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New Story PREVIEW: Iowa vs Ohio State MBB

RossWB

HB Heisman
Staff
Feb 1, 2006
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WHO: Ohio State Buckeyes (10-8, 2-5 Big Ten)
WHEN: 1:00 PM CT
WHERE: Value City Arena (Columbus, OH)
TV: FOX (Gus Johnson and Jim Jackson)
RADIO: Hawkeye Radio Network (Gary Dolphin and Bobby Hansen) | Sirius/XM 391
MOBILE: www.foxsports.com/mobile
ONLINE: www.foxsports.com/live
FOLLOW: @IowaAwesome | @IowaHoops | @IowaonBTN
LINE: Ohio State -3.5
KENPOM: Ohio State -5 (66% chance of winning)

PROJECTED STARTING FIVE​

Iowa
G Tony Perkins (10.9 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 2.9 apg, 1.2 spg, 0.5 bpg, 40.9 FG%, 28.9 3FG%)
G Ahron Ulis (5.5 ppg, 1.9 rpg, 2.6 apg, 0.5 spg, 0.2 bpg, 35.4 FG%, 29.3 3FG%)
F Connor McCaffery (7.8 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 2.9 apg, 1.4 spg, 0.0 bpg, 45.9 FG%, 38.3 3FG%)
F Kris Murray (21.2 ppg, 9.0 rpg, 1.6 apg, 0.7 spg, 1.3 bpg, 51.6 FG%, 37.0 3FG%)
F Filip Rebraca (13.8 ppg, 8.7 rpg, 2.1 apg, 0.7 spg, 1.4 bpg, 57.1 FG%, 40.0 3FG%)

Ohio State
G Bruce Thornton (9.2 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 3.0 apg, 0.8 spg, 0.1 bpg, 43.1 FG%, 43.1 3FG%)
G Sean McNeil (9.9 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 1.2 apg, 0.4 spg, 0.2 bpg, 42.2 FG%, 39.1 3FG%)
F Justice Sueing (13.1 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 2.2 apg, 0.7 spg, 0.3 bpg, 44.2 FG%, 25.5 3FG%)
F Brice Sensabaugh (17.0 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 1.1 apg, 0.6 spg, 0.5 bpg, 49.5 FG%, 45.8 3FG%)
C Zed Key (12.1 ppg, 8.0 rpg, 0.8 apg, 0.5 spg, 1.2 bpg, 59.8% FG, 30.0 3FG%)

PREVIEW​

Iowa and Ohio State enter this game with their seasons going in very different directions. The Hawkeyes have rebounded from a three-game losing streak in December to win four straight games. Meanwhile, the Buckeyes haven't won a game since New Year's Day, dropping their last five games in a row. And yet OSU enters this game as a 3.5-point favorite over Iowa. Is that just a function of home court? Probably not -- advanced metrics like KenPom still like the Buckeyes quite a bit, even as they're mired in a five-game losing streak.

OSU ranks 21st in the KenPom rankings, 10 spots ahead of Iowa at #31. While the Buckeyes have dropped five straight games, four of those losses have been by a combined 12 points... and the fifth defeat was by seven points. Ohio State hasn't become a bad team -- the Buckeyes have just been improbably bad in close games over the last three weeks -- in fact, they rank 362nd in the nation in the luck rating, per KenPom. Only one team (Stanford) has had worse luck this year. It's reasonable to expect that OSU's fortunes will turn around at some point, and the bounces will start to go their way a bit more frequently.

MORE HERE: https://iowa.rivals.com/news/preview-iowa-vs-ohio-state
 
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