Iowa WBB 2024-2025 Season Thread

[bunsen82]

So where are the Hawkeyes at now? Just 4 games ago we had lost 5 close games in row all to solid teams. Several close games, free throws, turnovers and lack of execution and add in little coach mismanagement.

After a 4 game winning streak we are tweaking a few things. The ball handling is much better. If it ever starts to get rough we can always bring Guyton in. 2. During the losing streak, we changed the line up, which likely cause a bit of a transition. We went back to our 4 guard and 1 post formula that we have used the last couple of years. It has opened up the lane a little more for Lucy and has put 1 more shooter on the court in McCabe. Between McCabe, Feuerbach, Syd and Lucy, we are having a little more consistency on 3 point shooting. Free throw shooting prior to last game was slightly improving, but this is still an area of needed improvement.

This team does not have the dynamic force that was Caitlin, but this can still be a very good team. They are finding their identity. We have 2 very good post players in Hannah and O'Grady - and effectively can play match up games down low. Right now our 4 guards just need to continue to gain confidence. I've been really impressed in the last 2 games. Instead of crumbling at the end, we have taken the game in the final minutes. That is huge in confidence for the team and coach. Go Hawks.

We have 6 games remaining in the season. 2 should be easy (Wisconsin, Rutgers), 2 against similar teams (Nebraska and Michigan), and 2 tough opponents (UCLA, Ohio State). After these last 2 wins, a 3 and 3 record should get us to the tournament, but the way this team is playing I think the goal should be 4-2. If you can go 5-1 great, but right now that would be a lot to ask. Lets hope they end the season strong.

 

[Hawky4361]

This season is over, there is zero chance they make the dance now with the schedule they have upcoming and how the team is playing/being coached. Just embarrassing.

Exactly 2 weeks ago....nuff said..

 

[BraydonRoberts5]

So where are the Hawkeyes at now? Just 4 games ago we had lost 5 close games in row all to solid teams. Several close games, free throws, turnovers and lack of execution and add in little coach mismanagement.

After a 4 game winning streak we are tweaking a few things. The ball handling is much better. If it ever starts to get rough we can always bring Guyton in. 2. During the losing streak, we changed the line up, which likely cause a bit of a transition. We went back to our 4 guard and 1 post formula that we have used the last couple of years. It has opened up the lane a little more for Lucy and has put 1 more shooter on the court in McCabe. Between McCabe, Feuerbach, Syd and Lucy, we are having a little more consistency on 3 point shooting. Free throw shooting prior to last game was slightly improving, but this is still an area of needed improvement.

This team does not have the dynamic force that was Caitlin, but this can still be a very good team. They are finding their identity. We have 2 very good post players in Hannah and O'Grady - and effectively can play match up games down low. Right now our 4 guards just need to continue to gain confidence. I've been really impressed in the last 2 games. Instead of crumbling at the end, we have taken the game in the final minutes. That is huge in confidence for the team and coach. Go Hawks.

We have 6 games remaining in the season. 2 should be easy (Wisconsin, Rutgers), 2 against similar teams (Nebraska and Michigan), and 2 tough opponents (UCLA, Ohio State). After these last 2 wins, a 3 and 3 record should get us to the tournament, but the way this team is playing I think the goal should be 4-2. If you can go 5-1 great, but right now that would be a lot to ask. Lets hope they end the season strong.

Frankly just beating Wisconsin and Rutgers (and not losing to a bad team in the BTT) might be enough to get in.

Iowa's NET ranking and SOS are really good compared to most bubble teams. Iowa also has two big advantages in the event that resumes are close: 1) road/neutral victories over three other bubble teams (Minnesota, Washington, and Virginia Tech), and 2) the USC win as a jewel on the resume.

 

[HawksGoneWild1]

Frankly just beating Wisconsin and Rutgers (and not losing to a bad team in the BTT) might be enough to get in.

