*** Official New Degen Thread 🏦🏦🏦***

[Greenway4Prez]

I have been leaning too heavily on FEI this season, and I feel really dumb because its flaws are NOT new. It’s skewed by last year, and in my opinion, gives too much leeway based on opponent. Prime example is Iowa: #3 in opponent adjusted defensive efficiency, and they went UP after playing OSU. Unadjusted for opponent, they’re at #35. I know the eyeball test isn’t completely objective, but we absolutely do not have a top 5 defense.

The ESPN app used to have matchup stats very nicely in side-by-side columns, but they got rid of that for some reason.

That being said, I generally find that the more numbers I look at, the worse I do.

 

[HawkMachine]

Well I took everything out of my accounts and left $100 in it.

I was doing really well minus a couple of bets.

I decided to stay in the game but on a smaller scale.

 

[Greenway4Prez]

Tom Fornelli of CBS Sports is on La Tech, so @FAUlty Gator should feel incredible about his MTSU pick!

 

[wausauhawk]

Tom Fornelli of CBS Sports is on La Tech, so @FAUlty Gator should feel incredible about his MTSU pick!

I just want to say wagering on a Thursday game between two 1 win mid-major teams is truly a degenerate bet. I'm now on MTSU you beautiful bastards.


*also took the Tigers to close out Cleveland today solely based on vibes.

 

[Greenway4Prez]

I just want to say wagering on a Thursday game between two 1 win mid-major teams is truly a degenerate bet. I'm now on MTSU you beautiful bastards.


*also took the Tigers to close out Cleveland today solely based on vibes.

I decided to roll with the under 48.5

I’m with you on the Tigers, you magnificent sunuvabich.

 

[An Iowa fan]

I am a sissy. I bet the 49ers -175 ML on Tuesday. I have bets on them to win their division so I just want them to win.

 

[Greenway4Prez]

Teaser time!

Sea +9.5
O 41.5

 

[wausauhawk]

I can't decide if the Tigers pizza spear home run celebration is funny or the dumbest thing I've ever seen lol

 

[HawkMachine]

I placed 4 bets tonight.

1 college
3 NFL

not going to list them because I don’t want anyone to follow along and potentially lose. I’ve posted a couple “great” bets where the numbers made absolute sense that fell through. Maddening.

 

[An Iowa fan]

49ers need to do a better job in the red zone.

 

[Greenway4Prez]

I decided to roll with the under 48.5

I’m with you on the Tigers, you magnificent sunuvabich.

LOL, I just gotta stop with O/U’s

 

[An Iowa fan]

what was the Seahawk defender doing when Deebo Samuel caught that pass?

 

[wausauhawk]

LOL, I just gotta stop with O/U’s

There's a lot of give up in these defenses

 

[FAUlty Gator]

Just caught Deebo first TD +800! Took him, Charbonnet and Jennings. So it really only netted 4-1.

 

[Greenway4Prez]

I hope everyone has been fading me lately. I am on a SLUMP. Yikes.

 

[FAUlty Gator]

0-2 last night. Certainly due for that. Sorry if you trailed

 

[Greenway4Prez]

If anyone is looking for something to fade, I’m on UNLV TTO 44.5.

 

[HawkMachine]

Last night I put together a 3 leg parlay that I thought each leg should be "easily" attained.

Jordan Mason 60+
Tyler Lockett 25+
George Kittle 25+

Kittle and Mason made those in the first half. Lockett made me sweat and then made me some money with a 30 plus yard reception.

I might do a little more of this going forward. Seemed to work well. Obviously always risk but each leg was very attainable. Separate bets very little payout, but if you put them together it ends up being pretty nice.

Lost some money betting on Geno Smith running yards. SOB didn't scramble at all. Lost a really nice parlay with him last week as well.

My biggest tip ever, never bet on Geno Smith. The guy just looks dumb as chit.

 

[fredjr82]

Hit on a 10 to 1 parlay last night. Didn't bet much but felt good to win one finally.

