1. For comparison, when the Ds controlled the House in the 116th (with Rs in control of the Senate and WH) and in the 117th (D control of Senate and WH) we negotiated and passed full appropriations bills. So it’s not a divided gov’t issue. It’s just House GOP incompetence.
2. To be clear, they have brought partial appropriations bills to the floor. Some of passed the House. All were DOA in the Senate because they were so loaded with culture war nonsense and just plain meanness. Those bills came about in part because of deep animosity within the House GOP caucus.
3. But it was also because - when McCarthy was failing to win his speakership - he made a bunch of concessions to his wing-nut faction to give the wing nuts seats on the rules committee that controls what and how bills get to the floor.
4. By putting a nihilistic minority in charge of the floor, he made it hard, if not impossible for bills supported by the majority of the House to get to the floor. When the House GOP finally voted for McCarthy, they also approved those concessions. E.g., they made this bed, eyes wide open.
5. For better or for worse, you can bypass the rules committee by bringing bills to the floor under “suspension” of the rules, but those bills can only pass with super majorities. McCarthy & Johnson have had to rely on that to keep gov’t open because of their choice to elevate their nihilist wing.
6. But since the nihilists oppose functioning government, that means that the supermajority vote requirement has had to be cobbled together with a minority of the Rs and virtually all of the Ds. E.g., majority dem support on the floor.
7. And so, for the last two years, the Rs have controlled what comes to the floor, but Ds have controlled what leaves the floor. Hakeem and Dem leadership deserve a lot of credit for the way they’ve played that hand. But House Rs dealt the cards.
8. At a macro level, this means that for the entirety of the McCarthy/Johnson era, funding levels have been maintained at levels set by the House Dems under Pelosi leadership. The world has changed in 2 years, so that shouldn’t be seen as partisan - it’s just incompetence on their part. BUT…
9. Every time they pass a CR, the R wingnut faction complains that they are being forced to fund dem priorities. Well, yeah. Because you misplayed a strong hand. But then they throw temper tantrums. Sometimes they even evict their speaker out of pique. Which is how we got to yesterday.
10. Johnson has never been a strong speaker. Neither respected nor feared, he’s got no real power but it’s not clear there are any Rs who could manage this ungovernable caucus. His greatest strength - like McCarthy’s - may simply be that he’s dumb enough to think he can do the job.
11. And so now, with gov’t running out of $ Friday, and him wanting to get his caucus to support him for Speaker in the next Congress a few weeks later, he’s again got to choose between acting as the speaker of the full house & keeping the gov’t or pandering to the wing nuts by shutting it down.
12. To his credit, he tried to go through door 1, continuing what we’ve done for the last 2 years. But then Musk & Trump (who are both cut from fine wing nut cloth) weighed in, making his future speakership incompatible with governance.
13. He had a choice at that point to show strength and bring a bill to the floor that would have passed. Instead, he folded like a Montgomery chair. He managed to simultaneously show fealty to Trump and demonstrate an utter fear of leadership. Right out of the Kevin McCarthy playbook.
14. I don’t know how today will play out. But I do know that there is no one in the House GOP who (a) wants government to work, consistent with the will of the majority and (b) has the leadership skills to make sure it does, even when that’s opposed by their own caucus.
15. Earlier this term, I referred to the House GOP as a collection of cowards, led by morons. That’s not only still true, but getting truer. The party of Lincoln - and more broadly, the American people - deserve so much better. /fin
Small postscript: the deal negotiated with Biden and McCarthy over the debt ceiling did allow the passage of funding bills that weren't CRs. But the constraints on that effectively set priorities at D levels, daring the GOP to legislate. They didnt.