Iowa's NET ranking and SOS are really good compared to most bubble teams. Iowa also has two big advantages in the event that resumes are close: 1) road/neutral victories over three other bubble teams (Minnesota, Washington, and Virginia Tech), and 2) the USC win as a jewel on the resume.

Agree, that's most likely true as a last resort to get in the big dance. Also like to consider the BTT picture as well.

Control what you can to get a higher seed and don't take a chance on just making it in. I don't think it's out of realm of possibilities to win the rest of the games. When we play UCLA (H) or even OSU (A), there may be an extra incentive to win it so we avoid the playin round of the BTT and make the top 9 in the conference. Right now we sit at #11. Looked at the schedules of the 4 teams just about us and believe we have a realistic shot at avoiding that extra BBT round.

Might add a third to that list of big dance advantages.
3) Teams that have a well traveled following are going to win out over those that have few following them. Anticipated ticket sells is also a number that comes into play during tournament time as well. Fair or not, it's a business. Plus, having an audience makes the product look better to grow the game.

 

[wondergrape]

I think the goal at this point is not to get in, but to get off that 8/9 line and maybe even sneak up to a 6.

 

[BraydonRoberts5]

Agree, that's most likely true as a last resort to get in the big dance. Also like to consider the BTT picture as well.

Control what you can to get a higher seed and don't take a chance on just making it in. I don't think it's out of realm of possibilities to win the rest of the games. When we play UCLA (H) or even OSU (A), there may be an extra incentive to win it so we avoid the playin round of the BTT and make the top 9 in the conference. Right now we sit at #11. Looked at the schedules of the 4 teams just about us and believe we have a realistic shot at avoiding that extra BBT round.

Might add a third to that list of big dance advantages.
3) Teams that have a well traveled following are going to win out over those that have few following them. Anticipated ticket sells is also a number that comes into play during tournament time as well. Fair or not, it's a business. Plus, having an audience makes the product look better to grow the game.

I almost added #3 in, but it's a little more wishy-washy than the first two. I definitely think that wherever Iowa goes, the host isn't going to be happy that Iowa is there. Both from a "this team can pull big upsets" and a "we lose some of our home court advantage" perspective.

 

[bunsen82]

I almost added #3 in, but it's a little more wishy-washy than the first two. I definitely think that wherever Iowa goes, the host isn't going to be happy that Iowa is there. Both from a "this team can pull big upsets" and a "we lose some of our home court advantage" perspective.

Real possibility there is no home court advantage, almost an away game.

 

[HawksGoneWild1]

Today's Game Computer Model's Summary:
Iowa with a 57% - 61% chance to win from 4 percentage model(s).
Iowa to win by 2 - 5 point(s) from 4 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #25 Iowa vs #41 Nebraska from 7 ranking models.

Hawks are back to just inside the Top 25 on the composite computer models.
Hawks by 3-4 points.

Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 61% chance of winning by 4 - 5 point(s) (75 - 70)

	Iowa (#NR) Iowa City, IA, USA	Nebraska (#NR) Lincoln, NE, USA
Actual Score	0	0
Most Likely	75	70
Median	74	70
Mean	74.86	70.63
Win Probability	61%	39%

Massey Ratings Matchup Tool

Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 57% chance of winning by 2 point(s) (70 - 68).

Mon 2-10

A

40 (I)

•

Nebraska

-1.8, 70-68

57%

WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank

T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.

www.barttorvik.com

HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 58.1% chance of winning by ~3 point(s) (73.9 - 71.3).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.


Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 61% chance of winning by 3 point(s) (73 - 70).

https://www.warrennolan.com/basketb...y, January 19&type2=All Games&date=2025-02-10

Team Rankings:

	ELO	HHS	BT	KM	AMSTS	SR	SM	Avg Rank
Iowa	31​	18​	24​	20​	31​	29​	25​	25.4​
Nebraska	57​	38​	40​	39​	37​	36​	40​	41.1​

Team Rankings Key:

ELO	Warren Nolan's ELO	https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo
HHS	Her Hoop Stats	https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2025/2/10/d1/
BT	Bart Torvik	https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php
KM	Ken Massey	https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings
AMSTS	All My Sports Teams Suck	https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/
SR	Sports Reference	https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html
SM	Sonny Moore	https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm

 

[UptownHawk]

HawksGoneWild,

HerHoops - Iowa with a 58.1% chance to win. 73.9-71.3 (2.6), HHS has Iowa rated 18 and Neb 38.