Deboo 0.5 rushing yards
Purdy 0.5 rushing yards
Deboo 5 receiving yards
DK 5 receiving yards

All for 1st quarter. They had it done with 6 mins left! Hoping for some positive momentum!

 

[HawkMachine]

Purdy 0.5 rushing yards

Just be thankful it wasn't Geno 0.5 rushing yards.

Cuz the SOB didn't even hit that.

MoFo doesn't even have a winning record as a starter in the NFL.

NEVER BET ON HIM. Unless it's the under.

 

[TennNole17]

Northwestern +.2.5 1Q ✅
Over 45.5 NWestern/MD


Arizona St ML +190

 

[Greenway4Prez]

If anyone is looking for something to fade, I’m on UNLV TTO 44.5.

And the

LOSING

STREAK

IS

OVER!!!

 

[HawkMachine]

Placed one bet on tonight’s games.

Another parlay where I thought the legs should hit fairly easy.

Billy Edwards Jr 225+ passing
Hajj-Malik Williams 2+ passing tds
-101

I really wanted to place more bets tonight but I didn’t want to bet just to bet.

 

[HawkMachine]

I’ve got one college bet for tomorrow. Nope I lied, I’ve got two.

One is my new “fairly easily attainable parlay”, this time a 4 legger.

The other is an anytime TD.

I guess I’ll list them, I wasn’t going to:

Travis Hunter 70+ receiving
Ja’Corey Brooks 60+ receiving
Haynes King 200+ passing
Cade Klubnik 225+ passing
+169

Pat Bryant anytime TD
+130

 

[Greenway4Prez]

Now that my losing streak is over, I will confidently post my plays for today. Many of these were bet early in the week and lines have moved on some quite a bit.

Mizzou 1H -16.5 ✅
Illinois -19.5 ❌
ULL -10 🅿️
Army -24 ✅
UCLA +5 ✅
USC TT U23.5 ❌
Okla TT U16.5 ✅

 

[MR BEEBS]

Pumped for football today! Great slate! I will post my official straight plays in a bit, but here are my longshots -

DK stepped up -
Haynes King 200+
Jacolby Criswell 200+
Cade Klubnik 225+
Mizzou -27.5
Bama -13.5
Nicholas Singleton 50+
Luke Altmeyer 175+
Quinn Ewers 225+
Noah Fifita 200+
Carson Beck 250+
Nico Iamaleava 175+
OSU -3
+7483

FD boost builder (help from @FAUlty Gator )
Ball State TT over 26.5
Bama -13.5
Ga Tech/UNC over 49.5
Clemson -9.5
Pitt TT over 23.5
NIU/BG under 58.5
W Mich ML
AFA/UNM over 45.5
Ole Miss/LSU over 51.5
Kentucky 1H ML
UCLA TT under 23.5
K State ML
+5707

 

[An Iowa fan]

Wow. You guys really study today’s games in depth.
I have not found one bet I like. For now I will be just a spectator.
When Iowa was -3.5 I was tempted to bet Washington but I couldn’t bring myself to bet against the Hawks.
I’ll be watching a granddaughter’s soccer game when the Hawks are playing anyway.

 

[wausauhawk]

Wow. You guys really study today’s games in depth.
I have not found one bet I like. For now I will be just a spectator.
When Iowa was -3.5 I was tempted to bet Washington but I couldn’t bring myself to bet against the Hawks.
I’ll be watching a granddaughter’s soccer game when the Hawks are playing anyway.

Also won't be able to watch today, but Iowa-Wash feels like a KF special. Everyone is down on Iowa, Wash coming off a big W...KF pulls a rabbit out of his hat & Iowa wins fairly comfortably. He's done this for years - pile up Ws when there's really nothing of signifigance to play for.

 

[wausauhawk]

Iowa -2.5(-130)
Pitt -3.5
USC +3.5
Fresno +3.5
Louisiana -10.5(tailing @Greenway4Prez )

Really want to take West Virginia catching 3.5, but my dislike of the Clones are possibly coloring that analysis

Also, Boise -21 @ Hawaii seems easy? Is it too easy, thoughts?

