The Pacific Northwest road trip looms large as Jan tries to navigate her first year. If Iowa loses at both Oregon and Washington, Iowa will have to fight just to make it to Weakling Wednesday in the BIG WBB Tournament.
That's pretty much the reality. Fighting just to be in the 15 to make the Big Ten Tourney. Pretty sad.
This season is over, there is zero chance they make the dance now with the schedule they have upcoming and how the team is playing/being coached. Just embarrassing.
Today's Game Computer Model's Summary:
Iowa with a 54% - 68.3% chance to win from 3 percentage model(s).
Iowa to win by 1 - 6 points from 3 spread model(s).
Iowa with a 70% chance to lose from 1 percentage model(s).
Iowa to lose by 5 points from 1 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #30 Iowa vs #36 Oregon from 7 ranking models.
First mixed bag of projected winner/loser. Maybe being partial underdog gets them going? Jan sure pissed away most of her goodwill handed to her. Can she make a comeback or descend deeper into a endless pit? Since the Ducks have good crowds, it's going to be rough on the frosh, probably rough on the leaderless vets as well. Need defense to step up to give them a chance at the end. Plus, we haven't won a close game yet so that makes it even harder. Doesn't look good on our end, but got to hope there's a game to turn it around at the same time. This could be that game.
Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 63% chance of winning by ~5 points (73 - 68)
Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 30% chance of losing by ~5 points (62 - 67).
HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 68.3% chance of winning by 6 points (72.9 - 67.1).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.
Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 54% chance of winning by 1 points (71 - 70).
Team Rankings:
Team Rankings Key:
Iowa with a 54% - 68.3% chance to win from 3 percentage model(s).
Iowa to win by 1 - 6 points from 3 spread model(s).
Iowa with a 70% chance to lose from 1 percentage model(s).
Iowa to lose by 5 points from 1 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #30 Iowa vs #36 Oregon from 7 ranking models.
First mixed bag of projected winner/loser. Maybe being partial underdog gets them going? Jan sure pissed away most of her goodwill handed to her. Can she make a comeback or descend deeper into a endless pit? Since the Ducks have good crowds, it's going to be rough on the frosh, probably rough on the leaderless vets as well. Need defense to step up to give them a chance at the end. Plus, we haven't won a close game yet so that makes it even harder. Doesn't look good on our end, but got to hope there's a game to turn it around at the same time. This could be that game.
Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 63% chance of winning by ~5 points (73 - 68)
| 
| |
| Iowa (#NR) Iowa City, IA, USA | Oregon (#NR) Eugene, OR, USA | |
| Actual Score | 0 | 0 |
| Most Likely | 73 | 68 |
| Median | 73 | 68 |
| Mean | 73.42 | 68.70 |
| Win Probability | 63% | 37% |
Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 30% chance of losing by ~5 points (62 - 67).
| Sun 1-19 | A | 24 (I) | • | Oregon | +4.9, 67-62 | 30% |
WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.
www.barttorvik.com
HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 68.3% chance of winning by 6 points (72.9 - 67.1).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.
Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 54% chance of winning by 1 points (71 - 70).
Team Rankings:
| ELO | HHS | BT | KM | AMSTS | SR | SM | Avg Rank | |
| Iowa | 49 | 15 | 33 | 21 | 37 | 31 | 26 | 30.3 |
| Oregon | 47 | 44 | 24 | 40 | 31 | 30 | 34 | 35.7 |
Team Rankings Key:
| ELO | Warren Nolan's ELO | https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo |
| HHS | Her Hoop Stats | |
| BT | Bart Torvik | https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php |
| KM | Ken Massey | https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings |
| AMSTS | All My Sports Teams Suck | https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ |
| SR | Sports Reference | https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html |
| SM | Sonny Moore | https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm |
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It's great to listen to the voice of two college basketball insiders in AJ Guyton and Ka$h Alexander. I think it's worth listening to the whole show.
Cory asks about the Guyton's decision when Lisa Bluder retired and Jan Jensen took over which runs over into Guyton's comparison to Crystal Smith, the "It" factor and reminding Aaliyah of what she can do.
Great insight into making Lucy a 2 to take the pressure off her. The girl is on overload and Jan can't see it.
AJ also speaks about Jan calling out Guyton as a leader after the Nebraska game. His reply may surprise you.
IOWA - OREGON POSTGAME with Kachine Alexander and AJ Guyton / Iowa Women's Basketball Postgame
Cory asks about the Guyton's decision when Lisa Bluder retired and Jan Jensen took over which runs over into Guyton's comparison to Crystal Smith, the "It" factor and reminding Aaliyah of what she can do.
Great insight into making Lucy a 2 to take the pressure off her. The girl is on overload and Jan can't see it.
AJ also speaks about Jan calling out Guyton as a leader after the Nebraska game. His reply may surprise you.
IOWA - OREGON POSTGAME with Kachine Alexander and AJ Guyton / Iowa Women's Basketball Postgame
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Ha--we posted this at almost the same time! It really is an invaluable perspective on a lot of things we just guess about.
Right on! These people can make us look like big time a$$e$ in a heartbeat. It's why I watch this podcast. It's the only way I can feel a little smarter at the end of the day. As they say, it also provides a little therapy on the side.
Might as well end this thread now as this season is over for the Hawkeye women...
As well as the attendance records for Iowa WBB.
No sellout for the foreseeable future after this season.
Today's Game Computer Model's Summary:
Iowa with a 51% - 71.8% chance to win from 4 percentage model(s).
Iowa to win by 1 - 7 points from 4 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #33 Iowa vs #47 Washington from 7 ranking models.
Pretty much ditto as last game. Jan sure pissed away most of her goodwill handed to her. Can she make a comeback or descend deeper into a endless pit? Need defense to step up to give them a chance at the end. Another game without Hannah spells trouble. Plus, we haven't won a close game yet so that makes it even harder. Team is turning into a pressure cooker. Doesn't look good on our end again, but got to hope there's a game to turn it around at the same time. This could be that game.
Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 68% chance of winning by 6 - 7 point(s) (73 - 66)
Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 51% chance of winning by ~1 point(s) (68 - 67).
HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 71.8% chance of winning by 6.9 point(s) (72 - 65).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.
Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 58% chance of winning by 2 point(s) (70 - 68).
Team Rankings:
Team Rankings Key:
Iowa with a 51% - 71.8% chance to win from 4 percentage model(s).
Iowa to win by 1 - 7 points from 4 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #33 Iowa vs #47 Washington from 7 ranking models.
Pretty much ditto as last game. Jan sure pissed away most of her goodwill handed to her. Can she make a comeback or descend deeper into a endless pit? Need defense to step up to give them a chance at the end. Another game without Hannah spells trouble. Plus, we haven't won a close game yet so that makes it even harder. Team is turning into a pressure cooker. Doesn't look good on our end again, but got to hope there's a game to turn it around at the same time. This could be that game.
Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 68% chance of winning by 6 - 7 point(s) (73 - 66)
|
| 
| |
| Iowa (#NR) Iowa City, IA, USA | Washington (#NR) Seattle, WA, USA | |
| Actual Score | 0 | 0 |
| Most Likely | 73 | 66 |
| Median | 73 | 66 |
| Mean | 73.39 | 66.72 |
| Win Probability | 68% | 32% |
Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 51% chance of winning by ~1 point(s) (68 - 67).
| Wed 1-22 | A | 41 (Ⅱ) | • | Washington | -0.3, 68-67 | 51% |
WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.
www.barttorvik.com
HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 71.8% chance of winning by 6.9 point(s) (72 - 65).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.
Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 58% chance of winning by 2 point(s) (70 - 68).
