Riley, I am honestly not trying to come off as spewing anything. I simply like to get others thoughts to some of the things that come to mind. If I learn something, that is a positive. Time is not always on my side within a day when it comes to posting on here.
Fear mongering
- Thread starter NorthernHawkeye
- Start date
What is wrong with what was posted? It comes from simple AI queries? I am not aware of those having a bias.
Ok, off to finish watching this game with the family.
No you don't. You spew things out as fact that aren't. If you want thoughts you ask questions.
You're as disingenuous as you are ignorant.
The problem is if the unemployment train/lower demand spiral start. It’s awfully difficult to correct. A few months of it. Can quickly slide into years.
It says very clearly that historic lows in unemployment are an indication of a labor shortage. Yet you try to spin it as though that is questionable.
You made really stupid claims in your posts.
GFY. You have basically admitted you don't know shit yet you continue to throw out misinformation as if it is true. On top of that you lie and welch on bets. Either STFU or take your flogging. Your choice.
You ignored the first sentance as if there was only ONE way to view it.
"Low unemployment rate does not idicate there is a shortage of labor, but historically low unemployment rates can be a signal of a labor shortage, depending on the broader context."
It CAN be a signal.......but doesn't mean there is a shortage. That is all I said.
Goodness.
Hope is not a strategy. I hope the EU decides to not respond with serious tariffs on American services. They could strike at Silicone Valley quickly. America has a giant service surplus. That’s where the EU can strike back.
Right now the bully has backed a lot of politicians into a corner. Don’t want to come back too soft. Because it’s a quick way to get elections called against them. Don’t want to strike too hard because then it’s the nuclear winter.
Nebraska's 10 year average unemployment rate is 3.1%. This goes way beyond COVID. We have mismanaged immigration long before Trump took office. The Farm Bureau estimates over 40% of out farm workers are undocumented.
My employer gave up tens of millions in sales during COVID and ended multiple product lines. 1/3 of our product was transfer for Italy, that was one of the first to go. Korea was next. We had a healthy export business, most of it was abandoned.
this. the fed lowering rates because of self inflicted economic pain while inflation is still high makes little sense. if it happens, my guess it will be because of political pressure or some bs EO where Trump expands his government overreach. i still don’t think it happens though
Riley, I have not admitted anything of the sort. I have not "thrown out" any misinformation. I have tried to get you past your obviously out of control anger issues by being civil. You are not in high school anymore. LOL.
I will not STFU, as I can come on here anytime I like and still converse with those that want good discourse. I guess if that upsets you so be it.
Have a GREAT day!!!
True, but I can have hope in the strategy that is being taken.
I do wonder how different it would look if the Dems were united in also asking these other countries to drop their original, already in place tariffs. As it is, they are all basically telling the other countries, "We got this, don't remove any tariffs, we will get it back to where it was, and you can keep your original tariffs on us, while we get these removed."
The already in place tariffs collectively aren’t anywhere near what the administration is charging. How can the Dems even ask for what is relatively peanuts. Most of the figures I’ve seen have been around 3 to 4 %.
The strategy makes no sense. If Trump truly wanted to be reciprocal. The Administration would have done the math. Instead of pulling numbers out of their ass.
I get that we had a shortage during COVID......just like what your company experienced during it.
But, prior to COVID and during Trumps first term, I never heard anything about a labor shortage. I also agree that a lot of our farm workers are undocumented. Those jobs were filled prior to covid. People think Trump never let workers from other counties in to work Ag. Here is what I found,
H-2A Worker Visa Program Growth During Trumps first term:
- 2017: Approximately 200,000 H-2A visas were issued.
- 2020: The number of H-2A visas increased to about 275,000, marking a significant rise during this period
What do you think the actual tariff number was with China and the EU? And, if these tariffs that they all had on us were peanuts....why even have them in place against us to begin with?
Thanks for the convo....off to a work meeting. Have a GREAT day!
Some things you can not automate. Big ag has automated as much as it can. At some point you need human labor. Unfortunately Americans don’t want these labor intensive jobs.
The trade weighted average I’ve seen in both EU and China was between 3 to 5%.
To protect small businesses. Some communities actually care about small guy. Unlike the US. The EU doesn’t want to look like a bunch of mini malls.
They don’t let in our foods because of how unhealthy it is.
Cultures simply have different values.
The Fed is independent. They aren’t there to soothe nerves due to a crazy old man tanking the markets. How would lowering rates soothe inflation?
