IU is unbeaten at Assembly Hall this year beating Ohio State ,Northwestern and Illinois by a combined 90 points. Obviously turnovers for IU are key. Which center gets in foul trouble first--your eye poker or our freshman? Assembly Hall will be very loud. Key for Iowa--stop the 3's ; for IU-can Johnson stop Jok. Who gets most 2nd chance points? I doubt Iowa's team is as arrogant as its basketball board. Iowa is better team but if IU makes 10 or less turnovers they will win in Bloomington.
IU may have blown out KenPom #74 Ohio State, KenPom #93 Northwestern, and KenPom #132 Illinois at home, but that is a lot different than playing KenPom #2 Iowa at home.
In contrast, Iowa has beaten KenPom #4 Michigan State and KenPom #17 Purdue by a combined 24 points on the road, and now will be facing KenPom #24 Indiana on the road.
That doesn't guarantee Iowa a victory, but Iowa's road wins against higher rated opponents than Indiana, I believe, is more relevant that Indiana's home blow out wins against scrubs.