Team Rankings:
| ELO | HHS | BT | KM | AMSTS | SR | SM | Avg Rank | |
| Iowa | 58 | 18 | 33 | 22 | 39 | 31 | 28 | 32.7 |
| Washington | 63 | 54 | 41 | 46 | 47 | 42 | 38 | 47.3 |
Team Rankings Key:
| ELO | Warren Nolan's ELO | https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo |
| HHS | Her Hoop Stats | |
| BT | Bart Torvik | https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php |
| KM | Ken Massey | https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings |
| AMSTS | All My Sports Teams Suck | https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ |
| SR | Sports Reference | https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html |
| SM | Sonny Moore | https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm |
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This was a very insightful interview.
One thing AJ mentioned was that they weren't in a position to look at other schools because of her injury.
That doesn't mean they couldn't look at other schools after this season. If she were to portal out JJ should do some real soul searching.
68% win probability?!! The models still love Iowa!Today's Game Computer Model's Summary:
Iowa with a 51% - 68% chance to win from 4 percentage model(s).
Iowa to win by 1 - 7 points from 4 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #33 Iowa vs #47 Washington from 7 ranking models.
Pretty much ditto as last game. Jan sure pissed away most of her goodwill handed to her. Can she make a comeback or descend deeper into a endless pit? Need defense to step up to give them a chance at the end. Another game without Hannah spells trouble. Plus, we haven't won a close game yet so that makes it even harder. Team is turning into a pressure cooker. Doesn't look good on our end again, but got to hope there's a game to turn it around at the same time. This could be that game.
Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 68% chance of winning by 6 - 7 point(s) (73 - 66)
Iowa (#NR)
Iowa City, IA, USAWashington (#NR)
Seattle, WA, USAActual Score 0 0 Most Likely 73 66 Median 73 66 Mean 73.39 66.72 Win Probability 68% 32%
Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 51% chance of winning by ~1 point(s) (68 - 67).
Wed 1-22 A 41 (Ⅱ) • Washington -0.3, 68-67 51%
WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.www.barttorvik.com
HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - ?% chance of winning by ? point(s) (? - ?).
Awating @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.
Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 58% chance of winning by 2 point(s) (70 - 68).
Team Rankings:
ELO HHS BT KM AMSTS SR SM Avg Rank Iowa Washington
Team Rankings Key:
ELO Warren Nolan's ELO https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo HHS Her Hoop Stats BT Bart Torvik https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php KM Ken Massey https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings AMSTS All My Sports Teams Suck https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ SR Sports Reference https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html SM Sonny Moore https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm
Yep, if there was one red flag from that interview, that would be the one.
I suspect Jan has already done some soul searching by a shoutout that Guyton is the next leader.
She's probably making a calculated decision on if anyone might leave, who would that be based on her not so outstanding coaching decisions especially at the end of games? Well, Guyton most likely would be that answer.
I think Jan is already planting seeds to hopefully retain her with this leader position. I'm not taking away the possibility that Guyton most likely has the merit to take over as team leader on her own.
At this point, outside of NIL, it might be the only way to retain her with a key spot on the team which I'm on board with.
The way Jan has gone about this season, it just might be the only smart decision she makes this year.
I know AJ sounded like they would remain Hawkeyes. However, he's on a friendly Hawkeyes podcast. Believe he only has one option to state here.
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Currently ESPNBET also has Iowa at -5.5. They betting lines pretty much are in concert with these models.
The only exception I found so far this season was last game where Iowa got +1.5 with Oregon.
Iowa (W) vs. Washington (W) Odds & Betting Predictions - January 22, 2025
Iowa (W) vs Washington (W) Odds & Live Scores - January 22, 2025 | The Action Network
See betting odds, player props, and live scores for the Iowa Hawkeyes vs Washington Huskies NCAAW game on January 22, 2025
www.actionnetwork.com
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Thanks for doing the legwork on these........right or wrong, I do like checking them pre-game.......Currently ESPNBET also has Iowa at -5.5. They betting lines pretty much are in concert with these models.
The only exception I found so far this season was last week where Iowa got +1.5 with Oregon.
Iowa (W) vs. Washington (W) Odds & Betting Predictions - January 22, 2025
Iowa (W) vs Washington (W) Odds & Live Scores - January 22, 2025 | The Action Network
See betting odds, player props, and live scores for the Iowa Hawkeyes vs Washington Huskies NCAAW game on January 22, 2025
But also: Aaliyah Guyton's trajectory has moved along with her injury, and has been nothing but forward. She will have an off-season preparing to up her game and start for Iowa.
At this point in the season she has opportunity to do some things and get better. And as high as everyone might be on her as a player, she still has to improve and get better.
As a portal prospect she would have very little to gain by jumping after year one, but will likely have significant value and leverage after year two. By that time it might be a clearer choice.
**In short, quit it with the hand wringing.
Three game winning shots and a few free throws from being 16-3 right now. That's extremely close to being a completely different vibe with this transitional year team.
Well, if a head coach is looking at that 3pt% + her ball handling to create shots and they tell her how they can utilize her talents in a different way to get her open than Jan has this year + adds in a nice NIL package, we don't know how she will react to that.
We have the same problem with McCabe of getting her open to maximize her 3pt%. If you don't think a head coach or coaches are salivating over explaining the problem Iowa has with getting both Guyton and McCabe open for 3s then I don't know what to tell you.
You see, I can explain that it's not just with Guyton. It's happening with McCabe as well. That's an easier ticket to sell. Yes, Jan has time to rectify that before the season is over. and I hope she does. However, she's running out of time this year.
Yep, I realize how close we are to more wins than losses in our losses, but I also know that great coaches have a vibe that exudes confidence into their team and the team feeds off it. We have lost ~10-15 point leads in the final qtr on some of those loses. I recall you complaining about Jan speaking about her player motivating capabilities recently. This may be a problem Jan has that may come across in a negative manner to the players like it did to you. I don't know how these players are feeling the vibes from her. Something is causing this trend in collapsing late in games in many of these losses. We just don't have enough of Jan on the clock to know what it truly causing it. Is it the coaching? Is it the players? Is it a combo of both?
I still hope Jan can turn it around, but the deeper this goes and continues, the more one can question some of her decisions that seem to bring about a reoccurring result. I wrote a long post like a week ago where at the end of it I still remain positive and believe this team can still pull off a big upset or two. I have another post coming soon stating the same.
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Can't argue with any of that.
Offense needs to play to the strengths of the players, and not getting the shooters open looks is a huge issue. Players missing the open looks they DO get is also a huge issue. I think it's both coaching and players at the moment.
Despite playing poorly themselves, they did play well enough to get leads in these games, so maybe they can figure something out.
When i watched LSU come back from 15 point deficit to Washington and win in the last minute, it wasn't really about anything Mulkey was doing during the game, but the players on that team just refuse to lose and made big buckets in the final minute. Confidence and clutch. That's the players. Iowa just doesn't have those personalities on the team. Maybe Guyton, and why she stands out to the coaches, why she had the last shot vs. Nebraska, was the outside option for the last play vs. Oregon.
Are players going to get poached? Maybe, that's part of the game, but probably moreso if you are a Lucy Olsen lighting it up at Villanova. Or a HVL drowning in bad vibes with LSU. We'll see.
---And I'd guess Guyton's spot next season might be attractive to other established players looking for a new home. It's a greener grass merry-go-round, so everyone has to play.
Again again, total agreement that Jensen needs to get it going with the stagnant offense, so I hope she is looking at the big picture.
And yeah, somebody better be motivating these players because the cake at the end is disappearing fast. Underdog hunter instead of the hunted.
Can't argue with any of that.
Offense needs to play to the strengths of the players, and not getting the shooters open looks is a huge issue. Players missing the open looks they DO get is also a huge issue. I think it's both coaching and players at the moment.
Despite playing poorly themselves, they did play well enough to get leads in these games, so maybe they can figure something out.
When i watched LSU come back from 15 point deficit to Washington and win in the last minute, it wasn't really about anything Mulkey was doing during the game, but the players on that team just refuse to lose and made big buckets in the final minute. Confidence and clutch. That's the players. Iowa just doesn't have those personalities on the team. Maybe Guyton, and why she stands out to the coaches, why she had the last shot vs. Nebraska, was the outside option for the last play vs. Oregon.
