Drumpf Losing in Landslide

[GOHOX69]

My New Favorite Analyst Says Fox News Polls Show Trump Losing in A Landslide

There is a lot to go into, so let me just put his tweets/posts in here and judge for yourself. It makes a lot of sense. I have been following this fellow since his video last weekend when I wrote about it. I did the math. I agree with him I too need...

www.dailykos.com

 

[Chishawk1425]

Agreed. Team 🇺🇸 is sick of this anti American Fascist cult

 

[ICHerky]

Haha, Daily Kos🤣🤣🤣

This will surprise all of you but I watch Fox News from time to time. And as much would have it, they just released their final polls for the “blue wall” states and he is agead by one in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and exactly tied in Michigan.

All of those are better for him than the previous, meaning things are trending Trumps way.

Tuesday will be fun.

 

[goldmom]

Haha, Daily Kos🤣🤣🤣

This will surprise all of you but I watch Fox News from time to time. And as much would have it, they just released their final polls for the “blue wall” states and he is agead by one in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and exactly tied in Michigan.

All of those are better for him than the previous, meaning things are trending Trumps way.

Tuesday will be fun.

None of this is fun.

 

[Bonerfarts]

 

[stickman80]

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Stevie and Trump losing in a landslide have 1 thing in common.

Both would give me wood.

 

[Chishawk1425]

 

[LunchBox50]

I GUESS THIS ELECTION ISN'T TOO BIG TO RIG!!!!!!!!!!

 

[Menace Sockeyes]

Wishful thinking, OP. Republicans tend to vote on Election Day at a higher percentage than Democrats, who tend to vote early at a higher percentage.

 

[Huey Grey]

At least Trump has McDonalds worker and garbage man on his resume to fall back on.

 

[RagnarLothbrok]

My New Favorite Analyst Says Fox News Polls Show Trump Losing in A Landslide

There is a lot to go into, so let me just put his tweets/posts in here and judge for yourself. It makes a lot of sense. I have been following this fellow since his video last weekend when I wrote about it. I did the math. I agree with him I too need...

www.dailykos.com

How is what they’re showing indicating Trump will lose in a landslide?

My guess is Kamala wins Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Nevada. That would put her around 276, assuming there aren’t any surprises in other states. That is not a landslide.

It’s possible she gets North Carolina and/or Georgia. Long shot in Arizona methinks. If she wins the aforementioned states and NC, GA, and AZ, then perhaps you can call it a landslide. Otherwise, this is going to be pretty close, unfortunately. Also bear in mind it’s still possible for her to lose any of the rustbelt states. And if Pennsylvania goes to Trump, it’s probably turn out the lights for Kamala.

How you are this confident is a total mystery.

 

[Huey Grey]

How is what they’re showing indicating Trump will lose in a landslide?

My guess is Kamala wins Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Nevada. That would put her around 276, assuming there aren’t any surprises in other states. That is not a landslide.

It’s possible she gets North Carolina and/or Georgia. Long shot in Arizona methinks. If she wins the aforementioned states and NC, GA, and AZ, then perhaps you can call it a landslide. Otherwise, this is going to be pretty close, unfortunately. Also bear in mind it’s still possible for her to lose any of the rustbelt states. And if Pennsylvania goes to Trump, it’s probably turn out the lights for Kamala.

How you are this confident is a total mystery.

Women. That's how I'm confident. And also, Trump looks like a blow up doll.

 

[Hoosierhawkeye]

Honestly anyone who thinks they know with any degree of certainty who is going to win is fooling themselves IMO.

 

[Hoosierhawkeye]

How is what they’re showing indicating Trump will lose in a landslide?

My guess is Kamala wins Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Nevada. That would put her around 276, assuming there aren’t any surprises in other states. That is not a landslide.

It’s possible she gets North Carolina and/or Georgia. Long shot in Arizona methinks. If she wins the aforementioned states and NC, GA, and AZ, then perhaps you can call it a landslide. Otherwise, this is going to be pretty close, unfortunately. Also bear in mind it’s still possible for her to lose any of the rustbelt states. And if Pennsylvania goes to Trump, it’s probably turn out the lights for Kamala.

How you are this confident is a total mystery.

To be fair if the Dems are going to flip NC this would be the year. Embarrassing Republican candidate for governor dragging the party down plus the hurricane damage may make it more difficult for some of Trump's base to vote.

 

[goldmom]

Honestly anyone who thinks they know with any degree of certainty who is going to win is fooling themselves IMO.

Agreed, and if you haven’t already bitten your nails down to a nub save them for Tuesday because it’s going to be real live nail biter.

 

[RagnarLothbrok]

And also, Trump looks like a blow up doll.

When hasn’t he?

 

[jasonrann]

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Without a doubt, the BEST version of this song ever. Beautifully sang, played and the love that existed between those two was still there.

Thank you for sharing!

 

[FAUlty Gator]

Looking like 2016 all over again. Exactly how Huey and the rest were acting then with their Hillary predictions. Then he went away for 6 months. At least hang around if it happens again, Huey. Stay and fight the good fight.

 

[bunsen82]

I GUESS THIS ELECTION ISN'T TOO BIG TO RIG!!!!!!!!!!

Guess not. Just got to get your voter base out to the polls. Trump has a fix amount of people willing to vote. You just have to get more people out than his base to win. Just like in 2022, no red wave will materialize. Markets are down pretty big today, and I think due to having to calculate Harris will be President rather than Trump. Ive been saying this for a while.

 

[LunchBox50]

Guess not. Just got to get your voter base out to the polls. Trump has a fix amount of people willing to vote. You just have to get more people out than his base to win. Just like in 2022, no red wave will materialize. Markets are down pretty big today, and I think due to having to calculate Harris will be President rather than Trump. Ive been saying this for a while.

So you believe the continued market gains in the past six months were because of the belief that Trump would win?

 

[bunsen82]

How is what they’re showing indicating Trump will lose in a landslide?

My guess is Kamala wins Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Nevada. That would put her around 276, assuming there aren’t any surprises in other states. That is not a landslide.

It’s possible she gets North Carolina and/or Georgia. Long shot in Arizona methinks. If she wins the aforementioned states and NC, GA, and AZ, then perhaps you can call it a landslide. Otherwise, this is going to be pretty close, unfortunately. Also bear in mind it’s still possible for her to lose any of the rustbelt states. And if Pennsylvania goes to Trump, it’s probably turn out the lights for Kamala.

How you are this confident is a total mystery.

I don't think landslide is the correct terminology, but from going from prognosticators and betting sites saying she is going to lose, to pretty confidently she is going to win, and maybe pretty handily. Lets say she does win all 7 battle ground states. First off thats pretty impressive, secondly, that has potential ramifications on senate races.

 

[95Hawk]

Guess not. Just got to get your voter base out to the polls. Trump has a fix amount of people willing to vote. You just have to get more people out than his base to win. Just like in 2022, no red wave will materialize. Markets are down pretty big today, and I think due to having to calculate Harris will be President rather than Trump. Ive been saying this for a while.

lol @ the “insights” around market performance.

A more logical explanation would be Microsoft’s and Meta’s latest news.

But go on with the Trump narrative.

 

[bunsen82]

So you believe the continued market gains in the past six months were because of the belief that Trump would win?

I think the last 2 weeks to a month (basically since mid September) have been some large investment entities changing their portfolio and expecting higher markets with a Trump presidency. I don't think its a correct thesis, but you have had no less than 12 different major institutions state as much on CNBC on the interviews I have heard. So if you have a contrarian thesis its an easy way to make money.

 

[bunsen82]

lol @ the “insights” around market performance.

A more logical explanation would be Microsoft’s and Meta’s latest news.

But go on with the Trump narrative.

How does Meta have anything to do with Bitcoin down 2 grand today. I am not saying some of performance related info is to reports, but this is a widespread selloff, not a 2 stock phenomenon. DJT has taken a dump the last 2 days as well.

 

[pjhawk]

I want to believe but I'm highly suspect of the source.

 

[Aardvark86]

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Interesting headline. Can't access the underlying article. A couple of questions for those who can...

Does it say...
1. What the number of "early voters who did not vote in 2020" was?
2. What percentage of "early voters who did not vote in 2020" were women (without regard to party)?

Again, I have little doubt that these suggest advantages for Harris, but I suspect that the headlines suggest a bit more than many would hope. For example in a perfect distribution among two variables (sex, party), you'd expect 25% women D, or perhaps a little more if there are more registered D's than R's, or if more women are registered than men generally (which there are). So we're talking about a potential deviation of 8%+/- of a subset of unknown size.

Some day, regardless of next week's outcome, somebody's going to write one hell of an academic paper on the subject of confirmation bias based on the runup.

 

[Aardvark86]

I don't think landslide is the correct terminology, but from going from prognosticators and betting sites saying she is going to lose, to pretty confidently she is going to win, and maybe pretty handily. Lets say she does win all 7 battle ground states. First off thats pretty impressive, secondly, that has potential ramifications on senate races.

Yeah, i've been noodling what would constitute a landslide in this election. For my money, given how close the 7 battlegrounds are, for either candidate it probably takes winning all seven, plus something else. Maybe winning all seven if the margins are all comfortable.

 

[Chishawk1425]

 

[Jcchawk]

At least Trump has McDonalds worker and garbage man on his resume to fall back on.

I'm guessing that's two more jobs than you have on yours.

 

[RicoSuave102954]

My New Favorite Analyst Says Fox News Polls Show Trump Losing in A Landslide

There is a lot to go into, so let me just put his tweets/posts in here and judge for yourself. It makes a lot of sense. I have been following this fellow since his video last weekend when I wrote about it. I did the math. I agree with him I too need...

www.dailykos.com

America may someday have a female President but it won't be kneel down Harris.

 

[franklinman]

Who ever wins this election will inherit a beautiful economy, inflation down to 2.2, great employment numbers, maybe not tomorrow, with the big strike, 2 huge storms that have shut down employment in many states. Gas ,fuel down to the lowest prices in months.

 

[Chishawk1425]

Who ever wins this election will inherit a beautiful economy, inflation down to 2.2, great employment numbers, maybe not tomorrow, with the big strike, 2 huge storms that have shut down employment in many states. Gas ,fuel down to the lowest prices in months.

It'll be decimated in record time if the terrorist somehow does

 

[bunsen82]

It'll be decimated in record time if the terrorist somehow does

Sadly who ever wins, will likely run into some major headwinds in the next year or two.

 

[RicoSuave102954]

Who ever wins this election will inherit a beautiful economy, inflation down to 2.2, great employment numbers, maybe not tomorrow, with the big strike, 2 huge storms that have shut down employment in many states. Gas ,fuel down to the lowest prices in months.

They will inherit a country that is overrun with illegal alien criminals, no border on the south.