Odds Of A New Years Six Bowl At 9-3, Top 12?
- Thread starter IowaHawkeyeFBnBB4Life
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Cotton Bowl like Wisky& the Row your boaters last year? Iowa vs UCF...send Frost his first beat down before he takes more at Bugeater U
If, and everything is possible until it isn't, Iowa finishes 9-3 it would mean a four game winning streak with two against Top 10 opposition. The three loses were all within one score, two of which will probably be ranked opponents at the end of the season as well. Iowa would be no lower than 12 under that scenario.
Unfortunately I think the odds are basically 0. With no B1G team in the playoff we would have to leapfrog UW, OSU, PSU, MSU and UM. Probably only 1 makes the NY6.
In the scenario portrayed, it is almost certain that of osu, psu, msu, and um, 3 will fall below us. Their last loss would occur well after ours and we would have a couple big wins. Not that it's going to happen or that we get a ny6 even then.
All 3 teams are currently ranked and PSU/NW have a good chance of winning out. MSU will probably still be ranked as long as they go 2-1.
What IF Iowa wins out, Wisconsin loses out (Iowa, Michigan and Minnesota) andNW loses two (I can dream) IOWA goes to B1G championship game. Iowa can still play on NYD
The losses to northwestern and MSU ate looking bad..... not that they are bad, but they were very winnable.
If Iowa wins out including the bowl I think we finish in the top 10. Not sure about the bowl.
All I care about at this time.
For a fan, expectations are things that simply, inevitably, get crushed.
One game at a time...
Threads like this always bring out the “One game at a time “ and “Let’s focus on this weekend “ crowd, as if the entire fan base needs to be prepared for an upcoming game.
I’ve always found that to be rather funny. How dare us fans discuss possible scenarios for the season.
I’ve always found that to be rather funny. How dare us fans discuss possible scenarios for the season.
As fans we need to keep our focus on this game. All the road warriors must be ready to bring their A game to the Camp Randall Stands. We will be out numbered at least 10 to 1, but our spirit must carry the day against our seemingly insurmountable foe. Saturday we Fight for Iowa, be ready to bring it Hawkeye fans. Go Hawks!
Ya, money kicks in. The teams from all those states have bigger fan bases due to demographics. More industrialized and more money in the states as well. 0% chance, a 1 loss Wisconsin Trumps is every time.
The league makes decisions about which bowls teams go to, so they will look to maximize total ratings and dollars for all B1G bowl games combined. You could just as easily see Northwestern jump us since they also could finish 9-3 with a head to head victory.
My first thought was 3 losses was too much to crack the Top Ten. Then I looked at last year's final BCS ranking. FIVE of the top ten had 3 losses. For 2015 there was one and at the end of the 2014 season two teams made it with 3 losses. In 2013 and 2012 nobody with more than 2 made it.
It's doable.
It's doable.
I do not think Northwestern puts fans in front of the TV, or in the stands like Iowa does.
I’m not predicting they jump us, but the B1G could conceivably think “we are going to get ratings in the Cotton Bowl no matter what, let’s put jNW there and Iowa in Foster Farms to maximize our viewership.”
Not really predicting that, but that is how the selection process goes now as opposed to the Bowls scrambling to get the best traveling fan bases.
LOL. I am sick of people on this board saying the "fans" should focus only on the next game. The players should focus on the next game. The coaches should focus on the next game. But we are FANS. We don't play. Looking ahead is fun. Not only can fans look ahead, we should look ahead. That's whats great about being fan. Stop with this stupid crap of fans should only focus on the next game like we can impact the outcome by only focusing on the next game.
Agree.
It's a message board. Full of speculation. About all sorts of things big, small, and some not really connected to the sport.
Fans, followers, anyone with a passing interest can speculate all they want about what if scenarios and I highly doubt it will have a significant impact on the outcome of this weekend's game.
Until it is not possible, this is what I believe will happen. When dreaming, always go for the best!
Although there's only about a 1% chance ( of Wisc. losing out), I believe NW only needs to lose once. In a three way tie between IA, Wisc. and NW Iowa wins the 2nd or 3rd tie-breaker (division record).
Not in 2015! The people that were talking about 12-0 before the season kicked off had a boring fall waiting on the B1G title game.
The bowls are wising up about who travels. A 9-3 Iowa fanbase will travel in hordes to a NY6 game. 9-3 OSU/PSU/UM fans could very well be disappointed and not travel. The Cotton Bowl looks like crap when you've spent the whole season dreaming of the playoffs.
to me the Cotton Bowl looks real good as it will allow the players from Texas to play in front of their families and could get Iowa back in on some more that Texas talent.
Jackson is from TX, Hankins his backup is another from TX. not expecting a mass group of commits but it is still nice to get 2-3 recruits out of TX. just like getting 2-3 out of Florida it just helps Iowa get better.
this is where playing in certain bowl games helps. Cotton Bowl is in Dallas and Iowa recruits Dallas, playing a bowl game in California doesn't help in recruiting as Iowa does little to no recruiting in California. the Music City Bowl makes sense as Iowa with Coach Bell is recruiting down there in SEC country.
location location should be in consideration, the bowl game in a region gives the team the most exposure,
Jackson is from TX, Hankins his backup is another from TX. not expecting a mass group of commits but it is still nice to get 2-3 recruits out of TX. just like getting 2-3 out of Florida it just helps Iowa get better.
this is where playing in certain bowl games helps. Cotton Bowl is in Dallas and Iowa recruits Dallas, playing a bowl game in California doesn't help in recruiting as Iowa does little to no recruiting in California. the Music City Bowl makes sense as Iowa with Coach Bell is recruiting down there in SEC country.
location location should be in consideration, the bowl game in a region gives the team the most exposure,
The big thing they want to avoid is The same teams going to the same bowls year after year. The conference is involved making the matchups the best they can be for the entire conference. Since they all split revenue it makes sense.
It used to be the bowls made direct invitations to the teams and it doesn’t work like that any longer.
Ok. I think we win the B1G championship next year.
As soon as you show me a link to where the B1G gets to choose which of their teams plays in the Cotton Bowl, or any NY6 bowl for that matter, I'll take you seriously.
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I have no interest in an argument with you. All I’m saying is that the B1G is involved with bowl assignments in a way that mitigates our advantage of a big loyal traveling fan base, compared to someone like Northwestern.
Maybe the B1G champ is guaranteed a NY6 or some other rule, but since the Rose is part of the playoff this year and no B1G team will be in the playoff (likely), it will be an odd bowl lineup.
Interesting point about the bowl assignments. Not sure that the "Iowa travels well" conventional wisdom necessarily holds up anymore. But, if it's still true does it mean anything? Does the cabal making the bowl determinations really care about that?
Then say just that, and don't make up some outrageous NY6 Bowl scenario.
If you're talking only about B1G contract bowls, you are correct, the new format since 2014 has the B1G at least heavily involved in placing teams, and is expected to give these bowls a chance to field at least 5 different teams over 6 years.
It does matter. Most bowls don't sell out. They are primarily revenue campaigns for travel and entertainment. Thirty thousand Iowans seeking to avoid the cold fills a lot of hotel rooms and buys tons of booze, food and souvenirs.
If We lose to Wisconsin, it's probably because the fans were looking ahead!
