Massey Ratings - College Basketball Women's : NCAA D1 Ratings
Computer ratings and rankings for CBW (College Basketball Women's), with links to team predictions, scores, and schedules.
masseyratings.com
Just did another poorman's scorecard like the one I posted yesterday and gap widen a little more between HHS and Nolan ELO. I'll monitor it over the season to see how HHS and Nolan ELO pans out.
| Score | -26 | -11 |
The one thing noticed about HerHoopStats is they change the history of rankings at the time that game was played. That's why when I go back 9-10 days the team's ranking are all the same as if no ranking updates happened in that time frame. I did notice HHS changed the rankings on most teams from yesterday. Don't think I like that feature where they change the rankings of past games to what their ranking is today as it can skew who the real underdog/fav was at that point in time. That's just me as others may like past game rank changes for other reasons.
Example:
Iowa may be rated #10 a week ago when they played Drake.
Today Iowa is rated #5.
HHS goes back and chances our ranking of that Drake game to #5 to match today's ranking.
That's what I have noticed on my end without a subscription.
#21 Oregon lost to SDSU
#20 NCST lost by 17 to #7 LSU
#19 IL lost by 23 to #14 Kentucky
#18 Ole Miss lost by 13 to #2 UConn
#17 TCU plays #3 Notre Dame on Fri
#20 NCST lost by 17 to #7 LSU
#19 IL lost by 23 to #14 Kentucky
#18 Ole Miss lost by 13 to #2 UConn
#17 TCU plays #3 Notre Dame on Fri
Iowa with a 92% - 95.9% chance to win from all 3 models.
Iowa projected with a 21-22 point win today by Massey.
Iowa projected with a ~14 point win today by Torvik.
Credit to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line of ~23 point win.
Rhode Island - 95.9% chance of winning; 78-56 (22.6)
Warren Nolan predicts 18 point Iowa win (78 - 60).
Team Rankings:
Rankings Key:
Again, Nolan's ELO seems closest to the average computer model rankings for this game.
Iowa projected with a 21-22 point win today by Massey.
| 
| |
| Rhode Island Kingston, RI, USA | Iowa Iowa City, IA, USA | |
| Actual Score | 0 | 0 |
| Most Likely | 59 | 80 |
| Median | 59 | 80 |
| Mean | 58.83 | 80.80 |
| Win Probability | 7% | 93% |
Iowa projected with a ~14 point win today by Torvik.
| Thu 11-28 | N | 99 (Ⅱ) | Rhode Island | -13.8, 73-59 | 92% |
WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.
www.barttorvik.com
Credit to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line of ~23 point win.
Rhode Island - 95.9% chance of winning; 78-56 (22.6)
Warren Nolan predicts 18 point Iowa win (78 - 60).
Team Rankings:
| ELO | HHS | BT | KM | AMSTS | SR | SM | Avg Rank | |
| Iowa | 15 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 4 | 11.6 |
| Rhode Island | 117 | 81 | 99 | 150 | 159 | 157 | 103 | 123.7 |
Rankings Key:
| ELO | Warren Nolan ELO | https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo | |
| HHS | Her Hoop Stats | IA | https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2024/11/24/d1/ |
| RI | https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2024/11/23/d1/ | ||
| BT | Bart Torvik | https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php | |
| KM | Ken Massey | https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings | |
| AMSTS | All My Sports Teams Suck | https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ | |
| SR | Sports Reference | https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html | |
| SM | Sonny Moore | https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm |
Again, Nolan's ELO seems closest to the average computer model rankings for this game.
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HHS updates scores almost immediately and you cannot go back in time and look at ratings for a specific date unless you track outside on your own. Thanks for all of the data.
Vegas line is Iowa by 24.5Iowa with a 92% - 95.9% chance to win from all 3 models.
Iowa projected with a 21-22 point win today by Massey.
