IOWA vrs ISU opening line as of Sunday mornig
- Thread starter oldxbbc
- Start date
Kirk back on sidelines. I see a nail biter. 19-18 type game with the Hawks coming out on top.
No it won't be a nail biter. I went home and watched the moo u game. Their d-line is absolute garbage. Iowa will run on them all day.. I think we are back to the soul crushing days. Iowa by a million.
Isu scores 18? L.O.L.
Doesn’t the home team usually get 3 just for being the home team? Does that mean they think ISU is .5 better on a neutral field?
Kinnick actually gets more than 3 points, ISU started ahead of Iowa in Vegas power rankings this season.
Well slappy.. the line is 2.5 and O:U is 40 … so.. 18-19 prediction is within that range… are you saying the books are so off that this is a LOL type betting line according to you?
I didn’t watch the ISU game; but the 2.5 does appear to be a little light. I would have expected Iowa to be a 7 point favorite. Vegas down on the hawks?
Coming into the game the word was that Illinois State had a pretty good defense and very solid upfront. For some reason people here think its not possible that FCS teams can have some good players. Its depth where the issue comes up. We saw in the 2nd half as they had a few injuries and the heat where we broke them down.
Iowa State can’t run the football and it doesn’t look like they can stop the run.
So, Iowa should have a decisive advantage.
We’ll see.
Man, Vegas usually knows what they’re doing, but this looks like easy money to me…. I might actually place my first bet on sportsbook.
Kind of what I am thinking.
Iowa State’s defense appears to be not as good as in the past and Iowa’s offense appears to not suck as bad as it has in the past.
I am predicting a 27-10 type score.
Ya, but we've felt like this a lot of times going into this game. All logic goes out the window in rivalry games.
This game is likely going to be very frustrating.
…..I fvcking hate you sometimes. CAN YOU JUST BE POSITIVE FOR ONCE IN YOUR FVCKING LIFE?!?!
Perhaps, but I think fans are overstating how the series has played out.
Outside of 2002, which was a matter of two teams going in opposite directions, Iowa has never lost to Iowa State when they had a team that panned out to be a legitimate top 25 team.
If Iowa is a legitimate top 25 team, they will beat Iowa State by double digits.
I'm being realistic man. Iowa should win but these ***** know how to be a thorn in our sides.…..I fvcking hate you sometimes. CAN YOU JUST BE POSITIVE FOR ONCE IN YOUR FVCKING LIFE?!?!
I wouldn’t say Vegas is down on the Hawks. It’s more like they’re not using a single game to set their line.
I'm not sure that Iowa is good enough to run the ball without proving that they can beat you through the air. Iowa would be wise to run play action and counters/reverses early to tap the brakes on ISU's run blitzes.
ISU is definitely not good enough to run the ball on Iowa, and they are well aware of that. They will have to try to move the sticks with their quick game and take occasional shots at 1-on-1 CBs. Harris and Hall held up well yesterday, Nestor was beaten by a half-step on Illinois State's one big play of the game.
ISU needs several high-risk, high-reward plays to go their way to score more than 13 points. I see the game going three possible ways:
a) Best-case: Iowa hits two or three big plays (offense, defense, and/or special teams) and builds a two-score lead before half. ISU has to take more risks on offense, things snowball, and Iowa rolls. (30%)
b) Boa constrictor: Iowa's offense isn't very effective, but doesn't make bad mistakes. Much like 2021 and 2023, Iowa's defense controls the game and gradually squeezes the life out of ISU, winning by 10-14 points in the end. (40%)
c) Iowa's offense is ineffective and turns the ball over a couple of times. Iowa's defense keeps the Hawks in the game, and it comes down to the final drive in a one-possession game that could go either way. (30%)
It's always possible that Iowa could lay a turd, but the defense is so sound and so experienced, it seems very unlikely that ISU's mediocre offense is able to put enough points up to win going away.
My competitive nature precludes me from wanting to get into sports gambling, but Iowa -2.5 seems like a very good bet to me.
ISU is definitely not good enough to run the ball on Iowa, and they are well aware of that. They will have to try to move the sticks with their quick game and take occasional shots at 1-on-1 CBs. Harris and Hall held up well yesterday, Nestor was beaten by a half-step on Illinois State's one big play of the game.
ISU needs several high-risk, high-reward plays to go their way to score more than 13 points. I see the game going three possible ways:
a) Best-case: Iowa hits two or three big plays (offense, defense, and/or special teams) and builds a two-score lead before half. ISU has to take more risks on offense, things snowball, and Iowa rolls. (30%)
b) Boa constrictor: Iowa's offense isn't very effective, but doesn't make bad mistakes. Much like 2021 and 2023, Iowa's defense controls the game and gradually squeezes the life out of ISU, winning by 10-14 points in the end. (40%)
c) Iowa's offense is ineffective and turns the ball over a couple of times. Iowa's defense keeps the Hawks in the game, and it comes down to the final drive in a one-possession game that could go either way. (30%)
It's always possible that Iowa could lay a turd, but the defense is so sound and so experienced, it seems very unlikely that ISU's mediocre offense is able to put enough points up to win going away.
My competitive nature precludes me from wanting to get into sports gambling, but Iowa -2.5 seems like a very good bet to me.
The difference in these two teams over the years has been upfront on each side of the line, I don't see this year being any different.
I already took Iowa -2.5 this summer as I expected it to be higher after week 1; if you're looking to take Iowa I'd get in ASAP as it'll be 3 soon and that's obviously a big 1/2 point.
I already took Iowa -2.5 this summer as I expected it to be higher after week 1; if you're looking to take Iowa I'd get in ASAP as it'll be 3 soon and that's obviously a big 1/2 point.
Actually Nestor was not beaten by a half step. He was in absolutely perfect position, right inside of the WR between him and the QB. They were literally shirt to shirt. The WR went up over him for the ball and just timing or footwork (and inexperience) he didn't go up for the ball until the WR was above him and then he couldn't go up. Just a better play by the WR, but Nestor was right where he should have been. He'll make that play easily with more experience.
very doubtful we can just line up and run the football down their throats. Hopefully we continue to improve and Cade stays healthy and we get a 20-13 20-10 type of game.
Probably a good "practice game" for the back to back games against an "ISU" team though. Don't the Clones also run that three man front? Something Iowa didn't see any live action against for quite awhile. I think a big key will be just how banged up the Clones are at LB. If they are really that thin with injuries etc.. we could make it a long day on them...
What he said is true. It's not being pessimistic, its reality until the offensive line is consistent in multiple games.…..I fvcking hate you sometimes. CAN YOU JUST BE POSITIVE FOR ONCE IN YOUR FVCKING LIFE?!?!
This is an opinion board my friend.
It has been a 2.5 line for some time. We’ll see if bettors move it due to yesterday’s games? I’m guessing it will move a bit in Iowa’s favor.
Last edited:
Iowa has won 7 of the last 8, and only one of those wins was by less than 7.
They haven’t been a thorn in our side for nearly a decade.
There is nothing on this board more reliable than someone saying something pessimistic, then following up by saying “hey, I’m just being realistic.”
2 were less than 7, and 3 were 1 score games. So half either ISU won or kept within 1 score.
In the last decade like you say, they have either won or kept it within 1 score 6 times.
You’re right there was a second game.
They have not been a thorn in our sides. One loss since 2014. If they have been a thorn in our side, then so has Nebraska. The Huskers have kept is a lot closer.
They have really been a thorn in our side. In the last decade, they won a game, and two others were wins by less than a TD.
If everybody was a “thorn in Iowa’s side,” they would have about three playoff appearances. I’m just being realistic.
