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If everything goes according to seeds, who wins?

Avg. pts scored in past NCAA tourneys (includes placement, advancement and bonus)

1st = 23.5
2nd = 18.5
3rd = 16.5
4th = 14.5
5th = 12
6th = 10.5
7th = 8
8th = 7
Rd12 = 3

According to this calculus...
PSU = 127
Mich. = 114
Iowa = 96

Naturally there are variables such as less/more bonus, placing above seed, injuries, upsets, etc.
 
To Seed Rank
1​
Penn State
113​
2​
Michigan
96.5​
3​
Iowa
81.5​
4​
Arizona State
67.5​
5​
NC State
60.5​
6​
Cornell
43​
7​
Wisconsin
38​
8​
Ohio State
36.5​
9​
Oklahoma State
36.5​
10​
Virginia Tech
35.5​
 
Avg. pts scored in past NCAA tourneys (includes placement, advancement and bonus)

1st = 23.5
2nd = 18.5
3rd = 16.5
4th = 14.5
5th = 12
6th = 10.5
7th = 8
8th = 7
Rd12 = 3

According to this calculus...
PSU = 127
Mich. = 114
Iowa = 96

Naturally there are variables such as less/more bonus, placing above seed, injuries, upsets, etc.
Thank you for the average points scored in past tourneys perspective. I think it is a more accurate way of looking at possibilities than just place values.
 
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