Are players going to get poached? Maybe, that's part of the game, but probably moreso if you are a Lucy Olsen lighting it up at Villanova. Or a HVL drowning in bad vibes with LSU. We'll see.
---And I'd guess Guyton's spot next season might be attractive to other established players looking for a new home. It's a greener grass merry-go-round, so everyone has to play.
Again again, total agreement that Jensen needs to get it going with the stagnant offense, so I hope she is looking at the big picture.
And yeah, somebody better be motivating these players because the cake at the end is disappearing fast. Underdog hunter instead of the hunted.
HawksGW,
HerHoopStats - Iowa by 6.9, 72-65 with a 71.8% to win....we need the computers to be correct soon.
HerHoopStats - Iowa by 6.9, 72-65 with a 71.8% to win....we need the computers to be correct soon.
I hope CC speaks to the team when she's back for the jersey ceremony vs USC, and not just the Chamber of Commerce speech.
We may not have a single coach or player in the locker room who can really tell them what they need to hear.
I still think this team has an upset lurking in them.
I also believe he said that that she was really looking forward to next season with the players they have coming back and the new players coming in, I didn’t get any vibe from A.J. that she is unhappy at Iowa.
Today's Game Computer Model's Summary:
Iowa with a 92% - 97% chance to win from 4 percentage model(s).
Iowa to win by 21 - 27 points from 4 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #31 Iowa vs #135 Northwestern from 7 ranking models.
Hannah's back! Hawks by 24 with fast paced Hannah at the 5 offense. Hawks by 4 with lob fest AOG at the 5 offense. NW tallest player and starting player is 6'4" so that suggests AOG down low again? I hope NOT!
Here's the problem with AOG at the 5. She starts out great for the first half quarter and this is what everyone remembers for some odd reason. However, AOG dies out after that and scores less and becomes a defensive liability for the rest of the game (3.5 quarters). Let me see here a .5 quarter should win out over 3.5 quarters of play. SMH Don't even get me started on rebounds. Meaning Heiden > AOG! Ava can probably score just as many points over a course of a game and her defensive is far more advanced that AOG. Heiden has a motor on her, AOG doesn't. Play fast, run, run, run. So why are we playing AOG yet? I have no freakin idea. AOG comes in when Ava is in foul trouble and then play AOG high, NOT low.
Hannah s/b at the starting at the 5 over AOG. She is virtually non-existent at the 4 compared to the 5 where she excels more right now. Pick up the pace and run Hannah in the post. We get more speed, athleticism, points and rebounds over the course of a game.
FINALLY! Now we're going to see if they backup their word again. They did it for the Nebraska game and then went back to post play the next game. @1:00 - 2:25 of the embedded video Randi responds to a question about the 5 position and states they think it's better to play faster. DUH! Should have been that way from the start of the season. That's what these girls signed up for when they came to Iowa. Slow the girls down and they get lost over thinking it besides the issues I brought up above.
Rant over! On to the super expert predictions.
Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 92% chance of winning by 21 - 23 point(s) (84 - 63)
Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 96% chance of winning by ~21 point(s) (81 - 60).
HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 96.6% chance of winning by 26.7 point(s) (88-61).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.
Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 97% chance of winning by 25 point(s) (85 - 60).
Team Rankings:
Team Rankings Key:
Iowa with a 92% - 97% chance to win from 4 percentage model(s).
Iowa to win by 21 - 27 points from 4 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #31 Iowa vs #135 Northwestern from 7 ranking models.
Hannah's back! Hawks by 24 with fast paced Hannah at the 5 offense. Hawks by 4 with lob fest AOG at the 5 offense. NW tallest player and starting player is 6'4" so that suggests AOG down low again? I hope NOT!