 

[HawkMachine]

Ok I went a little parlay crazy.

Too long to post, but I’ve got:

4 leg +169
5 leg +145
4 leg +199 50% boost
4 leg +131
9 leg +1,041 70% boost

Every single leg is along the conservative side as most of these players are going up against bad defenses.

 

[Greenway4Prez]

Iowa -2.5(-130)
Pitt -3.5
USC +3.5
Fresno +3.5
Louisiana -10.5(tailing @Greenway4Prez )

Really want to take West Virginia catching 3.5, but my dislike of the Clones are possibly coloring that analysis

Also, Boise -21 @ Hawaii seems easy? Is it too easy, thoughts?

Depending on how the day goes, WVU +3.5 is definitely on my radar. There are so many home underdogs today that are tempting.

Hawaii has a good run defense (probably not enough to shut down Jeanty by any stretch), but I just can’t bet on the away team covering in Hawaii, no matter who it is. It’s such a weird place.

 

[HawkMachine]

Also, Boise -21 @ Hawaii seems easy? Is it too easy, thoughts?

Boise State is terrible against the pass and Hawaii is a pass heavy team.

4 hour time difference.

Boise State will definitely score a bunch of points in the beginning. The RB will run wild as he has every week. Will he play much in the 2nd half though? Doubt it. The only thing that would concern me is garbage points which they have given up this year.

Lastly, Timmy Chang is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 home games.

NOT trying to sway your vote. You asked for thoughts and those pop out to me as why it MIGHT not be “too easy”.

 

[FAUlty Gator]

Pumped for football today! Great slate! I will post my official straight plays in a bit, but here are my longshots -

DK stepped up -
Haynes King 200+
Jacolby Criswell 200+
Cade Klubnik 225+
Mizzou -27.5
Bama -13.5
Nicholas Singleton 50+
Luke Altmeyer 175+
Quinn Ewers 225+
Noah Fifita 200+
Carson Beck 250+
Nico Iamaleava 175+
OSU -3
+7483

FD boost builder (help from @FAUlty Gator )
Ball State TT over 26.5
Bama -13.5
Ga Tech/UNC over 49.5
Clemson -9.5
Pitt TT over 23.5
NIU/BG under 58.5
W Mich ML
AFA/UNM over 45.5
Ole Miss/LSU over 51.5
Kentucky 1H ML
UCLA TT under 23.5
K State ML
+5707

3-0 start so far today
Army -27 and TTO 40.5
Just got lucky as hell with Ball St. TTO 30.5

 

[Greenway4Prez]

If Penn State doesn’t get their shit together, I might have to buy out of my OSU bet.

The whole time zone thing has me skittish.

 

[funksouljon]

So Bama wins by 2 over USC, are they the great pretender this season? Be interested to see how they open against UT next week. Im thinking UT by 3.5 at least...

 

[wausauhawk]

If Penn State doesn’t get their shit together, I might have to buy out of my OSU bet.

The whole time zone thing has me skittish.

My biggest bet today is Pitt -3.5 over Cal, in part due to the travel. Deflating loss last week, going across the country against a decent Pitt team. Of course a low scoring affair in the 4th qtr isn't how I saw it playing out. 😬

 

[wausauhawk]

My biggest bet today is Pitt -3.5 over Cal, in part due to the travel. Deflating loss last week, going across the country against a decent Pitt team. Of course a low scoring affair in the 4th qtr isn't how I saw it playing out. 😬

Stupid Panthers!!

 

[Greenway4Prez]

So Bama wins by 2 over USC, are they the great pretender this season? Be interested to see how they open against UT next week. Im thinking UT by 3.5 at least...

I think Bama and Jawja are both incredibly overrated.

 

[funksouljon]

I think Bama and Jawja are both incredibly overrated.

#7 UT getting all they can handle against fu into the 4th... Maybe it's just a very balanced conference

 

[Jimmy McGill]

Sitting on needles hoping to win 3 bets that are open that could bring in 1,300. F' ISU, F OSU, and F Ole Miss