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Iowa WBB 2024-2025 Season Thread

Is this fool talking about me? "Punch him in the d***?" This is why I only pop in on the message boards once in a while. Probably, even less now.
Hawkbuck,

When I read through the chain I thought he was referring to Shikreto who started the thread but no longer appears to be on here. Maybe I am wrong but I thought the comment was directed at him not you.

I think everyone appreciated your insight (I know I do).
 
Hawkbuck,

When I read through the chain I thought he was referring to Shikreto who started the thread but no longer appears to be on here. Maybe I am wrong but I thought the comment was directed at him not you.

I think everyone appreciated your insight (I know I do).

Haven't seen that poster either for awhile.

 
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Is this fool talking about me? "Punch him in the d***?" This is why I only pop in on the message boards once in a while. Probably, even less now.
Probably? So you're saying there's a chance... (although I hope it's higher than the likelihood of this reference landing)

Given your intel I bet you could get a free membership to the corner of this site where this malarkey decreases in frequency about... about 80%. I'll return back here to bring the intel to the proletariat. Minus a select few. Win-win. Okay, maybe not for "everyone".
 
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Re: Intel from Closed Scrimmage

The best intel I found so far is:
Post #112: "Mod from another site said they won "fairly easily"."

However, on post #114, SkimMilkey reports, "Score not kept to my knowledge. More of a situational scrimmage IMO."

These 2 statements don't quite jibe in my book.

There is a report out by David Eickholt (247sports.com) on this scrimmage but it's behind a paywall.
Iowa Women's Basketball Secret Scrimmage tidbits...

I'm assuming some internal intelligence has leaked out since the secret scrimmage on 10/13/24. This report on 10/21/24 has them going from "Not Rated" to #22:

Anyone have any intel from the David Eickholt article to shed more light on this closed event? Who surprising stood out and/or who seems stuck in the mud yet?
 
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Lengthy thoughts on our lineup after the exhibition:
I'm anticipating an 8 person rotation (9 when Syd gets back).

1: Olsen/Stremlow
2: McCabe
3: Feuerbach
4: Stuelke/Mallegni
5: Heiden/O'Grady

Frontcourt:
If I'm not mistaken, Teagan only played the 4 last night. I thought she might see minutes at the 3 too. That could become an issue if the goal truly is to play Hannah at the 4, because I believe Teagen will prove too valuable to keep off the floor. To free up minutes for both, I think we're going to have to use Hannah at the 5 for probably 10 minutes per game still like we did in the second half last night.

For example:
4: Hannah (20min), Teagen (20min)
5: Heiden (22min), Hannah (10min), O'Grady (8min--split minutes more evenly with Heiden if she's playing well)

It would be nice for Teagan and Hannah to both play 30+ minutes, but that just won't be possible without Hannah at the 5 (or Hannah/Teagan trying out the 3).

Backcourt:
With Syd (and Guyton) out the backcourt is a lot less crowded at the moment. We have 120 minutes to spread around among 4 players, so probably something like 30 minutes each.

1: Olsen (35min), Stremlow (5min)
2: McCabe (25min), Stremlow (15min)
3: Kylie (32min), Stremlow (8min)

It's not really an athletic backcourt outside of Kylie and I think as fatigue sets in at the end of games we're going to be really vulnerable there to faster teams. When Syd gets back it will help a TON with grit and hustle. I know it's been speculated that Kylie would lose her starting spot to Syd, but I think it will be McCabe. Kylie is going to play the Gabbie role and be relied on for her defense. She'll be too valuable in that way... plus seniority. McCabe will still be important though. Stremlow's ball pressure was effective, but it was against a D2 team. If she manages to be that disruptive against better teams I'll be pleasantly surprised. The potential is definitely there but might take her a year to grow into the role (which is totally understandable).

If Levin steps up or Guyton gets back to health, minutes are available now but not sure they will be in the second half of the season.
 
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Lengthy thoughts on our lineup after the exhibition:
I'm anticipating an 8 person rotation (9 when Syd gets back).

