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Torvik '20-'21 T-Rank Projections

Assuming offense stays the same, a top 30 (pomeroy Deff) ranking would make Iowa an elite team nationally.

Yes it would. if Iowa had a top 5-10 offense and top 25-30 defense, that is what makes a really good team. A comp from last year is Louisville, which was 24-7, 9th in Pomeroy rankings, 12th on offense and 30 on defense.
 
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As I said in my previous post, Iowa will never become an elite defensive team because they do not spend the time on that end of the court to become one. Their whole emphasis is predicated on the offensive end of the court and has the entire 10 years that Fran has been here and that doesn't appear to ever change any time soon.
If Iowa would slow the game down and limit the amount of shot attempts the opposition gets I guarantee you Iowa's defensive metrics would go down to acceptable levels. That doesn't mean that they would win more games or lose more games but that is not how Fran wants to teach the game so it is what it is.
This coming season if Garza indeed returns, this team could very well be Fran's best team and maybe his best team he has coached, period.
It's experienced, tough, has multiple 3 point shooters, elite free throw shooters and they showed that when motivated can play some defense. Whatever shortcoming they may have on the defensive side of the ball will be offset by a tremendously efficient offense that at times will be unstoppable.
I'm looking forward to seeing a healthy Bohannan, Nunge, & Patrick along with the only consensus all american player returning, Garza, improved Wieskamp, Toussaint, Fredrick, & Connor plus the Murray twins, Ulis, Perkins, and Ogundele....
It should be one L of a season....
 
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I have been checking Barttorvik and dont understand the Iowa projection.

He has Bohannon averaging less than 7 PPG and 3 APG.

Probably based on last year's production when he was injured. So yeah, that is going to be off. Probably get docked though in these advanced metrics because of their poor defensive efficiency. Only way they can win the league is if that improves.
 
Everyone talks how bad Jbo is at defense. But I thought last year early in his season he was moving pretty good laterally and keeping in front of his man. That was when he was sort of healthy. So I am hoping he is average in defense if his hips and feet stay healthy.
 
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I think you can judge this based on the Texas #1 ranking, I honestly don't even know who they have back and who they have new but Shaka has done less with really good talent over the last several years than probably any coach in America. As much as it pains me to say it, I think Iowa will be very good, much better than 26th nationally and 7th in the BIG.
 
I think you can judge this based on the Texas #1 ranking, I honestly don't even know who they have back and who they have new but Shaka has done less with really good talent over the last several years than probably any coach in America. As much as it pains me to say it, I think Iowa will be very good, much better than 26th nationally and 7th in the BIG.

Assuming you are an ISU fan, what the hell is Prohm's plan this offseason? Take Harris who most likely has to sit out and not do anything else?
 
Assuming you are an ISU fan, what the hell is Prohm's plan this offseason? Take Harris who most likely has to sit out and not do anything else?
Yes am an ISU fan, I am not sure if he has a plan TBH, well at least a plan that worked out. I think Harris will be decent but agree he will likely have to sit out. Unless something happens with an unforseen stud transfer could be a long year for the Clones. Have some pieces and pretty good freshman class but will be tough. I like Prohm but another bad year and it might be it for him.
 
Bohannon helps on offense but hurts on defense compared to Evelyn or Joe T.

Our offensive efficiency should be Top 5 and likely a few points higher than this year, but defense will likely be the same.

Doubt we finish top 10 but should be a 3 or 4 seed if healthy. Hard to finish Top 8 with a 100th ranked defense. Worst defense in top 10 this year was Dayton at 38.
 
Now we know that JoBo is back, I believe that the offensive rating is #2 by Torvik. It's the defensive ranking (>100) that hurts. It would be nice to see some defensive drills this summer.
 
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The way posters on here complain about Jordan's defense, you'd think that teams run their entire offensive through Bohannan. Iowa's bad defensive metrics is not the result of the perception that 1 player plays bad defense....it's a team game and that goes for not only the offensive side but the defensive end as well.
Bohannan is not that bad of a defensive player and certainly not as bad as some on here rag about it.
Players like Jok, Cook, & others that's not worth mentioning were a lot worse then JBO. He might not be a lock down defensive player but his presence on the court as a point guard and a elite shooter cannot be denied. I'd take him all day long before players like Gassel or Clemons,
 
. . . Iowa's bad defensive metrics is not the result of the perception that 1 player plays bad defense....it's a team game and that goes for not only the offensive side but the defensive end as well.

Bohannan is not that bad of a defensive player and certainly not as bad as some on here rag about it.

I agree with your point about defensive metrics being more about the team, than just one player. Having said that, I believe your point that "Bohannan is not that bad of a defensive player" is demonstrably wrong. In 2017, 2018, and 2019, his defensive rating was dead last of the Big Ten players who qualified for Torvik's Big Ten player stats, meaning he was 88th in 2017, 86th in 2018, 87th in 2019. He was also dead last in defensive box plus/minus in the conference in 2017 and 2018, and 2nd from the bottom (85th) in 2019. Now advanced defensive stats have some real shortcomings, and allocate various team deficiencies to the players on the floor. So part of JBO's poor defensive stats simply reflect that he has played a lot of minutes for bad defensive teams. Thus, perhaps these advanced stats are just telling us that JBO has been the worst defensive player on a bad defensive team. However you slice it, JBO is a very poor defensive player.

Despite his defensive shortcomings, I also think JBO has had the last laugh. The people, like me, who saw him play a couple of times in high school, and thought his defensive shortcomings would make him a net liability, have been proven wrong. So credit to him, and Fran. JBO's offensive skills, moxie, and clutch shooting have made him a net positive force who has several times carried his team to victory when defeat looked certain.
 
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I think the Hawkeyes will be virtually unguardable. We will be elite offensively w/ 3 point shooters across the board and a dominant big man. Our defense should improve enough to get us to the Sweet 16 for the 1st time in 20 years. Depending on our defensive improvement, we could go deeper. I hope we see the season play out.
 
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I think the Hawkeyes will be virtually unguardable. We will be elite offensively w/ 3 point shooters across the board and a dominant big man. Our defense should improve enough to get us to the Sweet 16 for the 1st time in 20 years. Depending on our defensive improvement, we could go deeper. I hope we see the season play out.

For me this upcoming season will be probably my last to get to experience an Iowa team this good....I was only 6 & 7 when the mid 50's team reached the final four and was out of the country serving in the Navy during the 70 season. Tom Davis's 1st season was the only year that Iowa had a shot at a final four and lost to UNLV in horrible fashion, so yeah I'm hoping that sports can come back and allow fall and winter sports to compete even without the possibility of full venues of Iowa fans attending the games.
Just got done watching the Penn State at Iowa game, Iowa's last win in the year, putting away my DVD's of last year's Iowa games until the fall. Keep safe everyone and honor the men and woman that serve on the front line and especially remember the love ones lost that won't have the opportunity to experience next seasons success....
 
I forget which game last year, but it was early in the year. Jordon (to me) seemed to be staying in front of his man pretty good. Perhaps as the year went on, his hip started to become a bigger issue and his defense went way down. So I am expecting him to be much better this year with 2 good hips and no ankle/foot issues.
 
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