more often than not. You can't convince me that Brauns brings more to the table than Mulvey on either end of the court and yet he's appeared in 7 games while Mulvey had only appeared in 4. It's not even close from a rebounding perspective. It's almost a self-fulfulling prophecy for Iowa at this point. Mulvey brings more rebounding potential than anyone on a team that absolutely sucks at rebounding and Fran refuses to play him.

Edit: On a per 40 basis Mulvey is tops on the team at 14.4 and Brauns is one of the worst at 4.3, barely above Thelwell.

 

[sober_teacher]

I mean it's not thinking it's fact. He does not defy the laws of physics nor shooting technique. He is not squared up nor set up. He's shooting 30% for the year. The stats don't lie. He pulled up for a bad shot on a 3v1 last week. Just smooth brained decisions. He's forcing things trying to be the guy.

You know he’s been playing hurt, right?

 

[WestCoastHawkI]

You know he’s been playing hurt, right?

I don't buy it. If you're hurt why would you shoot 16 3s in a game? PR for NBA scouts.

 

[BirdistheWord]

I know he’s been banged up but I sure thought Tadjo would be part of the rotation. On the other hand, in the one game he’s played in he got 4 fouls in 5 minutes, so maybe he needs more work than thought.

Kinda wish he’d redshirted after missing so much of of the early non conference, the rotation is likely to tighten up from here on outside a couple remaining cupcakes.

He just needs some minutes. He was way to revved up in the foul fest you referenced. Love his size, bounce and motor.

 

[sober_teacher]

I don't buy it. If you're hurt why would you shoot 16 3s in a game? PR for NBA scouts.

Literally nothing we’ve seen or heard about him the past 3 years says he’s a selfish player.

 

[jonesy5960]

Literally nothing we’ve seen or heard about him the past 3 years says he’s a selfish player.

I agree. I think he's just doing what Fran has told him to do, even if it appears to make little sense sometimes. Otherwise Fran would sit him down.

Was Sandfort even on the floor at the end of the Northwestern game? If not that's really interesting.

 

[sober_teacher]

I agree. I think he's just doing what Fran has told him to do, even if it appears to make little sense sometimes. Otherwise Fran would sit him down.

Was Sandfort even on the floor at the end of the Northwestern game? If not that's really interesting.

Yes, he was.

And Fran has always told his shooters to keep shooting; it’s the only way to get out of slump. We saw Sandfort without those shoulder bandages - whatever they’re called for the first time in a couple weeks, so hopefully that’s a sign that he’s getting healthy.

 

[Grumpy Old Hawk]

If losing at the end by 5 or less vs good teams, but never winning was important for NCAA resume Iowa would be a top seed.

 

[Franisdaman]

Iowa is on the bubble and the 5th team out in today's bracket


The Full Bracket:

Bracketology: Could Duke nab the No. 1 overall seed?

The SEC continued to dominate in this week's edition of Bracketology, but is Duke making a run toward a top seed?

www.espn.com

 

[Franisdaman]

Iowa is right there.

Dave is the founder of Bracketville.

 

[AmericaNeedsMe]

Iowa is on the bubble and the 5th team out in today's bracket


The Full Bracket:

Bracketology: Could Duke nab the No. 1 overall seed?

The SEC continued to dominate in this week's edition of Bracketology, but is Duke making a run toward a top seed?

www.espn.com

The B1G won't get 11 teams in. Perhaps 10. Most likely 9.

Purdue
Maryland
Michigan State
Michigan
Oregon
UCLA
Illinois
Ohio State
Indiana
Maybe one of Penn State/Rutgers/Iowa

 

[Franisdaman]

 

[Franisdaman]

Dec 17, 2024 Update:

Joe Lunardi/ESPN projects the B1G getting 10 teams into the NCAA Tournament.

The 10 Teams & their projected Seed:
3 Oregon
4 Purdue
4 UCLA
5 Michigan State
6 Michigan
6 Illinois
8 Maryland
8 Wisconsin
10 Penn State (Gets 1 of Last 4 byes)
12 Ohio State (Last team in)

Others, on the Bubble:
Nebraska.......1st Team OUT
Indiana..........4th Team OUT
IOWA.............8th Team OUT


The Full Bracket:

Bracketology: Could Duke nab the No. 1 overall seed?

The SEC continued to dominate in this week's edition of Bracketology, but is Duke making a run toward a top seed?

www.espn.com

 

[BurgHawk87]

MSN

Hats off to MSN on this piece of work

 

[jonesy5960]

MSN

Hats off to MSN on this piece of work

You're joking I assume?

"The current starting five includes players, Even Brauns, Brock Harding, Drew Thelwell, Josh Dix, and Trey Buchanan"

 

[BubsFinn]

8th team out isn’t the bubble. You are clearly out.
The bubble might go as far as the third team in very rare situations, but 8th and you’re closer to the NIT bubble.

 

[SDHawkDoc]

8th team out isn’t the bubble. You are clearly out.
The bubble might go as far as the third team in very rare situations, but 8th and you’re closer to the NIT bubble.

Game against utah looms large relative to tourney bid chances.

