I was talking to an IC teacher today and he said they can hire, but retention is very tough. He grew up in rural Iowa and he said there is a wave coming there that parents and administrators are not ready for. He said the rural teachers are more stable career wise, but there is a large percentage of teachers moving towards retirement, and no way to replace them all. He said they do not deal with all of the same kind of stuff that he's dealt with in Des Moines, and in IC, but the stresses are there in other ways.I asked him if he'd move back to the area he grew up in and he said no way. There isn't enough opportunity. His wife isn't a teacher, and he said she'd probably have to work 50-75 miles away. Recruiting to rural Iowa is very hard.
He predicted a wave of four day schedules starting next year, and people are really going to be shocked. Maybe something happens then, but, what? You can't just crank out more teachers. Maybe you slow the pace of retirement for a bit while you train new teachers, but all the other forces make it so hard to retain teachers.