Rhode Island
Kingston, RI, USAIowa
Iowa City, IA, USAActual Score 0 0 Most Likely 59 80 Median 59 80 Mean 58.83 80.80 Win Probability 7% 93%
Iowa projected with a ~14 point win today by Torvik.
Thu 11-28 N 99 (Ⅱ) Rhode Island -13.8, 73-59 92%
WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.www.barttorvik.com
Credit to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line of ~23 point win.
Rhode Island - 95.9% chance of winning; 78-56 (22.6)
Warren Nolan predicts 18 point Iowa win (78 - 60).
Team Rankings:
ELO HHS BT KM AMSTS SR SM Avg Rank Iowa Rhode Island
Rankings Key:
ELO Warren Nolan ELO https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo HHS Her Hoop Stats IA https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2024/11/24/d1/ RI https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2024/11/23/d1/ BT Bart Torvik https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php KM Ken Massey https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings AMSTS All My Sports Teams Suck https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ SR Sports Reference https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html SM Sonny Moore https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm
Again, Nolan's ELO seems closest to the average computer model rankings for this game.
A couple of BigTen teams have been rocked by injuries. I've noticed Cotie McMahon hasn't played in OSU's last three games and is apparently in a boot.
Iowa with a 88% - 96.9% chance to win from all 3 percentage models.
Iowa projected with a 16-18 point win today by Massey.
Iowa projected with a ~12 point win today by Torvik.
Credit to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line of 26 point win.
BYU - 96.9% Chance of winning; 26 point win
Warren Nolan predicts 15 point Iowa win (78 - 63).
Team Rankings:
Rankings Key:
Iowa projected with a 16-18 point win today by Massey.
Iowa projected with a ~12 point win today by Torvik.
| Fri 11-29 | N | 84 (Ⅱ) | BYU | -12.5, 75-63 | 89% |
WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.
www.barttorvik.com
Credit to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line of 26 point win.
BYU - 96.9% Chance of winning; 26 point win
Warren Nolan predicts 15 point Iowa win (78 - 63).
Team Rankings:
| ELO | HHS | BT | KM | AMSTS | SR | SM | Avg Rank | |
| Iowa | 10 | 7 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 4 | 12.7 |
| BYU | 75 | 118 | 84 | 74 | 70 | 99 | 93 | 87.6 |
Rankings Key:
| ELO | Warren Nolan ELO | https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo |
| HHS | Her Hoop Stats | |
| BT | Bart Torvik | https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php |
| KM | Ken Massey | https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings |
| AMSTS | All My Sports Teams Suck | https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ |
| SR | Sports Reference | https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html |
| SM | Sonny Moore | https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm |
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It’s changed but not much. 96.9 percent chance with a 26 point win. Now number 7 in HHS ranking.Iowa with a 88% - *98% chance to win from all 3 percentage models.
Iowa projected with a 16-18 point win today by Massey.
Iowa projected with a ~12 point win today by Torvik.
Fri 11-29 N 84 (Ⅱ) BYU -12.5, 75-63 89%
WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.www.barttorvik.com
Credit to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line of ~29 point win. *Think this is an old line from a few days ago and it most likely changed by now. Hopefully they can post an updated line today.
BYU - 97.7% Chance of winning; 86-57 (28.6)
Warren Nolan predicts 15 point Iowa win (78 - 63).
Team Rankings:
ELO HHS BT KM AMSTS SR SM Avg Rank Iowa BYU
Rankings Key:
ELO Warren Nolan ELO https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo HHS Her Hoop Stats BT Bart Torvik https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php KM Ken Massey https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings AMSTS All My Sports Teams Suck https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ SR Sports Reference https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html SM Sonny Moore https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm
UCLA takes top spot in latest USA TODAY Big Ten women's basketball power rankings
The Bruins' big win over South Carolina, coupled with USC's loss to Notre Dame, creates a change up top.
www.hawkcentral.com
I like this. Keep it up.🙂Iowa with a 92% - 95.9% chance to win from all 3 models.
