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The stats and the Gophers

Iowa's opponents have been penalized the least yardage in the entire league.

Only NW has allowed more sacks of their QB than Iowa, and they beat Iowa. Hard times ahead.

Ohio State's punter has only punted 11 times this year, and with a 50 yard average. Wow.
 
What I see is a really good running team playing at home in Minnesota who will be content to just run it down Iowa's throat. Eat up the clock. Hit Iowa for big passes every once in awhile in play action, tire out Iowa's defense like every other team has because of the failure to sub regularly on the dline and win the game easily.
 
What I see is a really good running team playing at home in Minnesota who will be content to just run it down Iowa's throat. Eat up the clock. Hit Iowa for big passes every once in awhile in play action, tire out Iowa's defense like every other team has because of the failure to sub regularly on the dline and win the game easily.

I wish I could find some data supporting an opposition to the above prediction...unfortunately, I can't.
 
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I see a small stadium 3/4 full of very Happy Gopher fans around 2:30 on Saturday.
The Rodents will amass over 250 yards rushing and over 400 yards of total offense on their way to a 38-17 beat down of the hapless Hawkeyes.
 
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What the stats don't show, but will happen on Saturday, is an energized Minn team looking to demolish their opponent and run it down their throats until they wave the white flag....against a lifeless Iowa team that looks like they have no energy or emotion, but will do their best to say all the right things in the postgame presser.

. I often wonder why this staff sucks the life and energy out the team while their opponent is fired up and is looking for a knockout punch on every play and tackle. Turn these kids loose and let them play.
 
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When you post up all these stats pointing to a MN victory then put it up against the point spread . . . something doesn't add up.
 
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Minnesota has a ton of injuries but I'm not sure that's why.. here's why I think Iowa gets killed..

1. 51-14
2. They damn near beat Iowa last year without 8 starters on the road when they were depleted and Iowa was 9-0.
 
It's a new season and a new year. Last years game doesn't matter and neither does 2 years ago. Iowa has every chance to win Saturday in Minneapolis.
 
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Based on the stats I see, this will be a close game.
Iowa needs some gifts to win.

If Iowa pulls their head out could be high scoring, need some receivers to step up and the o line to grow some ....

This is what I see too.
 
Based on most opinions they might as well not play another game all year. Guess it's all over....
 
Iowa will score points but will be outscored due to Minny's run game and ball control. Iowa will go up tempo at various times in order to score but the defense will be on the field way to long and their running game will get stronger with each quarter. Dez returns a kick to the house (not based off any stats), just on my love of Dez. Iowa doesn't get a sack this week - gives up 4.
 
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minny aren't world beaters, not by any stretch.
But, they have a better run game than Iowa has faced to this point. And we've all seen how the run D has performed the last 3 weeks.
 
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Here is a link below to the Big10 stats. Tell what conclusions you draw from them going into Minnesota this Saturday?

http://www.bigten.org/library/stats/fb-confldrs.html


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Iowa wins a very weird game on Saturday. It will be ugly and low scoring but I think iowa get some points from the defense and special teams. Minny is not great at all but they will be most physical, with the best QB, and also playing for a trophy, that Iowa has played thus far. Iowa finds a way.
 
The stat I seen last night was Jewell leads the nation in run tackes and miss one game.Not sure that's a stat you want to lead the nation in
 
Here is a link below to the Big10 stats. Tell what conclusions you draw from them going into Minnesota this Saturday?

http://www.bigten.org/library/stats/fb-confldrs.html

Iowa alum, long time Minnesota resident, and fan of both teams here. I watch both teams regularly but watch the Gophers a bit more closely these days. Here's what I think.

Minnesota has a better and more balanced offense than usual this year. However, they have a much worse defense, particularly passing defense (worst in the league I believe). Injuries and suspensions have taken a big toll on their defensive backs. Some of those suspended players have just been reinstated but they haven't played in a month. Beathard has gotten sacked a fair amount this year but Minnesota doesn't have a great pass rush and a good scrambling quarterback can give them fits. Their defense stops the run fairly well but gives up a lot of big plays, particularly on the pass. They also rack up a lot of penalties.

The line is two points with Iowa favored. I doubt this is going to be a blowout either way. I think Minnesota's offense is better than Iowa's right now but their defense is worse overall. Neither team has much in the way of a deep threat receiver so I don't expect a lot of big yardage passing plays. Minnesota can pass but they'd rather run if they can. If Iowa can keep the rushing yardage down, I suspect that it will be a fairly close game somewhere in the twenties. I think Minnesota has a slight edge at home but I would hesitate to call the winner of this game either way.
 
If the game is close that means Minnesota isn't very good and therefore they won't be winning the west.
 
Based on most opinions they might as well not play another game all year. Guess it's all over....
A little bit of jiggering and this statement hits home. " Based on most opinions they might as well not show up for another game all year. It is over!
 
We can't stop the run and we haven't even played a good running team yet. That is about to change.

We can't protect CJB and we have zero big play wr's anyway. Pretty soon, teams will figure out covering our TE'S.

In a close game, our captain will figure out yet another way to mismanage the clock. (Who says he is not creative?) :)

I could of course go on, but that is already more than enough to lose the game.

I think it might be close for 2/12 quarters before Manny pulls away to win comfortably.
 
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I think Minnesota has what it will take, especially at home, to keep this game close through three quarters....then one team, and my guess is Iowa, will take control and win by 10 or more.
 
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