They're taking up the slack left by the other Hawk obsessed fanbase, the clowns, who seem to be laying low.Why does every thread seem to turn into a Nebraska thread. Ughh
Do you now? I can't remember the last time Iowa lost to ISU 40-10 or the last time ISU played for the conference title after running all over your team like crap through a goose, but I'm sure you'll enlighten us some more with some of your REAL news. Since Nebraska is clearly below Iowa at this point, how does it feel to be so low on the totem pole? Damn now I know why that guy calls himself Hawkdroppings. I mean what else would be below a hawk when he's flying over the desolate waste land to our west?Wrong, a minority of us husker fans who have to deal with the majority of you hawk fans in our daily lives are here to make sure your board isn't distributing fake news. We think of the hawks like the hawks think of isu. Enjoy playing most of your games at 11am again this year and kindly take your spot in the middle-lower end of B1G.
Remember Rashan Gary last year ? Hint, he played for Michigan, still don't remember, you're not alone. He was the number one rated player in the nation his SR year. He had a good year as a Freshman but didn't exactly dominate the game. It's a huge jump from high school to the B1G. A.J. will do his damage but don't except too much his first year.I think we're gonna have a really good year. We bring back a solid running game (all OL plus Wadley!) and a good defense that is bolstered uniquely from the recruiting class just committed. We have good defensive starters in the backfield but little depth - but our best prospects besides Eppy were defensive backs.
Eppy comes in and guys - he's the #1 defensive end prospect in the country. 6th best prospect overall according to 247. He's going to play a lot and be good. I've heard a lot of "he's gonna play 10-15 plays" "gonna have to earn the union card," etc, etc. Bullcrap. Kid's gonna come in and play at a high level. That may not mean 15 sacks the first year. Maybe 5-6. Maybe he plays inside. But that kind of talent does not ride the bench, probably not even at Ohio State. The upside potential is this kid could come in and play like Bosa and we have the best pair of DE's in the country.
That leaves WR, QB, and TE. I trust the staff to have a plan at WR. Adding Vandeberg back healthy changes the game. They are going to have a few vets, like Falconer and Easley be able to come in and produce something. They should be able to get 1-2 of the freshmen to come in and play 1/4 or 1/3 of the snaps. There's not going to be a lot put on their plate, this is a running team this year. At TE we have Fant, Pekar, and Weiting who are returning starters and you can reasonably expect to raise their level of play esp with all of the RSFR/SO gunning for playing time this year with Beyer, Hockinson, Veyvoda, and Cook. QB just needs to be steady for us, not spectacular. If we can simply run the waggle play effectively it will fix so, so much with this offense from last year.
Wyoming - W (this team doesn't return a lot other than Josh Allen)
@Iowa State - W (Iowa St doesn't return any good DL starters)
North Texas - W (Easy win pretty much any year)
Penn State - L (This is more of a toss up than a sure loss)
@Michigan St - W (MSU is a complete disaster this year with all the kids kicked off, QB remains a problem for them)
Illinois - W (ILL is a complete tear down rebuild - not their yr)
@Northwestern - L (Again, more of a toss-up - Jackson/Thorson can't get hurt)
Minnesota - W (MN is going to be down talent wise, new QB)
Ohio State - Sure Loss
@Wisconsin - W (Wisconsin replaces too many defensive starters and their best OL. I like our chances)
Purdue - W (Their roster is a mess)
@Nebraska - W (They're going to have a lot of defensive line and offensive line new starters. This is a 7 win type rebuild for them)
I'm not trying to use my preference for Lee as an indictment of Stanley. I just don't think people have seen enough of him in a live game to know how he'll perform as a starter. It seems fair to me to give the edge to a quarterback with at least a couple years of experience. I don't expect you to read the article, but if interested, one of the Omaha World Herald writers put together a fairly decent piece on Tanner Lee and why he's tough to judge based purely on his Tulane stat sheet (I'll link it here). He writes about how a goal for someone like Lee could be matching up with Wilton Speight's stat sheet from 2016, or potentially Alex Hornibrook. Basically, if Nebraska can put up an OL that will keep the rush away from Lee, while providing better receiving targets than Tulane ever did, he could have a pretty solid year. It's just tough to compare his non-P5 time to his potential play in the Big 10.
