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Iowa +3 vs Dook

SotaHawk87

HB Legend
Jan 3, 2015
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As expected. Duke likes to grind it out under JS. Their tempo is garbage. Iowa needs to play from in front or keep it close early because Dook can squeeze you to death. Rebounding should be an issue tomorrow but if it’s not, we have a chance.
 
Iowa has a tendency to piss their pants in noncon games against the big dogs.

Hopefully not tonight as I’ll be cheering from MSG and a win would be pretty epic.
Well, as long as those big dogs aren't in a down year like some of the recent wins over North Carolina.

But yes, if Duke is any kind of legit tournament team this year, similar to last year, then you're better off watching World Cup highlights than tuning in to see if Iowa finally pulls off the big one.

If they keep it under 10, I will feel slightly more optimistic about this team's outlook this year.
 
Duke is definitely beatable, I think Iowa fans should not necessarily be confident but certainly hopeful.

Duke is a finesse team and Iowa IMO typically does really well against those types of teams. I'd say I'll be watching but I'm old and there is no way I am awake for the second half of this game.
 
Main leading indicator...

If Iowa makes their layups they should win the game. If they don't, we lose.

Also, keep an eye on FT shooting. If we're missing FTs the team is playing harder than it wants to.
 
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Iowa has a tendency to piss their pants in noncon games against the big dogs.

Hopefully not tonight as I’ll be cheering from MSG and a win would be pretty epic.
Hmmm, are you sure about that?

Iowa has beat UNC the last 2 times they have faced them.

Just in the last 5 years, in Non-Conf, they have beaten UNC, Virginia, Texas Tech, Syracuse, Uconn, and Oregon. And they have beat Iowa St. 4 out of 5 times.

Do you mean because they lost to #1 Gonzaga a few years ago?

They have definitely won quite a bit more than they have "pissed their pants".
 
Main leading indicator...

If Iowa makes their layups they should win the game. If they don't, we lose.

Also, keep an eye on FT shooting. If we're missing FTs the team is playing harder than it wants to.
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Hopefully they roll tonight. Can’t honestly think of one “Duke fan” I know that’s not a complete dbag.
 
Hmmm, are you sure about that?

Iowa has beat UNC the last 2 times they have faced them.

Just in the last 5 years, in Non-Conf, they have beaten UNC, Virginia, Texas Tech, Syracuse, Uconn, and Oregon. And they have beat Iowa St. 4 out of 5 times.

Do you mean because they lost to #1 Gonzaga a few years ago?

They have definitely won quite a bit more than they have "pissed their pants".
In my head I was thinking the two times against the Zags and once against Nova. I was more getting at when an Iowa team has a big stage (postseason, big opponent, etc), they seem to crumble. Maybe I just have blinders on.
 
In my head I was thinking the two times against the Zags and once against Nova. I was more getting at when an Iowa team has a big stage (postseason, big opponent, etc), they seem to crumble. Maybe I just have blinders on.
In my mind, there have been about 3 tiers during the Fran era. The rebuild (the first 3 years), the build to respectability (Year 4 - 8) and the last 5 years, where they Fran has established a consistent NCAA Team with the recruitments of Garza, Cook, Weiskamp, Murray Twins, etc.

The last 5 years (including this year), Iowa has been an NCAA program every years (hopefully this year holds up) and ranked all of those years.

Some people like to pretend Fran has been the same and mediocre but the facts point that he has rebuilt (if you want to say slowly that's fine) from an absolute disaster to a competitive team to a perennial NCAA Team that finishes in the Top 6 of the conference.

One of those losses to Gonzaga and the loss to Villanova were during Phase 2 and during the post-season.

In the last 5 years, Iowa has had Non-Con games against these P6 Schools:

Iowa St (x5) - 4 out of 5 Wins
Oregon - Win
UConn - Win
Pitt - Win
Depaul - Loss
Texas Tech - Win
Syracuse - Win
Cincinnati - Win
UNC - Win
Gonzaga - Loss
Virginia - Win
Seton Hall - Win
Clemson - Win
TCU - Loss
Georgia Tech - Win

They are 15 - 4 in Non-Conf against P6 teams during this time. That's pretty damn good.

