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Iowa -8.5 vs Illinois State

Pepperman

Pepperman

HB Legend
Nov 4, 2002
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5dimes has a line on this game already. -120 either way, so juice is still heavy, but an early indication of the spread. I hate to say it, but I'd take the 8.5 as of now.

Note, some other lines this board just might care about:

Iowa State -7 vs UNI (-120 both ways) - take UNI

Iowa -4.5 @ Iowa State (-110 both ways) - uh oh.

Toledo -7 vs Iowa State (-120 both ways) - note WTF is Iowa State doing going to Toledo?

Iowa -3 vs Pitt (-120 both ways)
 
Pepperman said:
5dimes has a line on this game already. -120 either way, so juice is still heavy, but an early indication of the spread. I hate to say it, but I'd take the 8.5 as of now.

Note, some other lines this board just might care about:

Iowa State -7 vs UNI (-120 both ways) - take UNI

Iowa -4.5 @ Iowa State (-110 both ways) - uh oh.

Toledo -7 vs Iowa State (-120 both ways) - note WTF is Iowa State doing going to Toledo?

Iowa -3 vs Pitt (-120 both ways)
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What do the -110, -120, etc mean?
 
GoUIowa said:
What do the -110, -120, etc mean?
Click to expand...

It is how the house advantage gets expressed. -110 means you are risking 110 to win 100, or any fraction thereof, say 55 to win 50, 11 to win 10, etc. On the other hand, if that is a +110, you are multiplying whatever you risk by 1.1 if you win, so 100 wins 110, 50 wins 55, etc. Hope that makes sense. +100 is "even money".

Here's an example for this year, Iowa's SEASON win over/under (not counting any bowl game or B1G championship) is 7.5 with the over +100 and the under -130.
 
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Pepperman said:
It is how the house advantage gets expressed. -110 means you are risking 110 to win 100, or any fraction thereof, say 55 to win 50, 11 to win 10, etc. On the other hand, if that is a +110, you are multiplying whatever you risk by 1.1 if you win, so 100 wins 110, 50 wins 55, etc. Hope that makes sense. +100 is "even money".

Here's an example for this year, Iowa's SEASON win over/under (not counting any bowl game or B1G championship) is 7.5 with the over +100 and the under -130.
Click to expand...
Thanks.
 
That seems about right for Iowa at home against Illinois State I think Iowa covers. I was really surprised by the Iowa v. ISU line. Thought it would be closer. No way I would touch that game. I would take the over against Pitt.

The ISU v. UNI game is a tough one for me but I think I would take ISU to cover because UNI lost some very good players including David Johnson and their big DT.
 
Pepperman said:
5dimes has a line on this game already. -120 either way, so juice is still heavy, but an early indication of the spread. I hate to say it, but I'd take the 8.5 as of now.

Note, some other lines this board just might care about:


Toledo -7 vs Iowa State (-120 both ways) - note WTF is Iowa State doing going to Toledo?
Click to expand...
Probably the same thing when we went to Oxford
 
Iowa went to Oxford 12 years ago. We won't be road tripping to the MAC ever again.
 
David Starsky said:
Wow, take that 8.5 all day long and run to the bank.

I think Iowa wins, but that's a ridiculous number.
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I totally agree with what you say. However, it got me thinking; how bad are things when we feel like being an 8.5pt favorite against Ill State is a good bet...for the ISU side? I don't recall what we were when we played the Roethlisberger Miami team, but sheesh.
Just me whining on a Monday I guess.
 
Iowa is way better than people think and ILL ST is not as good as last year and missing their best player. Iowa rolls in this game. Early call
37-10 Iowa wins with big early lead and 2nd half developmental game plan.
 
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Illinois St is of course I-AA, but they have a lot of talent. Their RB is a high level talent and will be tough to stop for any team....including Iowa.

If the teams go up against each other late in the year, Iowa wins no problem. Since it's to start the year, I think it will be a very close game.
 
