This is based on expecting Williams is gone (leaving us seemingly low on guard depth), but I think the goal is just make the NCAA tournament. Until I see exactly how the rest of the B1G shakes out, I'm not willing to expect Sweet 16 level success with mostly Freshmen and Sophomores.
I will say, a lot of making the Sweet 16 is based on earning either a 1-4 seed or getting placed in the 6/11 game. You see very few 7-10 seeds in the Sweet 16, as they hit the 1-2 seeds in the second round (yes, South Carolina, Michigan, and Wisconsin all say "hi").
I don't see us earning a 1-4 seed, so if we end up in the 7-10 range, I don't like our odds of making it past the first weekend.