Iowa projected with a 21-22 point win today by Massey.
Rhode Island
Kingston, RI, USAIowa
Iowa City, IA, USAActual Score 0 0 Most Likely 59 80 Median 59 80 Mean 58.83 80.80 Win Probability 7% 93%
Iowa projected with a ~14 point win today by Torvik.
Thu 11-28 N 99 (Ⅱ) Rhode Island -13.8, 73-59 92%
WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.www.barttorvik.com
Credit to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line of ~23 point win.
Rhode Island - 95.9% chance of winning; 78-56 (22.6)
Warren Nolan predicts 18 point Iowa win (78 - 60).
Team Rankings:
ELO HHS BT KM AMSTS SR SM Avg Rank Iowa Rhode Island
Rankings Key:
ELO Warren Nolan ELO https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo HHS Her Hoop Stats IA https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2024/11/24/d1/ RI https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2024/11/23/d1/ BT Bart Torvik https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php KM Ken Massey https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings AMSTS All My Sports Teams Suck https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ SR Sports Reference https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html SM Sonny Moore https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm
Again, Nolan's ELO seems closest to the average computer model rankings for this game.
Iowa versus Iowa State Thursday night on the 11th 8:00 PM game. Weather looks to be 30° and eight mile an hour winds so it shouldn’t be too bad standing outside looking to buy. What do you suppose the scalpers will be asking for tickets ? Thanks to you that might know approximately.
I think you should look at SeatGeek instead of trying to get a ticket outside the arena.
Team players of the week goes to none other than...
Iowa's 8-0 start lands the Hawkeyes as women's college basketball's team of the week
"NCAA.com team of the week, Iowa finished 8-0 in November, serving notice that the Hawkeyes will continue to flourish even after the departure of college basketball’s all-time leading scorer in Caitlin Clark and after the retirement of legendary head coach Lisa Bluder."
"First-year Iowa head coach Jan Jensen became the first coach in Iowa women’s basketball history to begin her tenure 8-0."
www.ncaa.com
What's glaring omitted in the last two wins (past week) that it was accomplished without top scorer and assist leader Lucy Olsen. Plus, two very rusty and/or less practiced frosh PG subs had taken her place to do it.
Iowa's 8-0 start lands the Hawkeyes as women's college basketball's team of the week
"NCAA.com team of the week, Iowa finished 8-0 in November, serving notice that the Hawkeyes will continue to flourish even after the departure of college basketball’s all-time leading scorer in Caitlin Clark and after the retirement of legendary head coach Lisa Bluder."
"First-year Iowa head coach Jan Jensen became the first coach in Iowa women’s basketball history to begin her tenure 8-0."
Iowa's 8-0 start lands the Hawkeyes as women's college basketball's team of the week
Iowa women's basketball's 8-0 start is the fourth-best start in program history.
www.ncaa.com
What's glaring omitted in the last two wins (past week) that it was accomplished without top scorer and assist leader Lucy Olsen. Plus, two very rusty and/or less practiced frosh PG subs had taken her place to do it.
The girl with the ball in her hand scored 38 tonight, so her going to the hoop figured to be the best play.
Nope. Latson #00, who leads the nation in scoring and had 38 last night, didn't touch the ball during the last possession. #3 Gordon dribbled around, didn't try very hard to get Latson the ball, then then drove the lane for a bad shoot.
3 things to watch as Iowa women's basketball faces Tennessee in Women's Champions Classic
Jan Jensen's Iowa Hawkeyes women's basketball heads to Brooklyn to face Tennessee in the first Women's Champions Classic. Here are 3 things to watch.
www.hawkcentral.com
Thanks for the article, HGW. Here are the numbers for Tennessee from HHS....Iowa by 4.5, 63% chance of winning at 81-77. Won't be able to post tomorrow so wanted to pass it along today. Thank you for the data you post from Massey, etc.
