VOTE based not on who you are actually voting for but for WHO YOU THINK WILL WIN the Presidency in November
- Thread starter Franisdaman
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I think the MAGA base is more riled up than 2020. Biden’s voter base isn’t as excited to get out and vote as they were last time. They might not vote for Trump, but feel they can’t cast a vote for Biden. Trump needs to turn just a few states and those states are very capable of being flipped.
His crowds sure don't show this. They're a fraction of what they used to be. And when he starts talking a large portion of the crowd usually hits the exits.
I hope you are right. Biden is less inspiring than in 2020. There will be less voter turnout than 2020, IMO. Neither candidate will pull the same numbers overall. This will be up to a few key states.
We're also facing a very real possibility of Trump facing home confinement after his July 11 sentencing. Going to be awfully hard to campaign over zoom
Biden can’t govern like a traditional Democrat because he is held hostage by the radicals that have overthrown his party.
He also doesn’t have the mental capacity to push back on them because he’s so weak and incapable to stand up to them. That’s why Nancy Pelosi called him the perfect president because they can just tell him what to do and where to sign.
He also doesn’t have the mental capacity to push back on them because he’s so weak and incapable to stand up to them. That’s why Nancy Pelosi called him the perfect president because they can just tell him what to do and where to sign.
Women will come out to vote for Biden. Abortion and IVF will be on the ballot. Things like the Southern Baptists voting to oppose IVF will push the Republican party to support further restrictions on reproductive freedom.
His base has already decided. He might pull more votes playing the martyr. If he goes to jail, it could be worse. From home he will campaign via social media and the media. I think in person campaigning has lost its luster. Biden didn’t need it in 2020.
Either way, I expect a complete sh!t show in November. Biden wins close, MAGA loses their minds again. Trump wins and we will have a complete meltdown from the left. I’m not looking forward to either result.
How is abortion on the ballot? It’s a states issue. Trump has said he will not ban abortion, he didn’t when he was president. What’s Biden going to do about abortion and don’t you think we would’ve already done it?
Trump will win. Many that showed up for Biden will not show up this time. I wish both would be set out to pastor. It’s a shame that this is the best out country has to offer.
I don’t see the correct option of other. I really believe one of these two shit for brains will be replaced before November. Maybe the summer heat will take one of them out or one will be in prison or babysitting their son in prison.
I was worried about this a few months ago, but not now. Trump is looking worse every time he does anything at all, from the trials to shark/battery speeches, etc. He has nothing to campaign on.
People will absolutely come out to vote for Biden because they want Trump to have to go to trial again (and again). Trump is the bad guy. This country, by and large, doesn't root for the bad guy.
Biden doesn’t do any better in public and there’s a reason he doesn’t hold press conferences and has handlers everywhere he goes.
Your reasoning for Biden victory is due to hatred for the other candidate and not necessarily loving their own?
Every time someone tells me they are voting for Biden it has nothing to do with policy rather their hatred for Trump.
This ^
I’m going to plug my nose when I pull the lever for Biden in November.
I disagree, however, that Trump is going to win in November. I think it will be closer than last election, but I think once America starts paying attention to Trump again, and all the commercials start rolling in, the majority of those on the fence will be like, yeah, I’m not happy the alternative is Biden, but there’s no way I can vote for that lunatic.
It on the ballot in Florida dumbass, he was replying to someone talking about Florida..that means pro-choice voters will come out in droves and I bet 95+% will vote Biden
Duh. You think Biden is my first choice? He's been a good president under the circumstances but I would prefer someone younger.
Of course it's about hatred for Trump. He is a vile piece of crap. Also now a convicted felon. He needs to go away, wear his detention bracelet and tweet his garbage all day long if he wants. But not as president.
Abortion and trump are separate, dumbass! 95% will vote Biden in a state he didn’t carry? How much you want to bet? Name your price and don’t backpedal now.
Biden will not carry Florida, I doubt he lives long enough to see Nov.
People only care about Florida every four years. It’s the state of 3 Ms
Mickey
Meth
Mobile homes
thinking that the president of the united states should not be immune to criminal prosecution is absolutely a policy issue
a very important one, i would argue
Assuming Biden is on the ballot, Trump likely wins. National polls are skewed by NY & CA. Swing states will be the difference. Inflation, and everything surrounding that, will be the major deciding factor. Biden is losing support among young people and minorities. The Trump "threat to democracy" theme seems to have run out of gas (no pun intended) for swing voters.
Biden's overall approval rating nationally is the lowest ever for this amount of time into a term. If it was any other GOP candidate than Trump, that GOP candidate would win in a landslide.
Chase Oliver
Biden's overall approval rating nationally is the lowest ever for this amount of time into a term. If it was any other GOP candidate than Trump, that GOP candidate would win in a landslide.
Chase Oliver
Your opinion, but I don't believe it. His guilty verdict is still fresh. There just aren't enough nuts in this country that will vote for a convict.
Yup, my opinion, based on polling since Trump's conviction. I've been wrong about Trump before, and obviously could be wrong again. I certainly don't have a lot of confidence in polls.
As the poker player says, read'um and weep.
US Election Odds Tracker
The US Election Odds Tracker provides an analysis of the probabilities on the US elections by leveraging data from multiple odds providers.
sportshandle.com
I didn't know that. That's good information if it's true. Have you attended a lot of Trump events? Do you keep score of how many times he says "crooked Joe"?
I've posted multiple videos of his supporters leaving as soon as he starts talking. I thought it was a one off. But apparently it happens a lot. And we're not talking a few people. Thousands will leave.
I apologize. I don't have any interest in videos of Trump rallies. I end up watching snippets of Trump remarks / snarkiness, and Biden remarks / gaffes.
I wasn't aware that thousands were attending Trump events, much less leaving.
Then why do they go in the first place? This just seems odd. I mean they all show up for the expressed reason to hear him speak then thousands leave when he starts speaking?? Doesn't pass the smell test to me.
How is abortion on the ballot? Between Jan 2017 and Jan 2021, Trump put 3 justices on the Supreme Court. The result has been devastating to women.
I think Trump will win.
Not sure why, I just think he will.
It just blows my mind that it's Biden vs Trump.
Not sure why, I just think he will.
It just blows my mind that it's Biden vs Trump.
it's fascinating to me; I have had discussions with Democrats who feel Trump will win, too.
I don't get it.
95+% of pro-choice voters dumbass...are you this fvcking stupid? Well, you are MAGA. Biden only lost Florida by 3 points last election...it won't take much and there's a reason that DeSantis doesn't like that abortion is on the ballot DUMBASS
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