None of the bigs are proven 3-point shooters.
+/- Lineup Predictions
- Thread starter ObeseMuffins
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None of the bigs are proven 3-point shooters.
Legend raises an interesting statistical question: how well does an inside big boy need to shoot 3s to force the other side's big boy out of the paint & hence in poorer rebounding position?
Obviously a guy like TC, who was 3/21 in his Iowa career should basically never shoot a 3 and I'm sure the defense was either not yet across mid court or the shot clock as at .1 during all 21 of those attempts.
In a statistical coincidence, Jack and Ryan both hit exactly 1/3 of their three attempts in their respective last season of play. Ryan was 9/27 last year and Jack was 19/57 his freshman year. Luka was .291 last season. That would be horribly disappointing for a non center/inside oriented 4 man but is it enough for the other advantages of an outside shooting big boy to outweigh the .333 shooting percentage? Luka definitely needs to improve-I think he will because he's got a nice shooting form. But is .333 sufficient for the other two guys?
Thoughts?
Obviously a guy like TC, who was 3/21 in his Iowa career should basically never shoot a 3 and I'm sure the defense was either not yet across mid court or the shot clock as at .1 during all 21 of those attempts.
In a statistical coincidence, Jack and Ryan both hit exactly 1/3 of their three attempts in their respective last season of play. Ryan was 9/27 last year and Jack was 19/57 his freshman year. Luka was .291 last season. That would be horribly disappointing for a non center/inside oriented 4 man but is it enough for the other advantages of an outside shooting big boy to outweigh the .333 shooting percentage? Luka definitely needs to improve-I think he will because he's got a nice shooting form. But is .333 sufficient for the other two guys?
Thoughts?
Luka was injured much of last year. I would think that a healthy Luka would shoot closer to his freshman stats, if not better.
I think our big men, like many other marginal three point shooters in college, will take fewer 3 pointers next year. Moving the line out just a little is going to lower shooting percentages for these "ok" shooters. Fran will eventually pull the green light that he claims some players have.
I don't agree with moving the line. Where it was made it pretty tempting and players who shouldn't take that 3 were out there throwing bricks. That spreads out the court. Move it out and common basketball sense kicks in; its a low percentage shot so fewer players will be allowed to pull the trigger. What will happen is the opposite of "spreading out the court" like they hoped this new rule would do.
I don't agree with moving the line. Where it was made it pretty tempting and players who shouldn't take that 3 were out there throwing bricks. That spreads out the court. Move it out and common basketball sense kicks in; its a low percentage shot so fewer players will be allowed to pull the trigger. What will happen is the opposite of "spreading out the court" like they hoped this new rule would do.
The spreading out the court will be the result of perimeter defenders having more court to cover, so they will have a harder time doubling down. This should help Luka, Kriener and Pemsl a little posting up. I expect Nunge to shoot some 3s, but if the other 3 bigs for Iowa shoot about the same number as last year, they will only take about 3 per game.
Don't you think the NCAA tinkers with rules just for the sake of tinkering itself?
That three point line might lower the percentage a smallish amount but overall will have no affect on how the game is played. Big guys might become a little more reluctant but the defense isn't going to change much.
That three point line might lower the percentage a smallish amount but overall will have no affect on how the game is played. Big guys might become a little more reluctant but the defense isn't going to change much.
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