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Final 15

Gotta beat the LA teams, they are not that good. USC just beat Ill of course. Minne and Wash should be wins. PSU, @Rutgers and @NW, need to get those. Need to send Wisky a message when they come into Carver. Take care of home court should get you to right spot.
 
Ideally, the Hawks go at least 6-1 in their final 7 home games. But for the love of God, that 1 loss can NOT happen against Minnesota or Washington. That final home game of the regular season, vs Michigan St, could very well end up being Iowa's last and only remaining shot at a 'signature win' - at least before the BTT.

Play hard for large stretches of the game and all of the USC, UCLA, Ohio St, Rutgers, Maryland, Northwestern & Nebraska games c/should be right there for the taking. I would really like to include the Illinois game, but that place has been a house of horrors for Fran & company ever since he took over 15 years ago.


- Unbelievably great outcome of the final 15 games would see Iowa finish 13-2 (only losses being @ ILL and either of @ MD/ vs MSU/ @ NEB).
- 11-4 would be a very good and above expected finish to the season.
- Likely finish of final 15 games is 9-6 or 8-7. But 10-5 is definitely doable, with the right breaks.
- Crazy horrible finish would be anything from 5-10 to worse than that.
 
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Not quite, but likely won't matter - in terms of a being a bubble team, at least.

I'll go with 4-10 at very worst and 9-5 at very best - Hawks win out at home and luck into a road win or 2 somewhere in their last 7 tries, because that team(s) can't make the open 3s like the rest of their road opponents seem to do so well.
 
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Win them all at home, and you'll always be in good shape.
If we actually go 4-0 against Purdue, Wisconsin, Oregon and Michigan State, we should definitely be in good shape.

Not seeing it though. I think we lose 8-9 of our last 14:

@UCLA
@OSU
Purdue
Wisconsin
@Maryland
@Illinois
@Northwestern
Michigan State
@Nebraska

Even Penn State at home will be tougher than most think. We need a quad 1 road win.
 
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I think it pretty much boils down to getting one more win to get in the big ten tourney. Crazy that ESPN gives us the same chance to win at Northwestern and at Nebraska as it does at home against MSU. Around 30% of winning each of those games. Lose all four and Northwestern has three other shots to win and bypass us to 15th place.
 
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