As far as Iowa's concerned, I don't doubt that your o-line will be one of the best in the business. It's pretty typical to expect the Iowa trenches to be locked and loaded, so I'm hoping that Diaco can set us up effectively and find a way to lay a few sacks on Stanley or pressure a toss to the backfield. Our best bet against y'all will likely need to be our secondary, because I doubt the line will get a tremendous amount of pressure, and that's terrifying because at the end of the day you're right, the ground game will be your bread and butter.
Run game will be interesting. I don't know much about Young. It looked like Wadley was a top 50 back last year in yards and TDs, and if he replicates those numbers & then some with Daniels gone he could be a pretty tough guy to stop. I'm interested to see how we manage to stop the run; Wisconsin will be a particularly revealing matchup to see how we look to hold you guys a few weeks later. I feel like the two of you play a pretty similar type of ground game. We have a pretty stout dude in Mick Stoltenberg holding at NT but he was hampered by injuries last year. Haven't heard much out of spring ball regarding his improvement, or lack thereof.
End of the day I think it'll be a good game. I'm hoping we can sneak out a win but like I said, I think it'll end up being whoever's QB shows up at the end of the season. Right now I'd give the edge to Tanner, but you're not wrong in pointing out his Tulane stats are somewhat average to say the least. It's just going to be so wildly different from last year with both teams fielding a new QB, secondary, and receivers. Not to mention the coaching changes that happened in the offseason (Ferentz to OC and Copeland to receivers for you, Williams to DB, Elliott to safeties, Diaco to DC, and Booker to special teams for us.)
What's the point of what? I am assuming you're stating that if Iowa cannot win 8 games they shouldn't even play the season. But we won't know how many games they can win until they play the season, so what's the point of your what's the point? Sounds like it's coming from a most tenured Hawkeye fan. Lol
What's the point of all the "isn't it great to have the most tenured coach in college football" ...if it only gets you 7-5?
Pick a new tgeam then.... I would say Michigan State Notre Dame and UCLA all have room on the bandwagon!
He went 12-0 in the regular season 2 years ago for christs sake. I get so tired of people whining about other peoples salaries. Who freaking cares what he makes? He runs a great program. Graduates his kids. Sends them to the NFL. The Iowa program is always in the top 15 in the country as far as dollar value that it generates.for sure. What kind of fan would dare expect excellence from a high paid and tenured coach?
crazy stuff
He went 12-0 in the regular season 2 years ago for christs sake. I get so tired of people whining about other peoples salaries. Who freaking cares what he makes? He runs a great program. Graduates his kids. Sends them to the NFL. The Iowa program is always in the top 15 in the country as far as dollar value that it generates.
So you work 40 hours a week saying "paper or plastic ma'am?" Try working 80 hours a week like head coaches do, on a slow week. If you don't like it, get off your lazy ass and and put the time in to becoming a head coach of a major sport at a P5 school. But then you would be bitching about not getting paid enough, wouldn't you?
Did I "supersize this for you sir?"
try decaf.
FYI, your simplistic McDonald's inferences are pretty weak, I make 6 figures so suck it
Try to stop bitching. Ferentz makes 7 figures, so go suck on that.
I am just fine with Ferentz' salary. You have your undies all bundled up. I do not get jealous over what other people make. Take a deep breath little fella. You will be alright.You really need to do something will all that bottled up anger, dude. If dealing with other's opinions is that difficult, a forum like this may not be the place for you.
Good for KFz, he's earned that salary. That's why the expectation of performance is high. (getting it yet?).
I am just fine with Ferentz' salary. You have your undies all bundled up. I do not get jealous over what other people make. Take a deep breath little fella. You will be alright.
You say that he has earned that salary? Then how can you say that he is underperforming? Salary is based on past performance and market conditions. I am tired of trying to explain things to you.
Your personal attacks were duly noted as well. My last thought. My expectations are not based on salary.Yes. and...it comes with the expectation of continued performance.
Back to the OP topic. Nobody expects 12-0 every year, but I don't think it's outrageous to think a guy and program with the current tenure and foundation of Iowa football should win 3 weak Non cons and go at least .500 (as in "average") in conference.
You seem like a "last word" kinda guy, so please take it and squeeze in whatever personal attacks you need...
His position coach said they are looking at 15-20 snaps a game. Before he has even practiced once. I expect some big plays.Remember Rashan Gary last year ? Hint, he played for Michigan, still don't remember, you're not alone. He was the number one rated player in the nation his SR year. He had a good year as a Freshman but didn't exactly dominate the game. It's a huge jump from high school to the B1G. A.J. will do his damage but don't except too much his first year.
