Massey Ratings - College Basketball Women's : NCAA D1 Ratings
Computer ratings and rankings for CBW (College Basketball Women's), with links to team predictions, scores, and schedules.
masseyratings.com
As someone noted above it does look like some data from last year is still included. I compared Nolan to HHS last year. For the most part they were pretty aligned, but HHS would have outliers where they were impactfully different. It seemed HHS was generally more accurate.
Score -24 -15
Score | -26 | -11 |
| ||
Rhode Island Kingston, RI, USA | Iowa Iowa City, IA, USA | |
Actual Score | 0 | 0 |
Most Likely | 59 | 80 |
Median | 59 | 80 |
Mean | 58.83 | 80.80 |
Win Probability | 7% | 93% |
Thu 11-28 | N | 99 (Ⅱ) | Rhode Island | -13.8, 73-59 | 92% |
ELO | HHS | BT | KM | AMSTS | SR | SM | Avg Rank | |
Iowa | 15 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 4 | 11.6 |
Rhode Island | 117 | 81 | 99 | 150 | 159 | 157 | 103 | 123.7 |
ELO | Warren Nolan ELO | https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo | |
HHS | Her Hoop Stats | IA | https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2024/11/24/d1/ |
RI | https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2024/11/23/d1/ | ||
BT | Bart Torvik | https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php | |
KM | Ken Massey | https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings | |
AMSTS | All My Sports Teams Suck | https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ | |
SR | Sports Reference | https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html | |
SM | Sonny Moore | https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm |
HHS updates scores almost immediately and you cannot go back in time and look at ratings for a specific date unless you track outside on your own. Thanks for all of the data.Just did another poorman's scorecard like the one I posted yesterday and gap widen a little more between HHS and Nolan ELO. I'll monitor it over the season to see how HHS and Nolan ELO pans out.
Score -26 -11
The one thing noticed about HerHoopStats is they change the history of rankings at the time that game was played. That's why when I go back 9-10 days the team's ranking are all the same as if no ranking updates happened in that time frame. I did notice HHS changed the rankings on most teams from yesterday. Don't think I like that feature where they change the rankings of past games to what their ranking is today as it can skew who the real underdog/fav was at that point in time. That's just me as others may like past game rank changes for other reasons.
Example:
Iowa may be rated #10 a week ago when they played Drake.
Today Iowa is rated #5.
HHS goes back and chances our ranking of that Drake game to #5 to match today's ranking.
That's what I have noticed on my end without a subscription.
Vegas line is Iowa by 24.5Iowa with a 92% - 95.9% chance to win from all 3 models.
Iowa projected with a 21-22 point win today by Massey.
Rhode Island
Kingston, RI, USAIowa
Iowa City, IA, USAActual Score 0 0 Most Likely 59 80 Median 59 80 Mean 58.83 80.80 Win Probability 7% 93%
Iowa projected with a ~14 point win today by Torvik.
Thu 11-28 N 99 (Ⅱ) Rhode Island -13.8, 73-59 92%
WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.www.barttorvik.com
Credit to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line of ~23 point win.
Rhode Island - 95.9% chance of winning; 78-56 (22.6)
Warren Nolan predicts 18 point Iowa win (78 - 60).
Team Rankings:
ELO HHS BT KM AMSTS SR SM Avg Rank Iowa 15 5 19 3 7 28 4 11.6Rhode Island 117 81 99 150 159 157 103 123.7
Rankings Key:
ELO Warren Nolan ELO https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo HHS Her Hoop Stats IA https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2024/11/24/d1/ RI https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2024/11/23/d1/ BT Bart Torvik https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php KM Ken Massey https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings AMSTS All My Sports Teams Suck https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ SR Sports Reference https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html SM Sonny Moore https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm
Again, Nolan's ELO seems closest to the average computer model rankings for this game.
Fri 11-29 | N | 84 (Ⅱ) | BYU | -12.5, 75-63 | 89% |
ELO | HHS | BT | KM | AMSTS | SR | SM | Avg Rank | |
Iowa | 10 | 7 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 4 | 12.7 |
BYU | 75 | 118 | 84 | 74 | 70 | 99 | 93 | 87.6 |
ELO | Warren Nolan ELO | https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo |
HHS | Her Hoop Stats | |
BT | Bart Torvik | https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php |
KM | Ken Massey | https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings |
AMSTS | All My Sports Teams Suck | https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ |
SR | Sports Reference | https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html |
SM | Sonny Moore | https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm |
It’s changed but not much. 96.9 percent chance with a 26 point win. Now number 7 in HHS ranking.Iowa with a 88% - *98% chance to win from all 3 percentage models.
Iowa projected with a 16-18 point win today by Massey.
Iowa projected with a ~12 point win today by Torvik.
Fri 11-29 N 84 (Ⅱ) BYU -12.5, 75-63 89%
WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.www.barttorvik.com
Credit to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line of ~29 point win. *Think this is an old line from a few days ago and it most likely changed by now. Hopefully they can post an updated line today.
BYU - 97.7% Chance of winning; 86-57 (28.6)
Warren Nolan predicts 15 point Iowa win (78 - 63).
Team Rankings:
ELO HHS BT KM AMSTS SR SM Avg Rank Iowa 10 7 21 3 7 37 4 12.7BYU 75 118 84 74 70 99 93 87.6
Rankings Key:
ELO Warren Nolan ELO https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo HHS Her Hoop Stats BT Bart Torvik https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php KM Ken Massey https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings AMSTS All My Sports Teams Suck https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ SR Sports Reference https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html SM Sonny Moore https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm
I like this. Keep it up.🙂Iowa with a 92% - 95.9% chance to win from all 3 models.
Iowa projected with a 21-22 point win today by Massey.
Rhode Island
Kingston, RI, USAIowa
Iowa City, IA, USAActual Score 0 0 Most Likely 59 80 Median 59 80 Mean 58.83 80.80 Win Probability 7% 93%
Iowa projected with a ~14 point win today by Torvik.
Thu 11-28 N 99 (Ⅱ) Rhode Island -13.8, 73-59 92%
WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.www.barttorvik.com
Credit to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line of ~23 point win.
Rhode Island - 95.9% chance of winning; 78-56 (22.6)
Warren Nolan predicts 18 point Iowa win (78 - 60).
Team Rankings:
ELO HHS BT KM AMSTS SR SM Avg Rank Iowa 15 5 19 3 7 28 4 11.6Rhode Island 117 81 99 150 159 157 103 123.7
Rankings Key:
ELO Warren Nolan ELO https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo HHS Her Hoop Stats IA https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2024/11/24/d1/ RI https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2024/11/23/d1/ BT Bart Torvik https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php KM Ken Massey https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings AMSTS All My Sports Teams Suck https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ SR Sports Reference https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html SM Sonny Moore https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm
Again, Nolan's ELO seems closest to the average computer model rankings for this game.
I think you should look at SeatGeek instead of trying to get a ticket outside the arena.Iowa versus Iowa State Thursday night on the 11th 8:00 PM game. Weather looks to be 30° and eight mile an hour winds so it shouldn’t be too bad standing outside looking to buy. What do you suppose the scalpers will be asking for tickets ? Thanks to you that might know approximately.