I guess this was actually directed at the season ending downturn, but also conveys some possible concerns about FM's system, thus FM (my apologies for the length):
Now that the year is over and obviously we all are familiar with the final results so no reason to rehash. I have been giving thought (retired, avid Hawkeye fan, and analytical by nature) to the possible end of the year woes with the men’s basketball program. I say”possible”, because maybe it is just my own over thinking and/or over simplification? I have always been one of those Hawkeye fans that believes (maybe naive) we can win a NCAA championship given the right coach/players/luck. I think Fran can be that coach if he creates a very competitive team culture. I also believe the players recruited the last few years can achieve great results.
The issue I have been contemplating is Fran’s personnel management style and system. I won't question or have the knowledge/information to question his intelligence, intensity, X and O’s, and/or his recruiting, but I really do not feel those are the cause of the year end struggles anyway. I personally like FM and he is obviously quite astute and very knowledgeable about the game of basketball. But, I am starting to wonder about his personnel (players) management approach/system. It appears to me he relies entirely too much on the system and same starters/rotations (especially older players in his system). Using the last 3 years (after the initial rebuilding years) as an example we have more or less self-destructed during the last part of the year twice.
When a coach totally commits to a specific player rotation/system regardless of a player’s performance/production from day one he is sending a subliminal message(s) to his team: 1) the starters do not feel, not necessarily even consciously, the pressure/motivation of losing their position/rotation; and 2) the reserves eventually lose their focus, intensity and desire because nothing is going to change. The culmination of the aforementioned eventually erodes the competitive spirit of the team by the end of the year. Later in the year the players no longer even remember or know how to regain the tremendous effort it took to compete at a high level (exceptions are cellar dweller teams, although they struggled against them as well) and certainly not at a championship level. IMO, I really think the overall system rigidity might be working against the best interest of the team’s competitive spirit over the period of a season. Team rebounding and defense are always fairly consistent indicators of effort/intensity and it seemed both fell off the last 1/3 of the season which adversely impacts the offensive freedom/production. The Hawks had very few easy baskets late in the year and the opponents seemed to get open shots fairly consistently.
Adapting a system to player performance and/or results does not mean you change your lineup and rotations on a whim. But, the players have to believe the coach will eventually change personnel (other than injuries) if any player’s effort/performance are consistently not meeting expectations. Sometimes a player just has a bad day and needs to sit and watch awhile, maybe one half or even a game, without any pressure. I know there have been mixed reviews on Baer, but he exudes energy and intensity something this team sorely needed down the stretch. But, he only played additional minutes against Villanova because the players ahead of him were obviously getting annihilated and he was not intimidated. The system and personnel adjustments should be on the table at all times and not just in a panic situation so players never lose their hope of more playing time which helps sharpen or at least maintains their competitive edge.
IMO creating and promoting a flexible competitive environment for playing time each and every day will increase player development to hopefully minimize the dreaded “season ending collapse". I believe this might be, at least part of the underlying and/or subconscious turmoil for the late season swoon by the men’s basketball team (IMO football has also had similar system/personnel issues at times). The intensity and player development of the starters and reserves unquestionably declined (static at best) in the last 1/3 of the season and other quality teams continued to improve. If you watched many other BIG teams their reserves were much more productive by year end. I know, the prior year the Hawks finished strong, but I think that may have been the one-off and due to A White’s leadership and his personal intensity.
Anyway, just an opinion and trying to figure out what is going on to cause such disappointing play/results at year’s end. One season collapse is probably an anomaly, but two out of three years, the system is breaking down somewhere. The good news is next year there are not any sure bets for playing time, other than maybe PJ if he sticks around, so playing time should be inherently more open/competitive.
IMO locking into any system 100% is a big mistake. FWIW