Yes. and...it comes with the expectation of continued performance.
Back to the OP topic. Nobody expects 12-0 every year, but I don't think it's outrageous to think a guy and program with the current tenure and foundation of Iowa football should win 3 weak Non cons and go at least .500 (as in "average") in conference.
You seem like a "last word" kinda guy, so please take it and squeeze in whatever personal attacks you need...
Think you'll beat the Vegas over/under of 6 wins this year?Iowa now has a track record good enough that teams in the B1G will take them seriously and iowa will get every teams best shot. The strategy of losing to isu or an FCS team and then sneaking up on better teams is not sustainable. Once every team in the B1G gives iowa its' best shot every game I would fully expect iowa to have a 8 win ceiling, but that's if they can finally win a bowl game.
Yeah, I wouldn't answer the question either bugeater.I'm taking the overs for Iowa, 7-6 with a bowl loss
I'll talk slower this time bugeater. Will Debbie beat the Vegas line of 6 wins this year.Unlike Iowa fan, I answered the question. Per usual Iowa fan doesn't like the answer.
How can you truly evaluate the strength of the non-cons before the season has played out? You are making assumptions based on past seasons? Every program in the nation performs exactly the same every year then? I'm not sure then why any games are played because it's so predictable. No team can out-perform or under-perform their lot.
The factor you are not considering is recruiting. This is a developmental program taking a number (not all) of lower rated or under the radar guys and trying to build them up physically, leveraging their chip and relying on the experience gained when they become upper classman. As players graduate the next man in is not always coming in at the exact performance level as the previous player. Combine this with schedule strength variation and we see the roller coaster performance.
The Bamas, OSUs, etc. pull in all 4 & 5 stars so the chances of replacing a high performance player with another is much higher. They get busts too but when everyone is highly rated in a recruiting class they only need a certain percentage to pan out. The odds are in their favor. That's why these programs re-load most seasons.
True about the non-con to some extent. But the typical mix is one FCS team, one low level BCS team (North Texas this year) or a MAC team and a close-to-the-bottom-of-the-big-12 team, ISU. We should beat all of those teams most years. The years when a team like Pitt is on the docket, it's a better challenge of course, but those are the exception.
I don't think anyone believes we should be on the Alabama or Ohio St reload trajectory. But as a TOP 25 program, the dropoff should be manageable. We're developing all our players, right? So the underclassmen are improving as they wait their turn. We're not starting with a complete class of green Freshmen every 4 years.
Not saying we should win 10 games this year, but being "satisfied" with 6-6 is pretty weak.
Don't understand how you put these all down as sure losses. WY will be a tough opener, but I do expect Iowa will win, because I don't expect their defense will be good enough to control Iowa. ISU will be a tough game probably,but to say there's NO WAY they lose this game is really a stretch, don't you think. PSU should no more have trucked Iowa, then Iowa should have beaten Michigan. Again tough game, but in Kinnick I wouldn't put that down in the Nittney's column just yet. I get the OSU prediction, but who knows. Almost every year the Hawks win a game, and your left scratching your head, and saying,"how did they pull that off". I mean Damn, do you really want to be sitting here in June thinking well we got five or six losses right there. I'll take them as they come, IF they come, and I'll still be just as big a fan come January as I am today.
It's just a reality prediction. Does not mean I won't enjoy the season and take what happens but the reality is with sure losses to OSU, PSU and probably top 15 ranked Wisconsin on the road that means we have to go 6-3 against the rest of the schedule just to make a bowl. If we drop one other in the non-con then we have to go 6-2, drop Wyoming & ISU then 6-1.... yes just to get to 6 wins and a bowl.
"You'll" implies me. Yes I think I will beat Vegas by taking the overs in Iowa football, I see Iowa as a 7-6 team. I doubt Iowa loses in the non conference and therefore will not be able to sneak up on the better teams in the B1G. Iowa loses to Wisconsin, Michigan, NW, tOSU and Nebraska in addition to losing 6th straight bowl game.Think you'll beat the Vegas over/under of 6 wins this year?
If you wanted my opinion on the huskers you should've simply asked for it, I have the huskers at 9-4.
Lol so dumb
Think you'll beat the Vegas over/under of 6 wins this year?
It was poorly worded, but no need to call soda dumb.
