Smith recently beat the Cornell Heavy #20 Sweany 8-1, and Oklahoma's heavy #44 Lawson. He lost to quicker heavy's #6 Blaize Cabell of NIowa, 9-3, and Oregon St's Dhesie ranked around 5. Unless your Heavy is very quick , and I know little about him, other than he had a very respectable loss to Ok St #3 Mardseon 4-2 and a pin against the ISU Heavy ranked around 50, I expect, or should I say HOPE, lol, a possible 4 point win.
Smith is a senior who has wrestled pretty well the last 2 years, I don't expect him to get rattled at your place, and with his recent good showings, I'd be surprised if it was closer than 4 points.