1: Olsen/Stremlow
2: McCabe
3: Feuerbach
4: Stuelke/Mallegni
5: Heiden/O'Grady

Frontcourt:
If I'm not mistaken, Teagan only played the 4 last night. I thought she might see minutes at the 3 too. That could become an issue if the goal truly is to play Hannah at the 4, because I believe Teagen will prove too valuable to keep off the floor. To free up minutes for both, I think we're going to have to use Hannah at the 5 for probably 10 minutes per game still like we did in the second half last night.

For example:
4: Hannah (20min), Teagen (20min)
5: Heiden (22min), Hannah (10min), O'Grady (8min--split minutes more evenly with Heiden if she's playing well)

It would be nice for Teagan and Hannah to both play 30+ minutes, but that just won't be possible without Hannah at the 5 (or Hannah/Teagan trying out the 3).

Backcourt:
With Syd (and Guyton) out the backcourt is a lot less crowded at the moment. We have 120 minutes to spread around among 4 players, so probably something like 30 minutes each.

1: Olsen (35min), Stremlow (5min)
2: McCabe (25min), Stremlow (15min)
3: Kylie (32min), Stremlow (8min)

It's not really an athletic backcourt outside of Kylie and I think as fatigue sets in at the end of games we're going to be really vulnerable there to faster teams. When Syd gets back it will help a TON with grit and hustle. I know it's been speculated that Kylie would lose her starting spot to Syd, but I think it will be McCabe. Kylie is going to play the Gabbie role and be relied on for her defense. She'll be too valuable in that way... plus seniority. McCabe will still be important though. Stremlow's ball pressure was effective, but it was against a D2 team. If she manages to be that disruptive against better teams I'll be pleasantly surprised. The potential is definitely there but might take her a year to grow into the role (which is totally understandable).

If Levin steps up or Guyton gets back to health, minutes are available now but not sure they will be in the second half of the season.
I agree with basically all of this. Like you said, it seems like the biggest roster conundrum at the moment is how to get Mallegni minutes when she seems limited to the 4 and what impact that has on Stuelke. I was hoping they could shift Mallegni to the 3 for some of those, but if they didn't try it last night, I'm not overly optimistic they think it's viable.

The good news is Heiden, Mallegni, and Stremlow all look ready to contribute. I thought Iowa was being underrated nationally and the scrimmage reinforces that for me.
 
I agree with basically all of this. Like you said, it seems like the biggest roster conundrum at the moment is how to get Mallegni minutes when she seems limited to the 4 and what impact that has on Stuelke. I was hoping they could shift Mallegni to the 3 for some of those, but if they didn't try it last night, I'm not overly optimistic they think it's viable.

The good news is Heiden, Mallegni, and Stremlow all look ready to contribute. I thought Iowa was being underrated nationally and the scrimmage reinforces that for me.
Yep. Obviously Syd is going to play significant minutes, so that will throw the McCabe/Kylie/Mallageni into some juggling. Jan and her staff will have to make adjustments based on the opponent, but its sure nice to go into games with more size if both Heiden and AOG push for minutes.
 
Lengthy thoughts on our lineup after the exhibition:
I'm anticipating an 8 person rotation (9 when Syd gets back).

1: Olsen/Stremlow
2: McCabe
3: Feuerbach
4: Stuelke/Mallegni
5: Heiden/O'Grady

Frontcourt:
If I'm not mistaken, Teagan only played the 4 last night. I thought she might see minutes at the 3 too. That could become an issue if the goal truly is to play Hannah at the 4, because I believe Teagen will prove too valuable to keep off the floor. To free up minutes for both, I think we're going to have to use Hannah at the 5 for probably 10 minutes per game still like we did in the second half last night.

For example:
4: Hannah (20min), Teagen (20min)
5: Heiden (22min), Hannah (10min), O'Grady (8min--split minutes more evenly with Heiden if she's playing well)

It would be nice for Teagan and Hannah to both play 30+ minutes, but that just won't be possible without Hannah at the 5 (or Hannah/Teagan trying out the 3).

Backcourt:
With Syd (and Guyton) out the backcourt is a lot less crowded at the moment. We have 120 minutes to spread around among 4 players, so probably something like 30 minutes each.