Computer Models Summary:
Iowa with a 54% - 67% chance to win from 4 percentage models.
Iowa with a 1 - 5 point(s) win from 4 spread models.
Avg Team Rank is #13 Iowa vs #17 Tennessee from 7 ranking models.
A side note to consider is Tennessee has played all 6 games on their home court. Iowa has played only 3 at home, 1 away and 4 neutral games already. This is a neutral site game and could be the advantage we need to get the W here.
Iowa projected with a 4 - 5 point win today by Massey.
Iowa projected with a 1 point win today by Torvik.
Credit to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.
Iowa - 63% chance of winning; 4 point win (81-77).
Warren Nolan predicts:
Iowa - 67% chance of winning; 5 point win (77 - 72).
www.warrennolan.com
Team Rankings:
Team Rankings Key:
Iowa with a 54% - 67% chance to win from 4 percentage models.
Iowa with a 1 - 5 point(s) win from 4 spread models.
Avg Team Rank is #13 Iowa vs #17 Tennessee from 7 ranking models.
A side note to consider is Tennessee has played all 6 games on their home court. Iowa has played only 3 at home, 1 away and 4 neutral games already. This is a neutral site game and could be the advantage we need to get the W here.
Iowa projected with a 4 - 5 point win today by Massey.
|
| |
| Tennessee (6-0) Knoxville, TN, USA | Iowa (8-0) Iowa City, IA, USA | |
| Actual Score | 0 | 0 |
| Most Likely | 74 | 79 |
| Median | 75 | 79 |
| Mean | 75.52 | 79.77 |
| Win Probability | 39% | 61% |
Iowa projected with a 1 point win today by Torvik.
| Sat 12-07 | N | 23 (I) | Tennessee | -1.0, 77-76 | 54% |
WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.
www.barttorvik.com
Credit to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.
Iowa - 63% chance of winning; 4 point win (81-77).
Warren Nolan predicts:
Iowa - 67% chance of winning; 5 point win (77 - 72).
Game Result (Winner & Score) Predictions Women's College Basketball | WarrenNolan.com
2025 Women's College Basketball Game Result (Winner and Score) Predictions (RP predictor): - predictions of the winner, score, margin of victory, probability of victory of each game in the season.
Team Rankings:
| ELO | HHS | BT | KM | AMSTS | SR | SM | Avg Rank | |
| Iowa | 14 | 7 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 5 | 12.9 |
| Tenn | 24 | 15 | 23 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 17.0 |
Team Rankings Key:
| ELO | Warren Nolan's ELO | https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo | |
| HHS | Her Hoop Stats | IA | https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2024/11/29/d1/ |
| TN | https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2024/12/4/d1/ | ||
| BT | Bart Torvik | https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php | |
| KM | Ken Massey | https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings | |
| AMSTS | All My Sports Teams Suck | https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ | |
| SR | Sports Reference | https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html | |
| SM | Sonny Moore | https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm |
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Wow. Crazy that they've had all home games. That should help Iowa I would think....Computer Models Summary:
Iowa with a 54% - 67% chance to win from 4 percentage models.
Iowa with a 1 - 5 point(s) win from 4 spread models.
Avg Team Rank is #13 Iowa vs #17 Tennessee from 7 ranking models.
A side note to consider is Tennessee has played all 6 games on their home court. Iowa has played only 3 at home, 1 away and 4 neutral games already. This is a neutral site game and could be the advantage we need to get the W here.
Iowa projected with a 4 - 5 point win today by Massey.
Tennessee (6-0)
Knoxville, TN, USAIowa (8-0)
Iowa City, IA, USAActual Score 0 0 Most Likely 74 79 Median 75 79 Mean 75.52 79.77 Win Probability 39% 61%
Iowa projected with a 1 point win today by Torvik.
Sat 12-07 N 23 (I) Tennessee -1.0, 77-76 54%
WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.www.barttorvik.com
Credit to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.