Go Hawks

 

[littlez]

5 games left, I'd say 2 pretty sure wins, Rutgers and Wiscy, 2 toss up games which I'm guessing we will be underdogs on the road and of course 23-0 UCLA who is curb stomping everyone. While the USC game was an incredible win UCLA is another beast. Will certainly need another wild and raucus crowd and hope to stay in the game early. Ohio St if 100% healthy is pretty darn good and MIchigan is solid. I'd love to get 3 of the 5 and end up 10-8. Which 2 weeks ago I didn't think was possible.

 

[Scott559]

Fun little nugget that was shared on another board, If it was posted on here and I missed it apologies. Caitlin practiced with the team prior to USC game, ( I had actually heard that) She played the role of JuJu on the scout team vs starters. I hadn’t heard about that.

 

[UpstreamHawkeye]

Fun little nugget that was shared on another board, If it was posted on here and I missed it apologies. Caitlin practiced with the team prior to USC game, ( I had actually heard that) She played the role of JuJu on the scout team vs starters. I hadn’t heard about that.

Was this a NCAA violation?

 

[Scott559]

Was this a NCAA violation?

This question was asked on the other board, No answer.

Edit: quick google search says it’s not a violation.


It reads: “A former student at the certifying institution (e.g., former student-athlete) may participate in an organized practice session on an occasional basis, provided the institution does not publicize the participation of the former student at any time before the practice session.”

 

[littlez]

If Lucy can keep up this level of play, then we have a shot at a sweet 16. This is not the same player from even 2 weeks ago. I mean she had a few games where Jan had to take her out at the end of games. She’s playing through contact now way better, finishing around the rim and not hesitating on pulling the trigger whenever. I think that gives the rest of the players more confidence. We don’t look like a team of just scrappy role players all of a sudden.

 

[HawksGoneWild1]

Today's Game Computer Model's Summary:
Iowa with a 91% - 97% chance to win from 4 percentage model(s).
Iowa to win by 19 - 26 point(s) from 4 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #25 Iowa vs #113 Rutgers from 7 ranking models.

Hawks by 20 points.

Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 91% chance of winning by 19 - 20 point(s) (81 - 62)

	Rutgers (#NR) New Brunswick, NJ, USA	Iowa (#NR) Iowa City, IA, USA
Actual Score	0	0
Most Likely	62	81
Median	62	82
Mean	62.67	83.47
Win Probability	9%	91%

Massey Ratings Matchup Tool

Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 96% chance of winning by 22 point(s) (82 - 60).

Thu 2-13

H

106 (Ⅳ)

•

Rutgers

-21.7, 82-60

96%

WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank

T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.

www.barttorvik.com

HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 94.3% chance of winning by ~23 point(s) (86.3 - 63.8).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.


Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 97% chance of winning by 26 point(s) (85 - 59).

https://www.warrennolan.com/basketb...y, January 19&type2=All Games&date=2025-02-13

Team Rankings:

	ELO	HHS	BT	KM	AMSTS	SR	SM	Avg Rank
Iowa	29​	17​	24​	18​	30​	29​	26​	24.7​
Rutgers	165​	119​	106​	108​	104​	89​	102​	113.3​

Team Rankings Key:

ELO	Warren Nolan's ELO	https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo
HHS	Her Hoop Stats	https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2025/2/13/d1/
BT	Bart Torvik	https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php
KM	Ken Massey	https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings
AMSTS	All My Sports Teams Suck	https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/
SR	Sports Reference	https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html
SM	Sonny Moore	https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm

 

[UptownHawk]

HawksGone Wild,

HerHoops: Iowa #17 in their ranking and Rutgers #119

Iowa 94.3% to win

86.3-63.8 (22.5)

 

[HawksGoneWild1]

Today's Game Computer Model's Summary:
Iowa with a 56% - 72% chance to lose from 4 percentage model(s).
Iowa losing by 2 - 6 point(s) from 4 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #24 Iowa vs #14 OSU from 7 ranking models.

