ADVERTISEMENT

Spring is here Boyz

Big question on this one is how far north the moisture gets. That said, it won't take much for Iowa. Really dynamic shear situation, won't take much to produce a tube. Probably on the weaker side. The system is going to slam through really fast.

 
  • Like
Reactions: Moral
Great. Right from snow to f*cking tornadoes.
welcome-to-iowa-vintage-rusty-metal-sign-state-vector-32871527.jpg
 
Upper level jet on this thing looks to be roaring. That's what you can get with these early season storms. 500mb to 700mb are usually steering level for these storms, and given the strength of the shear, it looks like they could be rocketing NE at 50+ MPH.

The main jet streak, further south, is 100+ knots. (probably in the 120mph to 150mph range)
 
  • Like
Reactions: TailgateTom
Upper level jet on this thing looks to be roaring. That's what you can get with these early season storms. 500mb to 700mb are usually steering level for these storms, and given the strength of the shear, it looks like they could be rocketing NE at 50+ MPH.

The main jet streak, further south, is 100+ knots. (probably in the 120mph to 150mph range)
giphy.gif
 
Yup, Iowa is in his plans.
Yeah, my play would probably be right on the low pressure as it moves through Iowa. Looked at the shear profiles on this and while strong it's all a bit linear, could force off a big line quick. (not as ideal for chasing or tornadoes) High wind is a threat, for sure.

However, the dynamics right on the low are such that you usually will get a few tornadoes there even if everything else lines out.
 
Yeah, my play would probably be right on the low pressure as it moves through Iowa. Looked at the shear profiles on this and while strong it's all a bit linear, could force off a big line quick. (not as ideal for chasing or tornadoes) High wind is a threat, for sure.

However, the dynamics right on the low are such that you usually will get a few tornadoes there even if everything else lines out.
Thanks Shnack! 😉
 
  • Like
Reactions: Colonoscopy
Have they mentioned the time of day this is supposed to go down? I hate tornadoes in the middle of the night. At least if it is during the day you can keep your eye on things…

Hard to say. Call it beginning around 3ish but as mentioned, the path is everything here. Where the triple point sets up will determine where the big stuff hits as well as when. But the low is forecast to track over Iowa, so that kinda puts the target east/south of that track.

It'll pop some discreet super cells, then go linear as it tracks east.

And fyi this is the appetizer. Another one of these is potentially setting up for Tuesday.
 
Hard to say. Call it beginning around 3ish but as mentioned, the path is everything here. Where the triple point sets up will determine where the big stuff hits as well as when. But the low is forecast to track over Iowa, so that kinda puts the target east/south of that track.

It'll pop some discreet super cells, then go linear as it tracks east.

And fyi this is the appetizer. Another one of these is potentially setting up for Tuesday.
I’d rather have the sweet chili habanero wings but thanks.
 
And fyi this is the appetizer. Another one of these is potentially setting up for Tuesday.
Reed had tweeted earlier this week that the tornado/severe storm outlook for the coming weeks is something he hasn't seen in over 10 years. It'll be interesting.
 
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT