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Early numbers are in

noleclone2

HB Legend
Gold Member
May 4, 2015
22,606
75,712
113
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Let it Burn already working day 9. I have a feeling the approval on bottom ones would look much different post Medicare shutting down

Not at all a great start for the GOP. Already sliding in approval. They will be fully on fire by summer.


Literally his first week😂😂😂

“Overall, the poll showed 45% of Americans approve of Trump's performance as president, down slightly from 47% in a Jan. 20-21 poll. The share who disapproved was slightly larger at 46%, an increase from 39% in the prior poll.”
 
Odd. Doing what he said, which is what got him elected.

Where are the articles doing deep dives on the voters that voted for Biden but didn’t vote for Harris? Yet they are so active they take time to answer polls a week into it?

At some point the debt will need to be tackled. Cutting government jobs will be part of any solution. Pretty obvious nobody has the stomach for it. I guess we will have to wait until the interest on the debt is more than total revenues.

Trump I doubt gives a damn. He isn’t shackled with reelection worries. Better buckle up if you are triggered by everything everyday. You got over 1400 more days.
 
chart.png

Let it Burn already working day 9. I have a feeling the approval on bottom ones would look much different post Medicare shutting down

Not at all a great start for the GOP. Already sliding in approval. They will be fully on fire by summer.


Literally his first week😂😂😂

“Overall, the poll showed 45% of Americans approve of Trump's performance as president, down slightly from 47% in a Jan. 20-21 poll. The share who disapproved was slightly larger at 46%, an increase from 39% in the prior poll.”

I believe I mentioned that he was gonna start under 50% approval.
 

“Mike Zimmer’s victory in Senate District 35, which President Trump won in November with nearly 60% of the vote, is a clear rejection of the Republican agenda led by Kim Reynolds and the Senate Republicans that have failed Iowans," Senate Democratic Leader Janice Weiner said in a statement.

"Voters sent a message: They’re tired of stagnant wages, defunded schools, and state interference in local control."
 
61% support for downsizing government is good news.

Problem with that is that it's an easy question to say yes to, much harder to find something significant that has 61% agreeing they want to cut or eliminate that.

Downsizing the government always sounds good in theory but when you actually start trying to make significant cuts then people start getting upset.
 
Problem with that is that it's an easy question to say yes to, much harder to find something significant that has 61% agreeing they want to cut or eliminate that.

Downsizing the government always sounds good in theory but when you actually start trying to make significant cuts then people start getting upset.
Yeah, people like the idea of it but they never make the connection of what they will lose when it happens. I think that is at least part of the Democratic strategy here. Let people feel what happens when the government is actually downsized. I wish they would at least force Republicans to have to do it legally through Congress, but then maybe they also know that if they let it happen by executive order it will be far easier to fix the next time they get in power.
 
Yeah, people like the idea of it but they never make the connection of what they will lose when it happens. I think that is at least part of the Democratic strategy here. Let people feel what happens when the government is actually downsized. I wish they would at least force Republicans to have to do it legally through Congress, but then maybe they also know that if they let it happen by executive order it will be far easier to fix the next time they get in power.
Yep. Anti government spending types often have no idea how much they are getting from the government, be it directly or be it from dollars their employers / business receives from working on government projects (or both). The later one especially cracks me up with owners typically all in on it…until their jobs suddenly get put on hold or cancelled. I know a lot of construction company owners who fall in this category. Super MAGA and anti tax and government spending way too much and all the while half or more of their revenue is coming from tax funded projects.
 
Statistically speaking, as long as the sample size is truly random then the numbers aren't going to change much beyond 1000. Meaning if you surveyed 100,000 people you would get basically the same percentages.
Yes but it's a hell of a lot easier to get reliability in a 100k sample than 1k.
 
If the sample is random then it is reliable at 1000. The point you need to nitpick is if the sample is actually random because there are many factors that can throw randomness off.
That's what I'm saying, randomness, which directly impacts reliability is much easier at 100k.


Anyway, the sample is the sample.
 
Problem with that is that it's an easy question to say yes to, much harder to find something significant that has 61% agreeing they want to cut or eliminate that.

Downsizing the government always sounds good in theory but when you actually start trying to make significant cuts then people start getting upset.
It means keep the shit that I think helps me and get rid of the shit that I think doesn't help me. Also, I'm not sure what any of that is, but I will express appropriate outrage if I sense that I've lost anything.
 
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Aren't most Presidential polling numbers like 800 people?
Keep in mind, that poster is almost always woefully ignorant on how things actually work - statistical polling being just one example.

He is a good example of what i consider to be among the most frustrating types of people that exist - ones that are of average to below-average intelligence that think they are super smart and can see the “angles” actually smart people can’t. It would be funny if it wasn’t so annoying.
 
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Some were, and I called out the ones that were like 400 as I saw them. To that point, look at the reliability of those though.

All good, have you seen the boobs thread? 😄
Sure, but as pointed out before, it gets to a point where you start getting so many people that the time/cost of polling more people to adjust the percentage by half a point or less doesn't become worth it.

I think getting a wide assortment of demographics is more important than getting as many people as you can.
 
Sure, but as pointed out before, it gets to a point where you start getting so many people that the time/cost of polling more people to adjust the percentage by half a point or less doesn't become worth it.

I think getting a wide assortment of demographics is more important than getting as many people as you can.
And I'm looking at that 3.9 +/- error.



All good.
 
Yeah, people like the idea of it but they never make the connection of what they will lose when it happens. I think that is at least part of the Democratic strategy here. Let people feel what happens when the government is actually downsized. I wish they would at least force Republicans to have to do it legally through Congress, but then maybe they also know that if they let it happen by executive order it will be far easier to fix the next time they get in power.
The only people government cuts won’t hurt are the wealthy. Everyone else will feel it.
 
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