Im just trying to help point something out to you and1 that although you say youre a realist you come off as a pessemist. And its not cause I disagree with your outlook, which i do, but thats not my point. Youre taki g our hardest games counting them as losses then pointing out the sheer difficulty of going 8-2, 9-1 as proving your point. Lets do the opposite. Well north texas and illinois are sure wins so now we only need to go 5-5 the rest of the season to make 7 wins. Of course thats not hard! We got this! (The optimist view)
In addition no realist says we have no chance to beat Iowa State. If you need further proof wait for the spread that week and watch us be favored. Even if only slightly or worst case scenario extremely small underdog. I wish Vegas saw the same realism as you. Or i mean pessimism.
Im just trying to help point something out to you and1 that although you say youre a realist you come off as a pessemist. And its not cause I disagree with your outlook, which i do, but thats not my point. Youre taki g our hardest games counting them as losses then pointing out the sheer difficulty of going 8-2, 9-1 as proving your point. Lets do the opposite. Well north texas and illinois are sure wins so now we only need to go 5-5 the rest of the season to make 7 wins. Of course thats not hard! We got this! (The optimist view)
In addition no realist says we have no chance to beat Iowa State. If you need further proof wait for the spread that week and watch us be favored. Even if only slightly or worst case scenario extremely small underdog. I wish Vegas saw the same realism as you. Or i mean pessimism.
I think you make fair points that this team could win more than 6. I do think it's paramount for 7+ wins that the team open 3-0 in the non-con. It has not been the norm to sweep the non-cons in KFs tenure. Two years ago it happened and then we capitalized on a schedule light of heavy weights from the East to go 12-0. It was truly great and not easy to do regardless. Last season should have been a sweep of the non-con but it was not with an FCS loss. Really pathetic showing in that game.
I see this non-con as sneaky tough. Wyoming will be one of the tougher openers we've had in a long time and I think ISU will be much improved from what we saw last year. Their talent level is much better than it has been traditionally so the gap between the programs is not much. If you recall the game from 2 years ago there we were on our way to getting blown out until CJ made some off-script plays including the 45 yard safety aversion scramble. That was a very bad ISU team so it shows again that anything can happen. If you really watched last year's blow out in Iowa City it was as much about a new staff being disorganized and playing with the previous regime guys. We were not as dominating as the score indicated. I did not think we played all that well surprisingly and got beat the next game against NDSU. Some of the ISU guys who played poorly have been replaced like Lanning with better players. They had receivers open but Lanning made some of the worst throws I have ever seen helping us big time. On our side CJ made some very tight window throws to Vandy that were huge plays and Wadley made some key runs.
ISU's skilled players in the receiving core are much better than ours and the new QB can sling it. That never bodes well for our D. We have to run the ball, control the clock, score TDs not FGs and get pressure on the QB. We stink at pressuring the QB. Can it be done? Sure but I am not sold this year's team will be as good as last year's team especially at the early stages of the season given who was lost to graduation and our known deficiencies. I see at least 1 non-con loss likely to ISU and quite possibly two with ISU & Wyoming. There had better be a sense of urgency to come of the gates strong is what I would suggest. If we come out with that typical we will be better in November approach it's going to get ugly.
Lots of tough games on this schedule and we have some key unknowns / big questions ... that's why Vegas is smart putting it at 6.5. I'm
hoping for a surprise and more than 6 but I know who we are and this sets up for 6 wins this year.
I like this post much better than previous. I feel it shows a more true realism that there are many challenges so now we can get into why I disagree. Ill start with I agree about your points about our opponents. The fact Brian Ferentz called our program the flagship program, they keep trying to piggy back visits of our recruits, and its an away game makes the ISU game for real this season. I agree with you. Traditionally passing attack teams give us problems cause we refuse to matchup appropriately by keeping all our linebackers on the field so we agree there. However I dont agree that pressure on the QB will remain a problem. Hesse will be a 3rd year starter coming back at DE. Both Nelsons come back and they had success against ISU last year. We gain a 5 star DE that may get some reps to pressure the QB. The part of the equation thats rough is we have most of our secondary overhauled. Miles Taylor brings back major experience and his name escapes me but the young CB who had a breakout game vs Michigan shows promise. Im hoping the experience of our front 7 can hide the weakness of young corners.