If I went by the ranking models, OSU wins by 2.
Highest Iowa Computer Ranking: #17
Lowest OSU Computer Ranking: #19
However, this is the ranking model that wins out and based on the trendline Iowa wins it.

Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 56% chance of losing by 2 - 3 point(s) (74 - 71)

	Iowa (#NR) Iowa City, IA, USA	Ohio St (#9) Columbus, OH, USA
Actual Score	0	0
Most Likely	71	74
Median	72	74
Mean	72.42	74.43
Win Probability	44%	56%

Massey Ratings Matchup Tool

Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 72% chance of losing by ~6 point(s) (71 - 65).

​

Mon 2-17

A

15 (I)

•

Ohio St.

+5.6, 71-65

28%

WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank

T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.

www.barttorvik.com

HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 63.1% chance of losing by ~4 point(s) (76.4 - 72.1).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.


Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 64% chance of losing by 4 point(s) (75 - 71).

https://www.warrennolan.com/basketb...y, January 19&type2=All Games&date=2025-02-17

Team Rankings:

	ELO	HHS	BT	KM	AMSTS	SR	SM	Avg Rank
Iowa	25​	19​	22​	17​	29​	29​	25​	23.7​
OSU	11​	14​	16​	11​	11​	16​	19​	14.0​

Team Rankings Key:

ELO	Warren Nolan's ELO	https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo
HHS	Her Hoop Stats	https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2025/2/17/d1/
BT	Bart Torvik	https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php
KM	Ken Massey	https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings
AMSTS	All My Sports Teams Suck	https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/
SR	Sports Reference	https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html
SM	Sonny Moore	https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm

 

[UptownHawk]

HGW1,
HerHoop Stats - Iowa 36.9% to win. 76.4-72.1 (-4.3). Iowa 19 and OSU 14 in their rankings.

 

[HawksGoneWild1]

Today's Game Computer Model's Summary:
Iowa with a 52% - 81% chance to lose from 4 percentage model(s).
Iowa losing by 1 - 8 point(s) from 4 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #26 Iowa vs #4 UCLA from 7 ranking models.

WOW that's a hellva % difference between Massey and Torvik this late in the season.

If I went by my own spread from the models, UCLA wins by 5.
However, Jan inspires the Hawks to win and sells it to future Hawks.
2 Top 5 wins & an OT game to #8 away after CC leaves us is a pretty good sales pitch that we haven't gone away.
If fact, we're coming back stronger (Kelly Clarkson style)!
Plus, I'll throw in Bob Seger's 'Like a Rock' to boot!

Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 52% chance of losing by 1 - 2 point(s) (68 - 70)

	UCLA (#3) Los Angeles, CA, USA	Iowa (#NR) Iowa City, IA, USA
Actual Score	0	0
Most Likely	70	68
Median	70	69
Mean	70.54	69.71
Win Probability	52%	48%

Massey Ratings Matchup Tool

Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 81% chance of losing by ~8 point(s) (62 - 70).

Sun 2-23

H

5 (I)

•

UCLA

+8.4, 70-62

19%

WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank

T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.

www.barttorvik.com

HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 69.6% chance of losing by ~6 point(s) (68.5 - 74.9).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.


Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 67% chance of losing by 5 point(s) (68 - 73).

https://www.warrennolan.com/basketb...y, January 19&type2=All Games&date=2025-02-23

Team Rankings:

	ELO	HHS	BT	KM	AMSTS	SR	SM	Avg Rank
Iowa	31​	22​	24​	18​	31​	29​	28​	26.1​
UCLA	2​	4​	5​	4​	2​	6​	6​	4.1​

Team Rankings Key:

ELO	Warren Nolan's ELO	https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo
HHS	Her Hoop Stats	https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2025/2/23/d1/
BT	Bart Torvik	https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php
KM	Ken Massey	https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings
AMSTS	All My Sports Teams Suck	https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/
SR	Sports Reference	https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html
SM	Sonny Moore	https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm

 

[UptownHawk]

HawksGoneWild
Iowa 30.4% to win. 74.9-68.5 (6.4) Iowa 22 and UCLA 4 in HHS rankings.

 

[Matt1nb7]

Wasn’t sure where to put this.. but after an 0-2 week, Iowa received 2 points in the latest AP top 25.

 

[HawksGoneWild1]

Today's Game Computer Model's Summary:
Iowa with a 53% chance to win from 1 percentage model(s).
Iowa winning by 1 - 2 point(s) from 1 spread model(s).
Iowa with a 51.1% - 63% chance to lose from 3 percentage model(s).
Iowa losing by 1 - 4 point(s) from 3 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #27 Iowa vs #26 Michigan from 7 ranking models.

Only Massey has them winning it.
It's basically a toss up. Michigan has home court advantage and should win it.
However, Hawks play the same away or home and Torvik's trendline has enough for me to say Iowa wins it!

Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 53% chance of winning by 1 - 2 point(s) (73 - 71)

	Iowa (#NR) Iowa City, IA, USA	Michigan (#NR) Ann Arbor, MI, USA
Actual Score	0	0
Most Likely	73	71
Median	73	72
Mean	73.73	72.43
Win Probability	53%	47%

Massey Ratings Matchup Tool

Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 63% chance of losing by ~4 point(s) (68 - 72).

Wed 2-26

A

21 (I)

•

Michigan

+3.3, 72-68

37%

WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank

T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.

www.barttorvik.com

HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 51.1% chance of losing by ~1 point(s) (73.6 - 73.9).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.


Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 54% chance of losing by 1 point(s) (71 - 72).

https://www.warrennolan.com/basketb...y, January 19&type2=All Games&date=2025-02-26

Team Rankings:

	ELO	HHS	BT	KM	AMSTS	SR	SM	Avg Rank
Iowa	34​	22​	23​	21​	31​	29​	27​	26.7​
Michigan	30​	28​	21​	29​	25​	24​	23​	25.7​

Team Rankings Key:

ELO	Warren Nolan's ELO	https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo
HHS	Her Hoop Stats	https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2025/2/26/d1/
BT	Bart Torvik	https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php
KM	Ken Massey	https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings
AMSTS	All My Sports Teams Suck	https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/
SR	Sports Reference	https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html
SM	Sonny Moore	https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm

 

[UptownHawk]

HawksGW,

HerHoops....Iowa 48.9% to win 73.9-73.6 (.3) Iowa #22/Michigan#28

 

[hawkod]

Iowa up to #26 in the Net after last night's win.

 

[UptownHawk]

Hawks Gone Wild,

I won't be able to post tomorrow but here is the HHS info for the Wisconsin game.

Iowa 95% to win by 22.7 (83.7-61) Iowa #20 in the HHS rankings, Wisc 134.

Go Hawks.

 

[HawksGoneWild1]

Today's Game Computer Model's Summary:
Iowa with a 92% - 96% chance to win from 4 percentage model(s).
Iowa winning by 19 - 23 point(s) from 4 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #24 Iowa vs #103 Wisconsin from 7 ranking models.

Hawks by 18 on Senior Day.
We have to win out including becoming BBT Champs for these seniors to have a chance to play again at CHA for March Madness.

Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 92% chance of winning by 19 - 21 point(s) (79 - 60)

	Wisconsin (#NR) Madison, WI, USA	Iowa (#NR) Iowa City, IA, USA
Actual Score	0	0
Most Likely	60	79
Median	60	80
Mean	60.15	80.81
Win Probability	8%	92%

Massey Ratings Matchup Tool

Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 96% chance of winning by 21 point(s) (79 - 58).