Now, hopefully, Phase 4 of the Fran era is taking that next step to post-season success and get a few Sweet 16's/Elite 8's (and of course everyone's dream - Final Four).
 
Expectations are low, but hopes are high! Hopefully TP is back to looking and playing like himself
 
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Spalding Legacy is the ball they're using tonight. The same ball that Iowa used to averaged 87.75 ppg over 4 days to take down the Big Ten Tournament last year. I like our chances.
 
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As expected. Duke likes to grind it out under JS. Their tempo is garbage. Iowa needs to play from in front or keep it close early because Dook can squeeze you to death. Rebounding should be an issue tomorrow but if it’s not, we have a chance.
the real issue with playing dookie is you are playing 5 versus 8 although 3 of their players are allowed to wear black and white striped shirts.
 
Expectations are low, but hopes are high! Hopefully TP is back to looking and playing like himself
maybe I'm wrong but TP seems lately to have become a little bit of a ball hog and forcing his way inside to difficult situations, where earlier in the season he was driving and kicking the ball out and choosing better shot selections.
 
maybe I'm wrong but TP seems lately to have become a little bit of a ball hog and forcing his way inside to difficult situations, where earlier in the season he was driving and kicking the ball out and choosing better shot selections.
I don’t think you’re off base. It’s undeniable that his assist numbers have been down since the Seton Hall game (his best game, where he also supposedly injured himself). He also hasn’t scored as well or looked nearly as explosive, however. In general, Tony hasn’t looked like he did to start the year, and I’m hoping that it’s just overcompensation from that injury and we see a return to form tonight. We need it
 
In my mind, there have been about 3 tiers during the Fran era. The rebuild (the first 3 years), the build to respectability (Year 4 - 8) and the last 5 years, where they Fran has established a consistent NCAA Team with the recruitments of Garza, Cook, Weiskamp, Murray Twins, etc.

The last 5 years (including this year), Iowa has been an NCAA program every years (hopefully this year holds up) and ranked all of those years.

Some people like to pretend Fran has been the same and mediocre but the facts point that he has rebuilt (if you want to say slowly that's fine) from an absolute disaster to a competitive team to a perennial NCAA Team that finishes in the Top 6 of the conference.

One of those losses to Gonzaga and the loss to Villanova were during Phase 2 and during the post-season.

In the last 5 years, Iowa has had Non-Con games against these P6 Schools:

Iowa St (x5) - 4 out of 5 Wins
Oregon - Win
UConn - Win
Pitt - Win
Depaul - Loss
Texas Tech - Win
Syracuse - Win
Cincinnati - Win
UNC - Win
Gonzaga - Loss
Virginia - Win
Seton Hall - Win
Clemson - Win
TCU - Loss
Georgia Tech - Win

They are 15 - 4 in Non-Conf against P6 teams during this time. That's pretty damn good.

Now, hopefully, Phase 4 of the Fran era is taking that next step to post-season success and get a few Sweet 16's/Elite 8's (and of course everyone's dream - Final Four).
Nice post - like the analysis re phased rebuild
 
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Iowa has a tendency to piss their pants in noncon games against the big dogs.

Hopefully not tonight as I’ll be cheering from MSG and a win would be pretty epic.
Huh? North Carolina twice, Texas Tech, Oregon, Syracuse, Uconn, Marquette. I'm probably missing some others.
 
I was clearly proven wrong with the stats in this thread but tonight was the kind of game I was talking about. Something like 4-5 air balls in the first half just showed a lack of confidence and the game was never in doubt. On to the next.
 
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Main leading indicator...

If Iowa makes their layups they should win the game. If they don't, we lose.

Also, keep an eye on FT shooting. If we're missing FTs the team is playing harder than it wants to.
...and boom goes the dynamite.

12 missed layups (14-26)

6 missed FTs (9-15 for 60%)
 
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