1: Olsen (35min), Stremlow (5min)
2: McCabe (25min), Stremlow (15min)
3: Kylie (32min), Stremlow (8min)

It's not really an athletic backcourt outside of Kylie and I think as fatigue sets in at the end of games we're going to be really vulnerable there to faster teams. When Syd gets back it will help a TON with grit and hustle. I know it's been speculated that Kylie would lose her starting spot to Syd, but I think it will be McCabe. Kylie is going to play the Gabbie role and be relied on for her defense. She'll be too valuable in that way... plus seniority. McCabe will still be important though. Stremlow's ball pressure was effective, but it was against a D2 team. If she manages to be that disruptive against better teams I'll be pleasantly surprised. The potential is definitely there but might take her a year to grow into the role (which is totally understandable).

If Levin steps up or Guyton gets back to health, minutes are available now but not sure they will be in the second half of the season.
Kylie gives really good energy on defense ... so I agree with your concern about fatigue among the backcourt.

Teagan definitely seems like she could fit into the role that Syd played last year down the stretch. So I could see her playing at 3 or 4.

In the game, I was heartened to see McCabe a little more willing to make her own shot. Last season she was more of a catch-and-shoot player. If she can still have her lethal accuracy ... but also create her own shot a bit more ... we could see her productivity continue to rise.

Hannah is playing even more fluidly ... which is awesome to see. I think that she has the potential to be quite the phenom. I like seeing her willingness to take the outside shot too ... even without having someone with the range of Caitlin ... if Hannah can keep the perimeter D honest ... that can allow for Heiden to do her thing more from the outside.

Also, if I recall Heiden's recruitment ... she has some range too ... so she's not quite as limited as O'Grady appears to be (offensively).
 
Lengthy thoughts on our lineup after the exhibition:
I'm anticipating an 8 person rotation (9 when Syd gets back).

1: Olsen/Stremlow
2: McCabe
3: Feuerbach
4: Stuelke/Mallegni
5: Heiden/O'Grady

Frontcourt:
If I'm not mistaken, Teagan only played the 4 last night. I thought she might see minutes at the 3 too. That could become an issue if the goal truly is to play Hannah at the 4, because I believe Teagen will prove too valuable to keep off the floor. To free up minutes for both, I think we're going to have to use Hannah at the 5 for probably 10 minutes per game still like we did in the second half last night.

For example:
4: Hannah (20min), Teagen (20min)
5: Heiden (22min), Hannah (10min), O'Grady (8min--split minutes more evenly with Heiden if she's playing well)

It would be nice for Teagan and Hannah to both play 30+ minutes, but that just won't be possible without Hannah at the 5 (or Hannah/Teagan trying out the 3).

Backcourt:
With Syd (and Guyton) out the backcourt is a lot less crowded at the moment. We have 120 minutes to spread around among 4 players, so probably something like 30 minutes each.

1: Olsen (35min), Stremlow (5min)
2: McCabe (25min), Stremlow (15min)
3: Kylie (32min), Stremlow (8min)

It's not really an athletic backcourt outside of Kylie and I think as fatigue sets in at the end of games we're going to be really vulnerable there to faster teams. When Syd gets back it will help a TON with grit and hustle. I know it's been speculated that Kylie would lose her starting spot to Syd, but I think it will be McCabe. Kylie is going to play the Gabbie role and be relied on for her defense. She'll be too valuable in that way... plus seniority. McCabe will still be important though. Stremlow's ball pressure was effective, but it was against a D2 team. If she manages to be that disruptive against better teams I'll be pleasantly surprised. The potential is definitely there but might take her a year to grow into the role (which is totally understandable).

If Levin steps up or Guyton gets back to health, minutes are available now but not sure they will be in the second half of the season.
I agree on McCabe. I thought her defense was still a concern last night.
 
Sorry if discussed elsewhere and I missed it but haven’t heard much on Levin so wondering if she played and how she looked? IIRC she sat out some earlier practices.
 
For those familiar with Bart Torvik's men's basketball rankings/analytics (similar, but not identical to Ken Pom), Bart has added women's basketball to his site (free). Will be interesting to see how things look as the season progress. For now, Bart's pre-season ranking has Iowa # 25.