Here's the problem with AOG at the 5. She starts out great for the first half quarter and this is what everyone remembers for some odd reason. However, AOG dies out after that and scores less and becomes a defensive liability for the rest of the game (3.5 quarters). Let me see here a .5 quarter should win out over 3.5 quarters of play. SMH Don't even get me started on rebounds. Meaning Heiden > AOG! Ava can probably score just as many points over a course of a game and her defensive is far more advanced that AOG. Heiden has a motor on her, AOG doesn't. Play fast, run, run, run. So why are we playing AOG yet? I have no freakin idea. AOG comes in when Ava is in foul trouble and then play AOG high, NOT low.
Hannah s/b at the starting at the 5 over AOG. She is virtually non-existent at the 4 compared to the 5 where she excels more right now. Pick up the pace and run Hannah in the post. We get more speed, athleticism, points and rebounds over the course of a game.
FINALLY! Now we're going to see if they backup their word again. They did it for the Nebraska game and then went back to post play the next game. @1:00 - 2:25 of the embedded video Randi responds to a question about the 5 position and states they think it's better to play faster. DUH! Should have been that way from the start of the season. That's what these girls signed up for when they came to Iowa. Slow the girls down and they get lost over thinking it besides the issues I brought up above.
Iowa women's basketball: 3 things to watch as Hawkeyes return home against Northwestern
Before the excitement for Sunday can begin, Iowa women's basketball must take care of business Tuesday night. Here's what to watch vs. Northwestern.
www.hawkcentral.com
Rant over! On to the super expert predictions.
Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 92% chance of winning by 21 - 23 point(s) (84 - 63)
|
| |
| Northwestern (#NR) Evanston, IL, USA | Iowa (#NR) Iowa City, IA, USA | |
| Actual Score | 0 | 0 |
| Most Likely | 63 | 84 |
| Median | 62 | 84 |
| Mean | 62.60 | 85.61 |
| Win Probability | 8% | 92% |
Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 96% chance of winning by ~21 point(s) (81 - 60).
| Tue 1-28 | H | 116 (Ⅳ) | • | Northwestern | -21.1, 81-60 | 96% |
WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.
www.barttorvik.com
HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 96.6% chance of winning by 26.7 point(s) (88-61).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.
Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 97% chance of winning by 25 point(s) (85 - 60).
Team Rankings:
| ELO | HHS | BT | KM | AMSTS | SR | SM | Avg Rank | |
| Iowa | 57 | 17 | 29 | 20 | 37 | 29 | 28 | 31.0 |
| NW | 184 | 152 | 116 | 129 | 120 | 108 | 135 | 134.9 |
Team Rankings Key:
| ELO | Warren Nolan's ELO | https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo |
| HHS | Her Hoop Stats | |
| BT | Bart Torvik | https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php |
| KM | Ken Massey | https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings |
| AMSTS | All My Sports Teams Suck | https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ |
| SR | Sports Reference | https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html |
| SM | Sonny Moore | https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm |
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Today's Game Computer Model's Summary:
Iowa with a 52% chance to win from 1 percentage model(s).
Iowa to win by 1 - 2 point(s) from 1 spread model(s).
Iowa with a 66.4% - 87% chance to lose from 3 percentage model(s).
Iowa to lose by 5 - 11 point(s) from 3 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #32 Iowa vs #5 USC from 7 ranking models.
Inspired Hawks win it on CC's special jersey day and we all go home happy!
If a regular game and it wasn't CC's special jersey day, have USC winning by 6 - 7 points.
Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 52% chance of winning by 1 - 2 point(s) (72 - 70)
Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 87% chance of losing by ~11 point(s) (62 - 73).
HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 66.4% chance of losing by 5.6 point(s) (72 - 77).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.
Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 67% chance of losing by 5 point(s) (67 - 72).
Team Rankings:
Team Rankings Key:
Iowa with a 52% chance to win from 1 percentage model(s).
Iowa to win by 1 - 2 point(s) from 1 spread model(s).
Iowa with a 66.4% - 87% chance to lose from 3 percentage model(s).
Iowa to lose by 5 - 11 point(s) from 3 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #32 Iowa vs #5 USC from 7 ranking models.
Inspired Hawks win it on CC's special jersey day and we all go home happy!
If a regular game and it wasn't CC's special jersey day, have USC winning by 6 - 7 points.
Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 52% chance of winning by 1 - 2 point(s) (72 - 70)
|
| |
| USC (#4) Los Angeles, CA, USA | Iowa (#NR) Iowa City, IA, USA | |
| Actual Score | 0 | 0 |
| Most Likely | 70 | 72 |
| Median | 71 | 72 |
| Mean | 71.79 | 72.41 |
| Win Probability | 48% | 52% |
Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 87% chance of losing by ~11 point(s) (62 - 73).
| Sun 2-02 | H | 5 (I) | • | USC | +11.3, 73-62 | 13% |
WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.
www.barttorvik.com
HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 66.4% chance of losing by 5.6 point(s) (72 - 77).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.
Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 67% chance of losing by 5 point(s) (67 - 72).
Team Rankings:
| ELO | HHS | BT | KM | AMSTS | SR | SM | Avg Rank | |
| Iowa | 54 | 20 | 31 | 23 | 37 | 31 | 29 | 32.1 |
| USC | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4.7 |
Team Rankings Key:
| ELO | Warren Nolan's ELO | https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo |
| HHS | Her Hoop Stats | |
| BT | Bart Torvik | https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php |
| KM | Ken Massey | https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings |
| AMSTS | All My Sports Teams Suck | https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ |
| SR | Sports Reference | https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html |
| SM | Sonny Moore | https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm |
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Computers were wrong again! I like this trend, since it means Iowa will beat UCLA 
Today's Game Computer Model's Summary:
Iowa with a 57.8% - 67% chance to win from 3 percentage model(s).
Iowa to win by 2 - 7 point(s) from 3 spread model(s).
Iowa with a 63% chance to lose from 1 percentage model(s).
Iowa to lose by 3 point(s) from 1 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #28 Iowa vs #36 Minnesota from 7 ranking models.
Back to reality without the stat power of David Letterman. Hawks by 2.
Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 67% chance of winning by 6 - 7 point(s) (75 - 68)
Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 63% chance of losing by 3 point(s) (65 - 68).
HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 57.8% chance of winning by 2.4 point(s) (72.4 - 70).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.
Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 67% chance of winning by 5 point(s) (74 - 69).
Team Rankings:
Team Rankings Key:
Iowa with a 57.8% - 67% chance to win from 3 percentage model(s).
Iowa to win by 2 - 7 point(s) from 3 spread model(s).
Iowa with a 63% chance to lose from 1 percentage model(s).
Iowa to lose by 3 point(s) from 1 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #28 Iowa vs #36 Minnesota from 7 ranking models.
Back to reality without the stat power of David Letterman. Hawks by 2.
Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 67% chance of winning by 6 - 7 point(s) (75 - 68)
|
| 
| |
| Iowa Iowa City, IA, USA | Minnesota Minneapolis, MN, USA | |
| Actual Score | 0 | 0 |
| Most Likely | 75 | 68 |
| Median | 75 | 69 |
| Mean | 75.29 | 68.95 |
| Win Probability | 67% | 33% |
Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 63% chance of losing by 3 point(s) (65 - 68).
| Thu 2-06 | A | 27 (I) | • | Minnesota | +3.1, 68-65 | 37% |
WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank
T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.
www.barttorvik.com
HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 57.8% chance of winning by 2.4 point(s) (72.4 - 70).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.
Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 67% chance of winning by 5 point(s) (74 - 69).
Team Rankings:
| ELO | HHS | BT | KM | AMSTS | SR | SM | Avg Rank | |
| Iowa | 39 | 19 | 28 | 22 | 34 | 29 | 25 | 28.0 |
| Minnesota | 51 | 37 | 27 | 43 | 35 | 30 | 31 | 36.3 |
Team Rankings Key:
| ELO | Warren Nolan's ELO | https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo |
| HHS | Her Hoop Stats | |
| BT | Bart Torvik | https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php |
| KM | Ken Massey | https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings |
| AMSTS | All My Sports Teams Suck | https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/ |
| SR | Sports Reference | https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html |
| SM | Sonny Moore | https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm |
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