Iowa Poll: Likely voters prefer Republican candidates in 3 of 4 congressional districts

[cigaretteman]

What has happened to Iowa? The brain drain has really damaged our state:

Iowa’s likely voters prefer a Republican candidate over a Democrat in three of the state’s four congressional districts as the November elections approach, the latest Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.

Republicans hold a wide, double-digit lead in the 2nd Congressional District, in northeastern Iowa, and the 4th District, in western Iowa, and a slight edge in the 3rd District, which includes Des Moines and south central Iowa.

But a Democratic candidate holds a narrow advantage in the 1st District, in southeast Iowa.

The results come as candidates gear up for a slate of primary elections in June and then the November general election.

In 2022, Republicans delivered a red wave of results in Iowa, sending a full slate of Republicans to Congress for the first time in decades.

Now, Democrats are hoping to wrest back some measure of influence in what could be an unpredictable election year.

Former Republican President Donald Trump, who is facing dozens of felony charges across four criminal cases, is again challenging Democratic President Joe Biden, who remains deeply unpopular in Iowa, at the top of the ticket — potentially creating unusual ripple effects for candidates running down the ballot.

Overall, Iowa’s likely voters say they’d prefer a Republican congressional candidate to a Democrat by a 17-percentage point margin, 54% to 37%.

In each of the congressional districts, the results are:

• 1st District: 45% Republican, 49% Democrat
• 2nd District: 61% Republican, 33% Democrat
• 3rd District: 47% Republican, 44% Democrat
• 4th District: 63% Republican, 24% Democrat

This will be the second time Iowans will cast votes for candidates using the current congressional maps, which were redrawn in the redistricting process in 2020.

Selzer & Co. conducted the poll of 804 Iowa adults from Feb. 25-28, and it has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. The questions of 640 likely voters have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.

For the congressional districts, the margin of error ranges from plus or minus 6.7 to 7.1 percentage points.

Iowa Poll: Likely voters prefer Republican candidates in 3 of 4 congressional districts

Overall, Iowa’s likely voters prefer a Republican congressional candidate to a Democrat by a 17-percentage point margin, 54% to 37%, Iowa Poll finds

www.press-citizen.com

 

[lucas80]

I'm surprised about the 3rd, but it's probably indicative of the urban areas around DM filling up with all the people from rural Iowa with prospects moving to where the jobs are.
Still, the election season is young. There is time to focus the attention of the voters on the failures of the GOP to produce for them, and the fascination of the GOP with running their lives.

 

[Huey Grey]

3M has her work cut out this time around. Rs have been a massive drag in the House. Describing them as dysfunctional is being polite. Any R who barely slipped by last time around is in serious trouble this election.

 

[IACub]

I've never seen a group that can vote against their own best interests like farmers and rural Midwesterners.

 

[Huey Grey]

How does Reynolds' negative polling factor into this?

 

[IACub]

How does Reynolds' negative polling factor into this?

It won't. The GOP will pull out their dog whistles and the sheep will get in line because immigrants are apparently overrunning our country and God and the GOP are the only ones who can save us.