 
For those familiar with Bart Torvik's men's basketball rankings/analytics (similar, but not identical to Ken Pom), Bart has added women's basketball to his site (free). Will be interesting to see how things look as the season progress. For now, Bart's pre-season ranking has Iowa # 25.


Awesome find!

Also, this report on 10/21/24 has them going from "Not Rated" to #22 recently:
 
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For those familiar with Bart Torvik's men's basketball rankings/analytics (similar, but not identical to Ken Pom), Bart has added women's basketball to his site (free). Will be interesting to see how things look as the season progress. For now, Bart's pre-season ranking has Iowa # 25.


I like our chances to rise in the rankings! We'll have to see how this shakes out during the season on whether we also retain 3 of the top 50 NCAA players compared to the other top Big Ten teams.

Bart Torvik's Big Ten Rankings with Top 50 Player Rankings
UCLA #5
1) Lauren Betts - #30
2) Kiki Rice - #34

USC #7
1) JuJu Watkins - #2
2) Kiki Iriafen - #6

Maryland #14
1) Shyanne Sellers - #40
2) Sarah Te-Biasu - #44

Ohio St #16
1) Taylor Thierry - #31

Indiana #20
N/A

Washington #22
N/A

Michigan St #24
N/A

Iowa #25
1) Lucy Olsen - #4
2) Sydney Affolter - #47
3) Hannah Stuelke - #49

Bart Torvik's T-Rank Player Stats

Bart Torvik's T-Rank Team Ranking Stats
 
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Ava Heiden gettin some attention. Teagan Mallegni may be another after last night's production.

Watch these 10 freshman this women’s college basketball season​

The 2024-25 NCAAW freshmen class has a ton of potential, with talented players suiting up across the country.

"Heiden seems to be a dark horse in many preseason freshmen rankings."

 
I like our chances to rise in the rankings! We'll have to see how this shakes out during the season on whether we also retain 3 of the top 50 NCAA players compared to the other top Big Ten teams.

Bart Torvik's Big Ten Rankings with Top 50 Player Rankings
UCLA #5
1) Lauren Betts - #30
2) Kiki Rice - #34

USC #7
1) JuJu Watkins - #2
2) Kiki Iriafen - #6

Maryland #14
1) Shyanne Sellers - #40
2) Sarah Te-Biasu - #44

Ohio St #16
1) Taylor Thierry - #31

Indiana #20
N/A

Washington #22
N/A

Michigan St #24
N/A

Iowa #25
1) Lucy Olsen - #4
2) Sydney Affolter - #47
3) Hannah Stuelke - #49

Bart Torvik's T-Rank Player Stats

Bart Torvik's T-Rank Team Ranking Stats
Interesting. He doesn't think too highly of Cotie McMahon.
 
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I like our chances to rise in the rankings! We'll have to see how this shakes out during the season on whether we also retain 3 of the top 50 NCAA players compared to the other top Big Ten teams.

Bart Torvik's Big Ten Rankings with Top 50 Player Rankings
UCLA #5
1) Lauren Betts - #30
2) Kiki Rice - #34

USC #7
1) JuJu Watkins - #2
2) Kiki Iriafen - #6

Maryland #14
1) Shyanne Sellers - #40
2) Sarah Te-Biasu - #44

Ohio St #16
1) Taylor Thierry - #31

Indiana #20
N/A

Washington #22
N/A

Michigan St #24
N/A

Iowa #25
1) Lucy Olsen - #4
2) Sydney Affolter - #47
3) Hannah Stuelke - #49

Bart Torvik's T-Rank Player Stats

Bart Torvik's T-Rank Team Ranking Stats
Love Lucy. Thrilled she's our PG. But she is not the #4 player in the country. Whole list is pseudo-stat-science clickbait.
 
Mm-Hmm, Raygun needs to make a "I Love Lucy" T-shirt.
Already done.
 