Iowa - 63% chance of winning; 4 point win (81-77).
Warren Nolan predicts:
Iowa - 67% chance of winning; 5 point win (77 - 72).
Game Result (Winner & Score) Predictions Women's College Basketball | WarrenNolan.com
2025 Women's College Basketball Game Result (Winner and Score) Predictions (RP predictor): - predictions of the winner, score, margin of victory, probability of victory of each game in the season.
Team Rankings:
ELO HHS BT KM AMSTS SR SM Avg Rank Iowa Tenn
Team Rankings Key:
ELO Warren Nolan's ELO https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo HHS Her Hoop Stats IA https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2024/11/29/d1/ TN https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2024/12/4/d1/ BT Bart Torvik https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php KM Ken Massey https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings AMSTS All My Sports Teams Suck https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ SR Sports Reference https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html SM Sonny Moore https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm
Just tracking to see how the computer models adjusted to the outcome.
Seems Sports Reference (SR) model got it right pre-game as all other models predicted IA favored according to ranking.
Pre-TN Rankings:
Team Rankings Key:
Seems Sports Reference (SR) model got it right pre-game as all other models predicted IA favored according to ranking.
Pre-TN Rankings:
| ELO | HHS | BT | KM | AMSTS | SR | SM | Avg Rank | |
| Iowa | 14 | 7 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 5 | 12.9 |
| Tenn | 24 | 15 | 23 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
| Post Rankings: | ||||||||
| ELO | HHS | BT | KM | AMSTS | SR | SM | Avg Rank | |
| Iowa | 20 | 12 | 21 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 6 | 16.1 |
| Tenn | 15 | 15 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 14 | 14.4 |
Team Rankings Key:
| ELO | Warren Nolan's ELO | https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo | |
| HHS | Her Hoop Stats | https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2024/12/07/d1/ | |
| BT | Bart Torvik | https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php | |
| KM | Ken Massey | https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings | |
| AMSTS | All My Sports Teams Suck | https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ | |
| SR | Sports Reference | https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html | |
| SM | Sonny Moore | https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm |
Computer Models Summary:
Iowa with a 73% - 90.1% chance to win from 4 percentage models.
Iowa to win by 7 - 17.4 points from 4 spread models.
Avg Team Rank is #16 Iowa vs #40 Iowa State from 7 ranking models.
Nolan's ELO team rankings closely match AP poll rankings with ISU ranked higher.
However, Nolan's RP predicts Iowa with a 80% chance of winning and 10 point win as well as the 6 other models clearly have Iowa as the better ranked team.
HerHoopStats predicts an even bigger Iowa win by ~17 points. WOW!
Massey predicts:
Iowa - 73% chance of winning with ~8 - 10 point win (~69 - 79).
Torvik predicts:
Iowa - 76% chance of winning with a ~7 point win (74 - 67).
HerHoopStats predicts:
Iowa - 90.1% chance of winning with a 17.4 point win (82 - 65).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.
Warren Nolan predicts:
Iowa - 80% chance of winning with a 10 point win (78 - 68).
www.warrennolan.com
Team Rankings:
Team Rankings Key:
Iowa with a 73% - 90.1% chance to win from 4 percentage models.
Iowa to win by 7 - 17.4 points from 4 spread models.
Avg Team Rank is #16 Iowa vs #40 Iowa State from 7 ranking models.
Nolan's ELO team rankings closely match AP poll rankings with ISU ranked higher.
However, Nolan's RP predicts Iowa with a 80% chance of winning and 10 point win as well as the 6 other models clearly have Iowa as the better ranked team.
HerHoopStats predicts an even bigger Iowa win by ~17 points. WOW!
