Speaking of the conference schedule, here are the tiers I'd put teams in. Any serious disagreements?
Sweet 16 or Better: Maryland, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan
Likely NCAA Tournament: Ohio State, Michigan State
Probable NCAA Tournament: Northwestern
Maybe NCAA Tournament: Rutgers, Nebraska, Minnesota, Penn State
Bottom of the Conference: Purdue, Wisconsin, Illinois
I think Rutgers is the hardest to categorize. On the one hand, the team is usually good and has made transfers work in the past. On the other, it lost a ton of production from a team that probably would've finished mid-conference if it played a full schedule. I could also see moving Northwestern up a tier, but I'm weary of them losing their second leading scorer and having no real post presence.