Interesting. He doesn't think too highly of Cotie McMahon.
She's down to #156.
One of her big bugaboos is 3pt% of .237 (14-59).
Her BPM (Box Plus/Minus) is kinda low. It's a calc of Off BPM + Def BPM (Rated #236 in this category)

Sort on ORTG column.
Sydney Affolter is #1.
Hannah Stuelke is #20.
Cotie McMahon is #579.
ORTG is calculated by dividing the total points scored by a team or player by the total number of possessions, then multiplying by 100. This yields a score that represents the number of points scored per 100 possessions.
Hope these two can keep the same pace or better this year as well.
 
Lengthy thoughts on our lineup after the exhibition:
I'm anticipating an 8 person rotation (9 when Syd gets back).

1: Olsen/Stremlow
2: McCabe
3: Feuerbach
4: Stuelke/Mallegni
5: Heiden/O'Grady

Frontcourt:
If I'm not mistaken, Teagan only played the 4 last night. I thought she might see minutes at the 3 too. That could become an issue if the goal truly is to play Hannah at the 4, because I believe Teagen will prove too valuable to keep off the floor. To free up minutes for both, I think we're going to have to use Hannah at the 5 for probably 10 minutes per game still like we did in the second half last night.

For example:
4: Hannah (20min), Teagen (20min)
5: Heiden (22min), Hannah (10min), O'Grady (8min--split minutes more evenly with Heiden if she's playing well)

It would be nice for Teagan and Hannah to both play 30+ minutes, but that just won't be possible without Hannah at the 5 (or Hannah/Teagan trying out the 3).

Backcourt:
With Syd (and Guyton) out the backcourt is a lot less crowded at the moment. We have 120 minutes to spread around among 4 players, so probably something like 30 minutes each.

1: Olsen (35min), Stremlow (5min)
2: McCabe (25min), Stremlow (15min)
3: Kylie (32min), Stremlow (8min)

It's not really an athletic backcourt outside of Kylie and I think as fatigue sets in at the end of games we're going to be really vulnerable there to faster teams. When Syd gets back it will help a TON with grit and hustle. I know it's been speculated that Kylie would lose her starting spot to Syd, but I think it will be McCabe. Kylie is going to play the Gabbie role and be relied on for her defense. She'll be too valuable in that way... plus seniority. McCabe will still be important though. Stremlow's ball pressure was effective, but it was against a D2 team. If she manages to be that disruptive against better teams I'll be pleasantly surprised. The potential is definitely there but might take her a year to grow into the role (which is totally understandable).

If Levin steps up or Guyton gets back to health, minutes are available now but not sure they will be in the second half of the season.
Teagan will split time between 4-3
 
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Love Lucy. Thrilled she's our PG. But she is not the #4 player in the country. Whole list is pseudo-stat-science clickbait.
Clickbait? Interesting...

There are at least 8 women's recruiting sites out there. Do we call them clickbait?

There are most likely numbers to backup those rankings on each of those sites. Are those pseudo-stat-science?
We don't get to see all the numbers behind the scenes of their "pseudo-stat-science" like we do on Bart's site.

There's "weighted" avgs that each site will give different weights to the numbers. This is one of Bart's methods to rank players. You can click on the columns and get the player's rankings for that variable used in his main composite score.

I know this because I've done this kind of work for Fortune 500 companies. Every company has a meeting of the minds to "weight" metrics differently based on what's important or not important to THEM!
In fact, when a new manager comes on board, guess what happens? The weights and metrics change again. It's just the nature of the beast.

Maybe we should through darts at a dart board to rank them? It's better than pulling it out of Bart's ass, right?

There's a lot of work that goes into these composite stats. And yes, there's a 1001+ ways to do it. Take 1001 people to do their rankings and you'll most likely have 1001 different results. Everyone does it the way that makes sense to them in making things fair as possible. It's not easy ranking point guards with bigs and the positionless flavors in between them with all the variables involved.

Maybe you should call up each of these 8 women's recruiting ranking sites and tell them to stop posting their clickbait to mislead people.

From Bart's site:
New stat: PORPAGATU!
Hot takes:
"There's an interesting offensive player stat out there called PORPAG, which is an acronym for "Points Over Replacement Per Adjusted Game." PORPAG was created by MSU fans KJ and Spartan Dan back in 2009, and the basic idea is to estimate how many more points per game a player creates than a hypothetical "replacement player" would. The basic formula for PORPAG is:
(OffRtg – 88) * %Poss * Min% *65"

"There's probably a better way to make this adjustment, and I'll take suggestions on that and think about it more."