Sun 3-02

H

100 (Ⅳ)

•

Wisconsin

-21.0, 79-58

96%

WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank

T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.

www.barttorvik.com

HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 95% chance of winning by ~23 point(s) (83.7 - 61).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.


Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 95% chance of winning by 22 point(s) (83 - 61).

https://www.warrennolan.com/basketb...y, January 19&type2=All Games&date=2025-03-02

Team Rankings:

	ELO	HHS	BT	KM	AMSTS	SR	SM	Avg Rank
Iowa	29​	21​	21​	20​	27​	27​	23​	24.0​
Wisconsin	113​	135​	100​	96​	91​	88​	98​	103.0​

Team Rankings Key:

ELO	Warren Nolan's ELO	https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo
HHS	Her Hoop Stats	https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2025/3/2/d1/
BT	Bart Torvik	https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php
KM	Ken Massey	https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings
AMSTS	All My Sports Teams Suck	https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/
SR	Sports Reference	https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html
SM	Sonny Moore	https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm

 

[AMAYS]

All Big Ten teams traditionally announced tomorrow, the Tuesday after regular season ends. Lucy O seems like a decent bet for the 10-player All BIG team, but far from a sure thing. Lucy is 9th in BIG conference play scoring, and 5th in BIG assists. Efficiency is solid, but not great. Bad year at FT line. This assumes the BIG sticks with a 10-player team. Pac-12 had a 15-player team last year.

The BIG has traditionally picked a 5-player all-defensive team. Hard to see Feuerbach making that team, but if the BIG went to a 10-player all D team, then she may have a chance.

Will be interesting to see if JuJu is unanimous BIG POY, or does Betts get some votes. Clark was only unanimous BIG POY her senior year.

 

[mphawk]

All Big Ten teams traditionally announced tomorrow, the Tuesday after regular season ends. Lucy O seems like a decent bet for the 10-player All BIG team, but far from a sure thing. Lucy is 9th in BIG conference play scoring, and 5th in BIG assists. Efficiency is solid, but not great. Bad year at FT line. This assumes the BIG sticks with a 10-player team. Pac-12 had a 15-player team last year.

The BIG has traditionally picked a 5-player all-defensive team. Hard to see Feuerbach making that team, but if the BIG went to a 10-player all D team, then she may have a chance.

Will be interesting to see if JuJu is unanimous BIG POY, or does Betts get some votes. Clark was only unanimous BIG POY her senior year.

If it is still 10-player first and second teams, here are my predictions:
First -- Watkins (POY), Betts, Williams, Smykle, Iriafen, Sellers, McMahon, Olsen, Markowski and Rice
Second -- Adams, Cambridge, Bryant, Bostic, Affolter, Moore-McNeil, Ayrault, Ladine, Marshall and Swords.

 

[undersized_post]

All Big Ten teams traditionally announced tomorrow, the Tuesday after regular season ends. Lucy O seems like a decent bet for the 10-player All BIG team, but far from a sure thing. Lucy is 9th in BIG conference play scoring, and 5th in BIG assists. Efficiency is solid, but not great. Bad year at FT line. This assumes the BIG sticks with a 10-player team. Pac-12 had a 15-player team last year.

The BIG has traditionally picked a 5-player all-defensive team. Hard to see Feuerbach making that team, but if the BIG went to a 10-player all D team, then she may have a chance.

Will be interesting to see if JuJu is unanimous BIG POY, or does Betts get some votes. Clark was only unanimous BIG POY her senior year.

My Big Ten women’s basketball awards ballot

Who I picked for end of season awards, and the thoughts behind them.

www.landgrantholyland.com

^The actual ballot of an OhSU beat reporter. There are some interesting tidbits in there about how the voting works that was new to me.