I'd agree. Tough suspension for a guy selling. Ha!

Pretty convenient he's back on the team and eligible right away to play Iowa. If he wasn't a 1st Team D-IAA All American....he'd be off the team.


David1979 said:
love that he was 'suspended' during the offseason. That is some tough suspension!
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Last edited:
I think Illinois State wins and Tre Roberson gives Iowa fits. I also think Spack will blitz, blitz, and blitz some more. Our inexperienced and green OL will not be able to handle it.

Illinois State - 28 Iowa - 17
 
mtdew_fever said:
Illinois St is of course I-AA, but they have a lot of talent. Their RB is a high level talent and will be tough to stop for any team....including Iowa.

If the teams go up against each other late in the year, Iowa wins no problem. Since it's to start the year, I think it will be a very close game.
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Amen...we seldom look sharp right out of the gate...
 
IowaHawkeyeFBnBB4Life said:
I think Illinois State wins and Tre Roberson gives Iowa fits. I also think Spack will blitz, blitz, and blitz some more. Our inexperienced and green OL will not be able to handle it.

Illinois State - 28 Iowa - 17
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Tre Roberson will give Iowa fits and Spack will blitz, blitz and blitz some more...and Iowa will still win by at least two touchdowns.
 
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IowaHawkeyeFBnBB4Life said:
I think Illinois State wins and Tre Roberson gives Iowa fits. I also think Spack will blitz, blitz, and blitz some more. Our inexperienced and green OL will not be able to handle it.
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I believe you overstated your claim. Boettger and Myers are inexperienced and have big shoes to fill at Tackle for sure. However, the interior of the OL is pretty solid is fairly experienced. Blythe and Walsh are multi-year starters going back to 2012, 35 starts for Blythe and 26 for Walsh. Sean Welch played all 13 games last year and started 7.

If Illinois State can get QB pressure off the corners they could cause problems. If their game plan against Iowa is to blitz at every opportunity, the Hawkeyes will eventually make them pay ... definitely more than the 17 points you are predicting, probably twice that if they use that game plan.
 
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soybean said:
Tre Roberson will give Iowa fits and Spack will blitz, blitz and blitz some more...and Iowa will still win by at least two touchdowns.
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And by fits, he will replicate what he did in the past, on a better team.

Say:

16/24 for 197, 1 TD, runs for 80, while losing for 20+.
 
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tony0051 said:
Iowa is way better than people think and ILL ST is not as good as last year and missing their best player. Iowa rolls in this game. Early call
37-10 Iowa wins with big early lead and 2nd half developmental game plan.
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Iowa is way better than people think? Please explain why. I can't wait to hear.
 
frydaze said:
Iowa is way better than people think? Please explain why. I can't wait to hear.
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Maybe this is really simple: Some are claiming, even clamoring, for Iowa to lose to an FCS team. They are far better than that, they won't. Does it really need more?
 
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This irrational fear of Illinois State reminds me of all the posters that wrung their hands and fearfully predicted Pitt would beat the Hawks last year.
 
I will be pleasantly surprised if Iowa wins by 9+ against Illinois State. I could see a 24-20 type game. Hawks never try much but squeak it out against the more aggressive team.
 
Pepperman said:
I will be pleasantly surprised if Iowa wins by 9+ against Illinois State. I could see a 24-20 type game. Hawks never try much but squeak it out against the more aggressive team.
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It depends, built on turnovers and field position, if the aggression is working you get the close game...when it doesn't you get a blowout.
 
I'd like to hear as well how Iowa is much better than people think. I think our OL will be garbage this year, possibly 1999 bad. We shall see though....
 
IowaHawkeyeFBnBB4Life said:
I'd like to hear as well how Iowa is much better than people think. I think our OL will be garbage this year, possibly 1999 bad. We shall see though....
Click to expand...

Did you read my earlier post? As always, it depends on how good "people think" they are. If they believe they will lose to FCS, that is worse than "1999 bad".
 
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