"Is this mathematically, statistically, or analytically sound? Almost certainly not! I have no idea! But it makes the results more pleasing to me, therefore it is done."

There's rhyme or reason to his adjustment composite stat.

It seems to be based off of this:
PORPAG - Points Over Replacement Per Adjusted Game
 
One player was really shutting down her opponent. I think it was Mallegni. Am I right or was it someone else. I know some on here think Feuerbach is the best defender, but I think this other gal was really good.
 
Lengthy thoughts on our lineup after the exhibition:
I'm anticipating an 8 person rotation (9 when Syd gets back).

1: Olsen/Stremlow
2: McCabe
3: Feuerbach
4: Stuelke/Mallegni
5: Heiden/O'Grady

Frontcourt:
If I'm not mistaken, Teagan only played the 4 last night. I thought she might see minutes at the 3 too. That could become an issue if the goal truly is to play Hannah at the 4, because I believe Teagen will prove too valuable to keep off the floor. To free up minutes for both, I think we're going to have to use Hannah at the 5 for probably 10 minutes per game still like we did in the second half last night.

For example:
4: Hannah (20min), Teagen (20min)
5: Heiden (22min), Hannah (10min), O'Grady (8min--split minutes more evenly with Heiden if she's playing well)

It would be nice for Teagan and Hannah to both play 30+ minutes, but that just won't be possible without Hannah at the 5 (or Hannah/Teagan trying out the 3).

Backcourt:
With Syd (and Guyton) out the backcourt is a lot less crowded at the moment. We have 120 minutes to spread around among 4 players, so probably something like 30 minutes each.

1: Olsen (35min), Stremlow (5min)
2: McCabe (25min), Stremlow (15min)
3: Kylie (32min), Stremlow (8min)

It's not really an athletic backcourt outside of Kylie and I think as fatigue sets in at the end of games we're going to be really vulnerable there to faster teams. When Syd gets back it will help a TON with grit and hustle. I know it's been speculated that Kylie would lose her starting spot to Syd, but I think it will be McCabe. Kylie is going to play the Gabbie role and be relied on for her defense. She'll be too valuable in that way... plus seniority. McCabe will still be important though. Stremlow's ball pressure was effective, but it was against a D2 team. If she manages to be that disruptive against better teams I'll be pleasantly surprised. The potential is definitely there but might take her a year to grow into the role (which is totally understandable).

If Levin steps up or Guyton gets back to health, minutes are available now but not sure they will be in the second half of the season.
Revisiting this after seeing the first real game.
Here's the minutes breakdown that I proposed:
Guards

Olsen, 35 min
Feuerbach, 32
Stremlow, 28
McCabe, 25
Forwards
Hannah, 30min
Teagen, 20
Heiden, 22
O'Grady, 8

Here's what actually happened:
Guards

Olsen, 35 min
Feuerbach, 33
Stremlow, 23
McCabe, 26
Levin, 2
Forwards
Stuelke, 19 (injury)
Teagan, 20
Heiden, 16
O'Grady, 14
Ediger, 7
Gyamfi, 7

Overall I was right on with the guards. Kylie is way more important to the rotation than in past seaons. We will need her to learn to stay out of foul trouble, especially until Affolter gets back. I anticipate that's going to be hard because she'll have the hardest defensive assignment. I suspect Jan was hoping Levin could have a few more minutes but we didn't maintain our lead enough for that to work out.

I was a bit off on the forwards, and that's where I think things will continue to be most in flux. Part of it is because Hannah sat the entire 2nd quarter (leading to earlier minutes for Gyamfi and Ediger. Part of it is that O'Grady showed she deserves more minutes. She would have played a few more (in the 2nd quarter) if it weren't for foul trouble. Teagen and Hannah are both really good, and I continue to worry we won't be able to have them both on the floor as much as we'd like.
 