 

[Buffalo43]

No. I’m not being a jerk either. I understood your point. Your observation is fair. Somewhat obvious, but accurate and substantive.

I like the movie The Jerk

 

[QChawks]

You're joking I assume?

"The current starting five includes players, Even Brauns, Brock Harding, Drew Thelwell, Josh Dix, and Trey Buchanan"

Trey is having a heck of a year

 

[jonesy5960]

Trey is having a heck of a year

I can't believe that Braun is starting ahead of Freeman and Mulvey.

 

[HawkeyeGenius]

8th team out isn’t the bubble. You are clearly out.
The bubble might go as far as the third team in very rare situations, but 8th and you’re closer to the NIT bubble.

The first two teams left from the conference don't go to the NIT. They go to that new Vegas tournament.

 

[BirdistheWord]

I can't believe that Braun is starting ahead of Freeman and Mulvey.

Lloyd Braun

 

[AmericaNeedsMe]

This can't be right. We just scored 100+ points in a win against New Orleans.

But seriously...Utah is looking like a must win kind of matchup. Beating New Hampshire (#360 out of 364 teams) by 50, is not going to move the needle.

Haslametrics says Iowa in a close one:

Haslametrics: A unique approach to college basketball analysis

The goal of Haslametrics is to provide unique statistical insight and to offer predictive analysis based on teams' prior performances in a given season.

haslametrics.com

ESPN says Utah: https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/game/_/gameId/401715385/utah-iowa

 

[Mohawkeye]

This can't be right. We just scored 100+ points in a win against New Orleans.

But seriously...Utah is looking like a must win kind of matchup. Beating New Hampshire (#360 out of 364 teams) by 50, is not going to move the needle.

Haslametrics says Iowa in a close one:

Haslametrics: A unique approach to college basketball analysis

The goal of Haslametrics is to provide unique statistical insight and to offer predictive analysis based on teams' prior performances in a given season.

haslametrics.com

ESPN says Utah: https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/game/_/gameId/401715385/utah-iowa

I think the next two games against Utah and at Wisconsin will tell us a lot about the team. Win those two and we’re in great shape for a nice run. Lose them and the whole season looks to be a struggle. I think Fran’s teams usually make a jump in play this time of year.

 

[fivecardstud14]

This can't be right. We just scored 100+ points in a win against New Orleans.

But seriously...Utah is looking like a must win kind of matchup. Beating New Hampshire (#360 out of 364 teams) by 50, is not going to move the needle.

Haslametrics says Iowa in a close one:

Haslametrics: A unique approach to college basketball analysis

The goal of Haslametrics is to provide unique statistical insight and to offer predictive analysis based on teams' prior performances in a given season.

haslametrics.com

ESPN says Utah: https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/game/_/gameId/401715385/utah-iowa

It’s not a must win matchup with so many Q1 games left against B1G competition. Step off the ledge.

 

[Franisdaman]

I think the next two games against Utah and at Wisconsin will tell us a lot about the team. Win those two and we’re in great shape for a nice run. Lose them and the whole season looks to be a struggle. I think Fran’s teams usually make a jump in play this time of year.

If this team would take an interest in rebounding, I think they could make some noise

 

[markfromj]

It’s not a must win matchup with so many Q1 games left against B1G competition. Step off the ledge.

My work is done.

 

[littlez]

I know Ohio St has plot very tough schedule but they have been ridiculously bad in some games. They aren’t even close to a tournament team. 38 pt loss to Auburn, down 60-23 to Maryland, not very competitive against A & M, I mean cmon. Last team in? How?

 

[Franisdaman]

 

[jonesy5960]

The first two teams left from the conference don't go to the NIT. They go to that new Vegas tournament.

That's cool. I can go visit my son then. See! It's a win-win for me. 😃

 

[SDHawkDoc]

This can't be right. We just scored 100+ points in a win against New Orleans.

But seriously...Utah is looking like a must win kind of matchup. Beating New Hampshire (#360 out of 364 teams) by 50, is not going to move the needle.

Haslametrics says Iowa in a close one:

Haslametrics: A unique approach to college basketball analysis

The goal of Haslametrics is to provide unique statistical insight and to offer predictive analysis based on teams' prior performances in a given season.

haslametrics.com

ESPN says Utah: https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/game/_/gameId/401715385/utah-iowa

Maybe not a must win. But a loss to utah puts more pressure on the conference schedule.
Probably 11 league wins at a minimum. Possibly 12.

 

[HawkeyeGenius]

That's cool. I can go visit my son then. See! It's a win-win for me. 😃

I go to Vegas during March Madness, and I'd considered pushing it back if Iowa makes that Vegas tournament. Not sure it's going to work on two weeks notice though with airfare, hotel, work.

 

[HawkeyeGenius]

Maybe not a must win. But a loss to utah puts more pressure on the conference schedule.
Probably 11 league wins at a minimum. Possibly 12.

I absolutely think it's a must win. My guess is a loss drops the NET to 65-70. Iowa really needed to go 1-1 against Michigan & ISU especially since they were so damn close. It stings.