 

[AMAYS]

My Big Ten women’s basketball awards ballot

Who I picked for end of season awards, and the thoughts behind them.

www.landgrantholyland.com

^The actual ballot of an OhSU beat reporter. There are some interesting tidbits in there about how the voting works that was new to me.

Interesting article on ranking 20 players for 1st and 2nd-team All BIG.

Lucy was unanimous 1st team by the coaches (a top 10 ranked player by all 18 coaches), but (barring undisclosed ties) looks like she finished 5th in terms of highest rank vote totals by the coaches with the top player getting 20 points, 2nd player 19 etc. Lucy finished 6th in terms of highest rank vote totals by the media (barring undisclosed ties).

Looks like Hannah finished 20th in terms of highest rank vote totals by the media, making her 2nd team All BIG. She was Honorable Mention by the coaches.

With Syd's slow first half, she didn't receive a single top 20 vote by the coaches, so she is not Honorable Mention by the coaches. She is Honorable Mention by the media

 

[HawksGoneWild1]

Today's Game Computer Model's Summary:
Iowa with a 88% - 94% chance to win from 4 percentage model(s).
Iowa winning by 16 - 18 point(s) from 4 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #24 Iowa vs #104 Wisconsin from 7 ranking models.

Hawks again by 18. A repeat from a few days ago. This time in 1st Round of BTT.

Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 88% chance of winning by 16 - 18 point(s) (79 - 63)

	Wisconsin (#NR) Madison, WI, USA	Iowa (#NR) Iowa City, IA, USA
Actual Score	0	0
Most Likely	63	79
Median	62	79
Mean	62.21	79.87
Win Probability	12%	88%

Massey Ratings Matchup Tool

Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 94% chance of winning by ~16 point(s) (78 - 62).

Wed 3-05

N

99 (Ⅲ)

Wisconsin

-16.1, 78-62

94%

WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank

T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.

www.barttorvik.com

HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 91.7% chance of winning by ~18 point(s) (81.4 - 62.9).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.


Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 92% chance of winning by 18 point(s) (81 - 63).

https://www.warrennolan.com/basketb...y, January 19&type2=All Games&date=2025-03-05

Team Rankings:

	ELO	HHS	BT	KM	AMSTS	SR	SM	Avg Rank
Iowa	26​	21​	21​	19​	28​	27​	23​	23.6​
Wisconsin	117​	136​	99​	97​	91​	88​	97​	103.6​

Team Rankings Key:

ELO	Warren Nolan's ELO	https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo
HHS	Her Hoop Stats	https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2025/3/5/d1/
BT	Bart Torvik	https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php
KM	Ken Massey	https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings
AMSTS	All My Sports Teams Suck	https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/
SR	Sports Reference	https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html
SM	Sonny Moore	https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm

 

[UptownHawk]

HawksGoneWild1,

HHS - 91.7% to win, 81.4-62.9

Go Hawks

 

[HawksGoneWild1]

Today's Game Computer Model's Summary:
Iowa with a 54% - 67% chance to win from 4 percentage model(s).
Iowa winning by 1 - 5 point(s) from 4 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #23 Iowa vs #23 Michigan State from 7 ranking models.

It's a pickem game by avg season rank. Both teams play well on neutral courts. Iowa (5-1), MI St (3-1)
Based on Torvik's last 10 game trendline, Hawks win by 3.5 in 2nd Round of BTT.

Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 57% chance of winning by 2 - 3 point(s) (75 - 72)

	Iowa (#NR) Iowa City, IA, USA	Michigan St (#24) East Lansing, MI, USA
Actual Score	0	0
Most Likely	75	72
Median	75	73
Mean	75.54	73.12
Win Probability	57%	43%

Massey Ratings Matchup Tool

Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 54% chance of winning by ~1 point(s) (73 - 72).

Thu 3-06

N

23 (I)

Michigan St.

-0.9, 73-72

54%

WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank

T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.

www.barttorvik.com

HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 55.3% chance of winning by ~2 point(s) (77.6 - 75.8).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.


Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 67% chance of winning by 5 point(s) (76 - 71).

https://www.warrennolan.com/basketb...y, January 19&type2=All Games&date=2025-03-06

Team Rankings:

	ELO	HHS	BT	KM	AMSTS	SR	SM	Avg Rank
Iowa	25​	21​	21​	19​	27​	27​	23​	23.3​
Michigan State	36​	25​	23​	26​	21​	16​	16​	23.3​

Team Rankings Key:

ELO	Warren Nolan's ELO	https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo
HHS	Her Hoop Stats	https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2025/3/6/d1/
BT	Bart Torvik	https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php
KM	Ken Massey	https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings
AMSTS	All My Sports Teams Suck	https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/
SR	Sports Reference	https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html
SM	Sonny Moore	https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm

 

[UptownHawk]

HGW,

HHS - Iowa 55.3% to win, 77.6 to 75.8
Iowa 21 in their rankings and MSU 25

 

[HawksGoneWild1]

Today's Game Computer Model's Summary:
Iowa with a 58% chance to win from 1 percentage model(s).
Iowa winning by 2 point(s) from 1 spread model(s).
Iowa with a 52.3% - 58% chance to lose from 3 percentage model(s).
Iowa losing by 1 - 3 point(s) from 3 spread model(s).
Avg Team Rank is #22 Iowa vs #14 Ohio State from 7 ranking models.

Season numbers say OSU wins by 2.
Based on Torvik's last 10 game trendline, #9 Hawks win by 2 vs #17 OSU in 3rd Round of BTT.
Both teams play well on neutral courts. Iowa (6-1), OSU (3-0)

Massey Predicts:
Iowa - 56% chance of losing by 2 - 3 point(s) (71 - 74)

	Iowa (#NR) Iowa City, IA, USA	Ohio St (#13) Columbus, OH, USA
Actual Score	0	0
Most Likely	71	74
Median	72	74
Mean	72.75	74.99
Win Probability	44%	56%

Torvik Predicts:
Iowa - 58% chance of losing by ~2 point(s) (69 - 71).

Fri 3-07

N

11 (I)

Ohio St.

+1.9, 71-69

42%

WBB T-Page for Iowa - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank

T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.

www.barttorvik.com

HerHoopStats Predicts:
Iowa - 52.3% chance of losing by ~1 point(s) (74.9 - 75.7).
Credit goes to @UptownHawk for providing HerHoopStats line.


Warren Nolan Predicts:
Iowa - 58% chance of winning by 2 point(s) (74 - 72).

https://www.warrennolan.com/basketb...y, January 19&type2=All Games&date=2025-03-07

Team Rankings:

	ELO	HHS	BT	KM	AMSTS	SR	SM	Avg Rank
Iowa	18​	21​	20​	19​	27​	25​	23​	21.9​
Ohio State	16​	16​	11​	12​	12​	15​	18​	14.3​

Team Rankings Key:

ELO	Warren Nolan's ELO	https://www.warrennolan.com/basketballw/2025/elo
HHS	Her Hoop Stats	https://herhoopstats.com/stats/ncaa/schedule_date/2025/3/7/d1/
BT	Bart Torvik	https://www.barttorvik.com/ncaaw/trank.php
KM	Ken Massey	https://masseyratings.com/cbw/ratings
AMSTS	All My Sports Teams Suck	https://www.allmysportsteamssuck.com/ncaa-womens-college-basketball-live-computer-rankings/
SR	Sports Reference	https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/seasons/women/2025-ratings.html
SM	Sonny Moore	https://sonnymoorepowerratings.com/w-basket.htm

 

[UptownHawk]

HGW,
HerHoops- OSU 52.3% to win by .8. (75.7-74.9) Iowa 21 and OSU 16 in their rankings.

 

[Row55]

Wisconsin coach Marisa Moseley has resigned.

https://www.espn.com/womens-college...oseley-stepping-fourth-straight-losing-season