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Revisiting this after seeing the first real game.
Here's the minutes breakdown that I proposed:
Guards

Olsen, 35 min
Feuerbach, 32
Stremlow, 28
McCabe, 25
Forwards
Hannah, 30min
Teagen, 30
Heiden, 22
O'Grady, 8

Here's what actually happened:
Guards

Olsen, 35 min
Feuerbach, 33
Stremlow, 23
McCabe, 26
Levin, 2
Forwards
Stuelke, 19 (injury)
Teagan, 20
Heiden, 16
O'Grady, 14
Ediger, 7
Gyamfi, 7

Overall I was right on with the guards. Kylie is way more important to the rotation than in past seaons. We will need her to learn to stay out of foul trouble, especially until Affolter gets back. I anticipate that's going to be hard because she'll have the hardest defensive assignment. I suspect Jan was hoping Levin could have a few more minutes but we didn't maintain our lead enough for that to work out.

I was a bit off on the forwards, and that's where I think things will continue to be most in flux. Part of it is because Hannah sat the entire 2nd quarter (leading to earlier minutes for Gyamfi and Ediger. Part of it is that O'Grady showed she deserves more minutes. She would have played a few more (in the 2nd quarter) if it weren't for foul trouble. Teagen and Hannah are both really good, and I continue to worry we won't be able to have them both on the floor as much as we'd like.
As of last night's game, I say O'Grady gets a few more minutes than Heiden. Heiden just needs a little more time to let the game come to her and lets the game slow down for her.
 
Revisiting this after seeing the first real game.
Here's the minutes breakdown that I proposed:
Guards

Olsen, 35 min
Feuerbach, 32
Stremlow, 28
McCabe, 25
Forwards
Hannah, 30min
Teagen, 30
Heiden, 22
O'Grady, 8

Here's what actually happened:
Guards

Olsen, 35 min
Feuerbach, 33
Stremlow, 23
McCabe, 26
Levin, 2
Forwards
Stuelke, 19 (injury)
Teagan, 20
Heiden, 16
O'Grady, 14
Ediger, 7
Gyamfi, 7

Overall I was right on with the guards. Kylie is way more important to the rotation than in past seaons. We will need her to learn to stay out of foul trouble, especially until Affolter gets back. I anticipate that's going to be hard because she'll have the hardest defensive assignment. I suspect Jan was hoping Levin could have a few more minutes but we didn't maintain our lead enough for that to work out.

I was a bit off on the forwards, and that's where I think things will continue to be most in flux. Part of it is because Hannah sat the entire 2nd quarter (leading to earlier minutes for Gyamfi and Ediger. Part of it is that O'Grady showed she deserves more minutes. She would have played a few more (in the 2nd quarter) if it weren't for foul trouble. Teagen and Hannah are both really good, and I continue to worry we won't be able to have them both on the floor as much as we'd like.
It's going to be very tough to get Mallegni more than 20 minutes if she's limited to the 4. Stuelke can play the 5, but doing that for many minutes will either force O'Grady into a more limited role than she should have or cut down on Heiden's development opportunities.

It's concerning, though, that we haven't seen Mallegni at the 3 even attempted in an exhibition game or against Northern Illinois that was never in doubt in the second half.
 
It's going to be very tough to get Mallegni more than 20 minutes if she's limited to the 4. Stuelke can play the 5, but doing that for many minutes will either force O'Grady into a more limited role than she should have or cut down on Heiden's development opportunities.

It's concerning, though, that we haven't seen Mallegni at the 3 even attempted in an exhibition game or against Northern Illinois that was never in doubt in the second half.
It appears to me that Mallegni would not be quick enough to guard other 3's in the Big Ten. We have a lot more pieces than Iowa has had in a long time, but how to fit them together. I trust Jan and staff to figure it out.
 
Sliding Stuelke over to the 4 comes with a small problem--it's not yet apparent that Hannah can shoot the ball very well away from the basket. If a player like Mallegni can do that, and the rest of her game comes along, Stuelke kinda has to be playing the 5 again to get the best players on the court. A size liability, but maybe the best 5 is the way to go.