1. This issue was already there and already present in the workforce when Biden took office. The effects continued to take effect. No different than now. We will have a labor shortage in those sectors that utilize immigrant workers in 12-18 months.
2. I never said he had been jailed. Here is what I posted
"Destroy investor confindence, fire primarily democratic or any other individual within government that opposes his position. You saw yesterday where he fired the lawyer that said the US had no valid answer for deporting a US citizen to south America and he is now imprisoned." - The imprisonment refers to the US citizen and if you read any article that I posted about it you would have understood the reference.
3. Spending bills can be mistakes. Also admit there were logistical issues caused by Covid, and yes much of the inflation was transitory as it was quickly gone. With some remnants that are holding on, but that I would say would likely pop up into the system anyways. There was also an issue where profits and the economy were overinflated similar to now so valuations were too high. Go look at my posts back then, I said we were massively overvalued.
So you are equating a natural pull back, possible policy mistake to a massive policy mistake that is pushing away Trading partners, disrupting logistical chains, effectively taxing consumers, and by most accounts - most business owners have already said has put us in a recession and has the potential to morph into a worldwide depression. (Joe's never put us in a recession). Investor confidence is gone.
4. Then why isn't the government trying to get these people back and why are they being used as pawns.
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You did. You have, consistently. You're disingenuous, at best.
Only because you're a liar and welch on bets.
This is the type of bullshit you throw out there.
You may never had heard about it, but I have lived with it for many years. 4% unemployment used to be considered full employment. We have dealt with 2.1%. Our good ole Red states have relied on undocumented workers for as long as I can remember. We have had out major packing plants shut down across the state when ICE showed up.
Yesterday I was going through a facebook post from local beef producers about the lack of dairies in the area. The same people that were complaining were also the same people pushing for deportation.
Nixon was quoted on tapes back in the 70’s about the hiring of undocumented workers. It’s been a staple for hundreds of years. We could set up a system that tracks migrants, but that would take away a political issue for both parties.
You can't just look at "tariffs",.. Trump wants negotiations to address the negative impact tariffs, unreasonable trade restrictions, and value added taxes,... All of these hinder US exports.
So the data points in every negotiation are complex as the relative strength of the dollar to that country dictates the financial benefit to private companies who then have to evaluate their moves post agreement. Trump has over simplified he or the negotiating country can tailor massive reactionary based parameters in a one shot perfect.
Aim small, miss small. The scope of what he's trying from a work product volume and margin of error is neither small, nor inconsequential if he has miscalculated. He literally has no leverage, because the scope is beyond what he can effectively lift in a best case scenario.
So Trump has now put tariffs on China that will go into effect up to 104%. They have also said China is not a priority in negotiations. What is his plan if they retaliate further?
Because of the numerous companies involved in each individual country and those in ours are not part of this negotiation process whatever is the work output from a bilateral negotiation is static, which then gets input into a dynamic environment (an undefined algorithm).
The rudimentary data used in the tariff calculation of last week doesn't give me any faith the right people are in the room at the White House. That's even if Trump is correct on his timing now is the ideal time to tackle all this.
The rudimentary data used in the tariff calculation of last week doesn't give me any faith the right people are in the room at the White House. That's even if Trump is correct on his timing now is the ideal time to tackle all this.
European move is to hit Sillicon Valley and our service exports hard tomorrow. They tie them up in courts for fun with monopoly charges regularly anyway. Two birds one stone.
Yes many stocks I follow are now down between 2 and 6 percent.
Unreasonable such as not allowing GMO’s or other processed foods that some cultures consider poison. But to us are the main diet.
How many days are we going to wait for Trumps plan to work Hawkman34? Looks like he crashed the market again today.
9% inflation is going to be a cakewalk compared to the inflation from the tariffs.
And many middle class people get bonuses based on company performance. Almost 50%. So… there will likely be a reduction in real incomes this year purely as a result of this.
That's all you have? And you call ME the pussy? 😂
Everything I said about you was spot on. You really are the piece of Sh!t we all knew you were.
It's really quite amazing and sad, 45,332 post under this account and so many more under your other(s). Get a Fu@king life moron.
Or, better yet....keep posting all day every day from your basement safe space. But again.....don't foget your meds! Chode.
Hawk, this guy is a complete idiot, but HILARIOUS to trigger!!
At least for me, it is truly fun to call out his lies and bullshit. Have you not figured out that this grandpa has no life outside of his computer and being constantly logged onto HROT?
Oh, and if you want....PM me and I will let you know what other handle he uses. It is glorious to see him lose his mind. 😂