Also 6 wins is simply too low for this program. Keep in mind the sky was falling last year when we had 8 wins. The only real scary scary games are PSU and OSU. Wisconsin has been great games the past couple seasons. They arent way better than us. I think past OSU and PSU every game is very winnable and your 8-2 outside of OSU and PSU is very realistic and really should be expected in this program.
OjemudiaCan M. Nelson play tackle, is Reif ready, how much playing time does Golston, McKnight or Simon get.
Jones and Welch will get playing time.
Oneida and Hooker both got plenty of snaps and one and maybe two freshman will play in defensive backfield.
Can M. Nelson play tackle, is Reif ready, how much playing time does Golston, McKnight or Simon get.
Jones and Welch will get playing time.
Oneida and Hooker both got plenty of snaps and one and maybe two freshman will play in defensive backfield.
Ojemudia
I like this post much better than previous. I feel it shows a more true realism that there are many challenges so now we can get into why I disagree. Ill start with I agree about your points about our opponents. The fact Brian Ferentz called our program the flagship program, they keep trying to piggy back visits of our recruits, and its an away game makes the ISU game for real this season. I agree with you. Traditionally passing attack teams give us problems cause we refuse to matchup appropriately by keeping all our linebackers on the field so we agree there. However I dont agree that pressure on the QB will remain a problem. Hesse will be a 3rd year starter coming back at DE. Both Nelsons come back and they had success against ISU last year. We gain a 5 star DE that may get some reps to pressure the QB. The part of the equation thats rough is we have most of our secondary overhauled. Miles Taylor brings back major experience and his name escapes me but the young CB who had a breakout game vs Michigan shows promise. Im hoping the experience of our front 7 can hide the weakness of young corners.
Also 6 wins is simply too low for this program. Keep in mind the sky was falling last year when we had 8 wins. The only real scary scary games are PSU and OSU. Wisconsin has been great games the past couple seasons. They arent way better than us. I think past OSU and PSU every game is very winnable and your 8-2 outside of OSU and PSU is very realistic and really should be expected in this program.
Discussing your points on D, I like Anthony Nelson a lot but not Matt Nelson as much. A Nelson creates pressure and is disruptive. Hesse is solid but not overwhelming. Matt Nelson is slow. I do agree that 5 star AJ could make an impact but at the same time there will be an adjustment for him as a true freshman. I do not want to expect too much too early from him this season.
On the interior is where I think we could potentially have issues as in my opinion we lost the top player on last year's defense in Jaleel. I really like the true sophomore Lattimore from Detroit but he's green. Bazata is a glue guy and eats blocks but is not a huge impact player.
At linebacker we have 3 seniors with an impact player in Josey. I do not think Neimann or Bower played all that well last year. Neimann played well the year before but has seemed to regress since the late season concussion the year before. Bower tries hard but makes few impact plays.
The main contributors in the front 7 includes 2 impact players in Josey & A Nelson, solid players in Hesse & Bazata, so-so guys in Neimann, Bower & Matt Nelson and good potential / wild cards in Lattimore & AJ. Is that really enough?
The secondary includes the young corner Manny Rumgumba who looked great starting with Michigan but broke his collarbone late in the season. Miles Taylor has experience but played poorly last year. The Gervase kid may replace Synder who was decent in the run game but poor in coverage. That leaves multiple guys to fill the other corner with Jackson probably getting first crack. Rungamba is the headliner but not sure the rest of this is outstanding.
A lot in our fan base see this is a great D but there's some concerns with this group. Losing Jaleel and King will be felt early. Again we have to play well early ... do not have time to figure things out with this schedule.
All good questions but this takes a few games to shake out and we are dealing with veterans with experience in Taylor, Neimann and Bower. It's not the KF norm to play younger players when there are veteran incumbents and/or experience. That's my concern is we need to come out strong this season instead of dinking around like we tend to do.
2 things about you I really like.
1) You take criticism well and stay constructive in your points.
2) Youre clearly a die hard hawk fan!
You have my support. I just want to breathe an optimistic view in you. Our fan base bums me out sometimes. I dont think its unique for a fan base to levitate to the negative but thats exhausting. Id like to get the good fans like you finding ways were going to be above that 6.5 mark.
On a lighter note. You said M Nelson is slow. Isnt he like 6'8"? I dont know many 6'8" fast people. I know what you mean though i watched him play too but give the guy a break. Hes huge and was playing through a leg injury. Also on the hopefully funny side: How fast do you think a defensive lineman needs to be to hit the offensive lineman? They dont have too far to go!