What the team really needs from AOG/AH is some toughness, size physicality to wear down opposing post players. I'm not sure either has that role in them.
 
Feuerbach is a player not discussed much. She really is settling in well, playing under control (finally), a legitimate 3-point shooter and obviously a thief and defender on the court.

There is so much developing guard talent on this team as long as she keeps up her playing level as we get deeper into the season and let these new players grow and adapt the better. I see McCabe at the same stage Feurerbach was last year. Tentative and not quite in the groove - seems lack of aggression/confidence. It's early in the season and maybe it's too soon to form this opinion. I want her to be a total and complete contributor.

Stremlow and Mallegni, holy cow, what's the ceiling? With the depth on this team, it's a matter of playing time which can affect development. We have Guyton coming on board soon. A battalion of guards, although Mallegni is really a wing.
 
Early season thought: this is probably Iowa's deepest team in quite some time. Against Virginia Tech 8 players played more than 10 minutes, and Heiden probably would've gotten more minutes if O'Grady wasn't having a career night. Guyton could also carve out a role when she gets back.

Even better, the depth options are passing the eye test. We're questioning how they can find more minutes for Mallegni, Heiden, and Stremlow, not how to cover for them when they're in.

As a comparison, in Iowa's close 2nd round NCAA Tournament game against Georgia two years ago, no bench option played even 5 minutes. No bench option played even 5 minutes in Iowa's Final Four win over UConn last year, either.
 
Early season thought: this is probably Iowa's deepest team in quite some time.
I agree about the depth of the team, but I still wonder whether, when it gets down to crunch time, there still ends up being a core rotation of 8½ (or fewer) players as it always was under Bluder. “How can so-and-so not get more minutes,” I always ask? But when I lay it out on paper, in a close game, three players are going to use half the minutes (30-35 minutes each) and five players are going to get 15-25 minutes each, using up the rest of the available minutes. Feuerbach this year shows me that for a player to play up to her potential, she needs time on the floor when it counts.

But I could be way wrong.
 
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I agree about the depth of the team, but I still wonder whether, when it gets down to crunch time, there still ends up being a core rotation of 8½ (or fewer) players as it always was under Bluder. “How can so-and-so not get more minutes,” I always ask? But when I lay it out on paper, in a close game, three players are going to use half the minutes (30-35 minutes each) and five players are going to get 15-25 minutes each, using up the rest of the available minutes. Feuerbach this year shows me that for a player to play up to her potential, she needs time on the floor when it counts.

But I could be way wrong.

The challenge with this is always that "the less you play a player, the less effective the player plays." It is very hard to play well and get into any sort of rhythm if you only run up and down the court 4 times before being subbed out.
 
Found an interesting tool on Ken Massey's Ratings/Metrics. Seems we're giving up ~12.5 points to Drake.
col_iowa.jpg
col_drake.gif
Iowa (#4)
Iowa City, IA, USA
Drake (#63)
Des Moines, IA, USA
Actual Score00
Most Likely8472
Median8572
Mean86.0772.77
Win Probability79%21%
Credit goes to Tony Schneider, a fan and contributor, on From the Hawkeye of the Storm for pointing out Massey Ratings in the last post game show. Like watching it because Cory usually has Ka$h Alexander, a coach and/or reporter(s) that can give you some insider tidbits/stories you can't get elsewhere. Kyle Huesmann has been on it lately (see below).


Bart Torvik's Ratings/Metrics is more conservative. Giving up 7 points.
DateLocRankOpponentPts, ScoreChance to Win
Sun 11-17A69 (I)Drake -7.3, 82-75
75%​


Torvik has us rated at #24 team in the country after the last Toledo win while Drake is #69.


Massey has us at #4. He still rates us with the #1 offense. Those two ratings seem off, but the season is early. Maybe his metrics know something hidden we don't? The better bet is these number will most likely come down during B1G play.
Currently our strength of schedule (SoS) is rated at #19. This rating sounds more legit.
Drake is ranked #63 overall in the nation.


Just documenting what both have pregame.


IOWA - TOLEDO LIVE POSTGAME with Cory Brada / Iowa Women's Basketball Postgame - From the Hawkeye of the Storm
 
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