Massey predicts:
Iowa - 73% chance of winning with ~8 - 10 point win (~69 - 79).
|
| |
| #18 Iowa St (8 - 2) Ames, IA, USA | #21 Iowa (8 - 1) Iowa City, IA, USA | |
| Actual Score | 0 | 0 |
| Most Likely | 69 | 78 |
| Median | 70 | 78 |
| Mean | 69.90 | 78.71 |
| Win Probability | 28% | 73% |
Torvik predicts:
Iowa - 76% chance of winning with a ~7 point win (74 - 67).
| Wed 12-11 | H | 37 (Ⅲ) | Iowa St. | -7.2, 74-67 | 76% |
WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.
www.barttorvik.com
HerHoopStats predicts:
Iowa - 90.1% chance of winning with a 17.4 point win (82 - 65).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.
Warren Nolan predicts:
Iowa - 80% chance of winning with a 10 point win (78 - 68).
Game Result (Winner & Score) Predictions Women's College Basketball | WarrenNolan.com
2025 Women's College Basketball Game Result (Winner and Score) Predictions (RP predictor): - predictions of the winner, score, margin of victory, probability of victory of each game in the season.
Team Rankings:
| ELO | HHS | BT | KM | AMSTS | SR | SM | Avg Rank | |
| Iowa | 19 | 11 | 21 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 7 | 16.1 |
| ISU | 17 | 45 | 37 | 30 | 57 | 51 | 40 | 39.6 |
Team Rankings Key:
| ELO | Warren Nolan's ELO | https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo | |
| HHS | Her Hoop Stats | IA | https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2024/12/07/d1/ |
| ISU | |||
| BT | Bart Torvik | https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php | |
| KM | Ken Massey | https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings | |
| AMSTS | All My Sports Teams Suck | https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ | |
| SR | Sports Reference | https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html | |
| SM | Sonny Moore | https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm |
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HawksGone Wild,
HHS - Iowa 90.1% chance of winning. +17.4, 82-65
HHS - Iowa 90.1% chance of winning. +17.4, 82-65
Thanks for that!
Wow, that's a complete stunner their model has us that much better right now!
Could be they're tacking on ~6 point home court advantage at CHA?
The way one thinks about a 10 - 11 point win vs 17 - 18 is somewhat different.
Iowa vs. Iowa State Prediction - bet365
- Score Prediction: Iowa 74, Iowa State 63
- Spread Prediction: Projected spread of 11.1 points
- Total Prediction: 136.4 total points
Iowa vs. Iowa State Women's Basketball: Prediction, Odds & Insights for December 11 | RealGM
Predicting the outcome of the Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Iowa State Cyclones women's NCAA basketball game on Wednesday, December 11, with odds and additional betting insights.
basketball.realgm.com
| Iowa | 90.1% | 9.9% | 82.1 | 64.8 | +17.4 | -17.4 | 146.9 |
| Neutral | 85.2% | 14.8% | 79.7 | 66.0 | +13.7 | -13.7 | 145.7 |
| Iowa St. | 78.5% | 21.5% | 77.3 | 67.3 | +10.0 | -10.0 | 144.6 |
I think part of it is Iowa State is a hard team to assess at this point. Most of their wins are over NET 200+ teams. Here are their results against NET Top 104 teams:
at UNI (69): L: 87-75
vs. Drake (104): W: 80-78
Neutral vs. South Carolina (1): L: 76-36
Neutral vs. Middle Tennessee (60): W: 75-59
If you just look at resume, you wouldn't think Iowa State is particularly close to the Top 25. I think they're better than those results, but we need to see it.
Iowa by the same metric:
Neutral vs. Virginia Tech (54): W: 71-52
at Drake (104): W: 86-73
Neutral vs. Kansas (86): W: 71-58
Neutral vs. BYU (74): W: 68-48
Neutral vs. Tennessee (27): L: 78-68
Cal is pounding Stanford, leading by nearly 30 points. Michigan State beat Cal earlier this season.
And Stanford *should* have beaten LSU. I still don't know how LSU managed to win that game--just lucky.
So what this all means, is that if Iowa beats MSU.... Hmm.
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